2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please

[Gass3268]

NPR-PBS-Marist (Changes since April):

Democrats 47% (+3)
Republicans 40% (+1)

Source

[KingSweden]

NPR-PBS-Marist (Changes since April):

Democrats 47% (+3)
Republicans 40% (+1)

Source

It’s been out of the field for three months?

I think polls need to poll once a month for true efficacy, personally

[Gass3268]

NPR-PBS-Marist (Changes since April):

Democrats 47% (+3)
Republicans 40% (+1)

Source

It’s been out of the field for three months?

I think polls need to poll once a month for true efficacy, personally

$$$

[KingSweden]

NPR-PBS-Marist (Changes since April):

Democrats 47% (+3)
Republicans 40% (+1)

Source

It’s been out of the field for three months?

I think polls need to poll once a month for true efficacy, personally

$$$

Yeah true. Still. In a perfect world...

[ON Progressive]

Rasmussen has Dems up 47-40.

[Gass3268]

Quinnipiac:

Democrats 51% (+1)
Republicans 39% (-2)

Source

Republicans: Republican +83
Democrats: Demoratic +90
Independents: Democratic +17

Men: Republican +2
Women: Democratic +25

College Educated Whites: Democratic +13
Non-College Educated Whites: Republican +11

18-34: Democratic +26
35-49: Democratic +2
50-64: Democratic +9
65+: Democratic +14

White Men: Republican +14
White Women: Democratic +14

Whites: Democratic +1
Blacks: Democratic +62
Hispanics: Democratic +43

[Devout Centrist]

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RIP

[Brittain33]

This is not the first poll to show seniors moving Democratic much more than older working people (50-64). Their lock on the senior vote is why Republicans did so well in recent elections, it’s big news if they are favoring Democrats evenly to the whole population or tilting.

[ajc0918]

Quinnipiac:

Democrats 51% (+1)
Republicans 39% (-2)

Source

Republicans: Republican +83
Democrats: Demoratic +90
Independents: Democratic +17

Men: Republican +2
Women: Democratic +25

College Educated Whites: Democratic +13
Non-College Educated Whites: Republican +11

18-34: Democratic +26
35-49: Democratic +2
50-64: Democratic +9
65+: Democratic +14

White Men: Republican +14
White Women: Democratic +14

Whites: Democratic +1
Blacks: Democratic +62
Hispanics: Democratic +43

The young people will win.

[Doimper]

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What the hell, Gen X?

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

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What the hell, Gen X?

These are the Yuppies and those who grew up under the rise of Reaganomics. Not much of a shocker there.

[Gass3268]

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What the hell, Gen X?

Of all the demographics I've seen, age always seems to be the most jumpy/random, except young people.

[Brittain33]

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What the hell, Gen X?

I’m sorry! I don’t know why we’d Inks this one up.

[Devils30]

The people in the 50-70 bracket are the biggest problem in this country. Came of age during Reagan and the most pro-monopoly, anti-labor group you'll see.

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Why is the elderly leaning D that much of a shock? Their benefits would be the first to be put on a buzzsaw the moment the GOP gets a supermajority.

[Zaybay]

Why is the elderly leaning D that much of a shock? Their benefits would be the first to be put on a buzzsaw the moment the GOP gets a supermajority.

Hofoid actually is right in this case. Its mostly the 50-65 range that votes D. The elderly are actually rather split, and the oldest in society favor Ds, just as the greatest generation did.

The fact that the young vote D and the old vote R is a new development, it was actually the opposite for up until the Millenials. It was always The Greatest and Silent were pro D, while the Boomers and Xers were pro R.

[KingSweden]

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What the hell, Gen X?

These are the Yuppies and those who grew up under the rise of Reaganomics. Not much of a shocker there.

The older half of that demographic, absolutely. Those under forty probably skew slightly more Democratic, id say the 41-49 range is probably the most heavily GOP

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1022163216074330113

[Yank2133]

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RIP

Yeah, if that is accurate then the GOP's house majority is toast and holding the Senate really is 50/50.

[Nyvin]

It would seem like the Trump strategy of just enthusing the Republican (Trump) base voters is really falling flat. 

[Gass3268]

Get hype!

https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/1022218167920340993

[Yank2133]

It would seem like the Trump strategy of just enthusing the Republican (Trump) base voters is really falling flat. 

Yeah.

If the GOP gets blown out in November, you directly point to Trump doing nothing to expand his appeal beyond his base as the number one reason why. The party in power is always on defense when it comes to the midterms, but Trump made things harder for himself and his party by pissing off everyone who isn't apart of MAGA.

[Virginiá]

It would seem like the Trump strategy of just enthusing the Republican (Trump) base voters is really falling flat. 

It's would be a pretty good strategy if Trump's actual base was at least 50% of America instead of roughly ~35 - 40%. Makes sense for Trump though, as it puts his complete lack of inhibition in the light, as only focusing on the people who are practically in love with him means he doesn't have to change his behavior as part of the appeal to non-base voters.

[Brittain33]

Preference for Congress (Marist/NBC)

MI: D+9
MN: D+12
WI: D+8

July 15-19, RVs

[Gass3268]

CGB (Marist/NBC)

MI: D+9
MN: D+12
WI: D+8

July 15-19, RVs

https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/1022225501962862599