2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please  (Read 144929 times)
Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #525 on: July 30, 2018, 07:07:35 PM »

Let's not get too ahead of ourselves. The concept of electoral "walls" needs to be abandoned.
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ajwiopjawefoiwefnwn
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« Reply #526 on: July 30, 2018, 10:16:12 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on July 30, 2018, 07:07:35 PM

Let's not get too ahead of ourselves. The concept of electoral "walls" needs to be abandoned.
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Doimper
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« Reply #527 on: July 30, 2018, 11:52:02 PM »
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Ebsy
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« Reply #528 on: July 30, 2018, 11:53:38 PM »
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on July 30, 2018, 11:52:02 PM


What on earth?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #529 on: July 31, 2018, 08:57:38 AM »
« Edited: July 31, 2018, 09:15:02 AM by GeorgiaModerate »
Axios/SurveyMonkey, July 25-27, 2509 adults including 2225 registered voters (this is not the SurveyMonkey weekly tracker)

Among adults: D 49, R 38

Among RV: D 52, R 42
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Zaybay
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« Reply #530 on: July 31, 2018, 09:04:09 AM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 31, 2018, 08:57:38 AM
Axios/SurveyMonkey, July 25-27, 2509 adults (this is not the SurveyMonkey weekly tracker)

D 49, R 38

Waiting for the obligatory Axios article about how this is terrible for the Democrats and will result in the Dark Ages 2.0. Oh, and the Senate will be lost too.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #531 on: July 31, 2018, 09:13:54 AM »
Quote from: Zaybay on July 31, 2018, 09:04:09 AM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 31, 2018, 08:57:38 AM
Axios/SurveyMonkey, July 25-27, 2509 adults (this is not the SurveyMonkey weekly tracker)

D 49, R 38

Waiting for the obligatory Axios article about how this is terrible for the Democrats and will result in the Dark Ages 2.0. Oh, and the Senate will be lost too.

I missed this the first time through, but among registered voters the GCB is D 52, R 42.  The 49/38 result is among all adults.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #532 on: July 31, 2018, 11:06:43 AM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 31, 2018, 08:57:38 AM
Axios/SurveyMonkey, July 25-27, 2509 adults including 2225 registered voters (this is not the SurveyMonkey weekly tracker)

Among adults: D 49, R 38

Among RV: D 52, R 42


Democrats are winning White Suburban Women 48-45% in that poll
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #533 on: July 31, 2018, 12:23:38 PM »
« Edited: July 31, 2018, 03:05:02 PM by Fmr. Pres. Griff »
Not that it really matters, but:

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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #534 on: July 31, 2018, 12:32:36 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Griff on July 31, 2018, 12:23:38 PM
Not that it really matters, but:

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Hot dang!
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #535 on: July 31, 2018, 01:57:06 PM »
Not that it makes a difference, but Democrats winning 67% of the Gary Johnson voters is interesting.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #536 on: July 31, 2018, 03:01:55 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on July 31, 2018, 01:57:06 PM
Not that it makes a difference, but Democrats winning 67% of the Gary Johnson voters is interesting.

TBF, that particular sample size is approximately 27 voters.

Nevertheless, I just found this and think it's pretty interesting if it implies what I think it could:
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #537 on: July 31, 2018, 03:38:39 PM »
Amusingly, I just got a robopoll at my home for GA-07.  But I had to tell them I was definitely not voting; I live in GA-09.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #538 on: July 31, 2018, 07:55:44 PM »
OK-1 (R) Run-off - 38% Harris v. 26% Hern

Harris defeating Hern would be a hilarious result considering Hern has already spent millions on this race and is a self-funder while Harris is being out-raised by the Democrat (seriously, last quarter one of the Democrats, Tim Gilpin, raised $91k while Harris only raised $50k). Harris' campaign has largely floated by because he has a big local name - he's been the DA in Tulsa County for years. I'd argue beyond that his campaign has been rather invisible. Compare that to Hern - who is just about everywhere, every other ad is one of his, his campaign emailing aparatus is strong - but has burned just about every bridge he could with conservative grassroots.

Democrats have a real shot... of getting within close double digits or even high single digits while still losing this race in this R+18 district that is not only very Republican but also historically very Republican.
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ajwiopjawefoiwefnwn
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« Reply #539 on: July 31, 2018, 10:19:42 PM »
Quote from: Maxwell on July 31, 2018, 07:55:44 PM

Democrats have a real shot... of getting within close double digits or even high single digits while still losing this race in this R+18 district that is not only very Republican but also historically very Republican.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #540 on: August 01, 2018, 09:45:27 AM »
Morning Consult/Politico, July 26-30, 1993 registered voters.

D 44 (+3)
R 37 (-1)
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Gass3268
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« Reply #541 on: August 01, 2018, 12:07:31 PM »
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #542 on: August 01, 2018, 12:10:31 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on August 01, 2018, 12:07:31 PM


Son of Balder will win.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #543 on: August 01, 2018, 12:27:53 PM »
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on August 01, 2018, 12:10:31 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on August 01, 2018, 12:07:31 PM


Son of Balder will win.

Eh, I'm not so sure anymore.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #544 on: August 01, 2018, 12:29:13 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on August 01, 2018, 12:27:53 PM
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on August 01, 2018, 12:10:31 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on August 01, 2018, 12:07:31 PM


Son of Balder will win.

Eh, I'm not so sure anymore.

Good news though, look at the crosstabs, only 32% of Monmouth's poll was from Franklin.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #545 on: August 01, 2018, 12:39:23 PM »
Monmouth should do TX 32nd next.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #546 on: August 01, 2018, 01:24:24 PM »
YouGov, July 29-31, 1222 registered voters.

D: 44 (nc)
R: 40 (+2)
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #547 on: August 01, 2018, 02:42:47 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 01, 2018, 01:24:24 PM
YouGov, July 29-31, 1222 registered voters.

D: 44 (nc)
R: 40 (+2)


Red wave imminent.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #548 on: August 01, 2018, 04:11:40 PM »
YouGov was, is, and will always be: junk!
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #549 on: August 01, 2018, 06:38:40 PM »

Democratic Party disbanded
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