2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Yeah the hacks like Andrew and Krazen are already jizzing up a storm over at RRH and RedState because of an obscure Trump -3 poll. I guess they convinced themselves that AZ-8 was a fluke and that Doug Jones and Conor Lamb really were elected as Republicans

We've gotten multiple generic ballot polls this week already:

D+10(Ipsos)
D+8(IBD)
D+8(MC)
D+9(Quinnipiac)
D+3(SurveyMonkey)
D+4(Rasmussen)

That averages to D+7. That's a pretty reasonable estimate to where things are at right now.

It might be better to look at the median (not the mean), which is +8.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Here's the MC poll:

Morning Consult/Politico, June 28-29, 1990 RV

D 43 (-1), R 35 (-2)

[Brittain33]

Morning Consult was added to 538 as R+11, adjusted down to R+8. It's sent the average haywire. Look out for Sean Trende to move some seats toward Rs in his ratings...

Somehow it was entered as R=54, not 35.

[KingSweden]

Morning Consult was added to 538 as R+11, adjusted down to R+8. It's sent the average haywire. Look out for Sean Trende to move some seats toward Rs in his ratings...

Somehow it was entered as R=54, not 35.

I imagine they’ll correct that soon

[Blackacre]

Morning Consult was added to 538 as R+11, adjusted down to R+8. It's sent the average haywire. Look out for Sean Trende to move some seats toward Rs in his ratings...

Somehow it was entered as R=54, not 35.

I imagine they’ll correct that soon

Dangit, they fixed it by now. Did someone take a screencap? I wanted to see the madness

[Brittain33]

Morning Consult was added to 538 as R+11, adjusted down to R+8. It's sent the average haywire. Look out for Sean Trende to move some seats toward Rs in his ratings...

Somehow it was entered as R=54, not 35.

I imagine they’ll correct that soon

Dangit, they fixed it by now. Did someone take a screencap? I wanted to see the madness

There was an R spike up to about 41.5 with no change on the D side.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Rasmussen D+6-

Democrats: 46% (+1)
Republicans: 40% (-1)

It was D+4 for a while.

http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot

[ON Progressive]

Rasmussen D+6-

Democrats: 46% (+1)
Republicans: 40% (-1)

It was D+4 for while.

http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot

That's quite a solid lead for Dems considering it's a Rasmussen poll.

[Greedo punched first]

Rasmussen D+6-

Democrats: 46% (+1)
Republicans: 40% (-1)

It was D+4 for while.

http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot

That's quite a solid lead for Dems considering it's a Rasmussen poll.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Dems will win blue state Governor mansions, but it's likely now, GOP will hold their slim majorities

How did you come up with that conclusion when it's clear that the polls show the Democrats are in flip territory.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Marist polled OH and DeWine is up by 4 and Trump approvals in OH and FL are at 51 percent. And the Dems are on defense in Senate

[LimoLiberal]

Marist polled OH and DeWine is up by 4 and Trump approvals in OH and FL are at 51 percent. And the Dems are on defense in Senate

What are you talking about, dude?

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/poll-hub-arizona-florida-ohio-election-2018/

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Marist polled OH and DeWine is up by 4 and Trump approvals in OH and FL are at 51 percent. And the Dems are on defense in Senate

Are you implying that because Trump is at positive approval in Ohio (he's not) that Brown is immediately DOA, even though he's been leading the polls by 15-points?

King Lear, is that you?

[KingSweden]

Marist polled OH and DeWine is up by 4 and Trump approvals in OH and FL are at 51 percent. And the Dems are on defense in Senate

Are you implying that because Trump is at positive approval in Ohio (he's not) that Brown is immediately DOA, even though he's been leading the polls by 15-points?

King Lear, is that you?

Nah he’s just OC, the master of odd non sequiters

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Marist polled OH and DeWine is up by 4 and Trump approvals in OH and FL are at 51 percent. And the Dems are on defense in Senate

What are you talking about, dude?

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/poll-hub-arizona-florida-ohio-election-2018/

Wow, even Limo

[GeorgiaModerate]

YouGov, July 1-3, 1259 registered voters

D 42 (-1)
R 38 (nc)

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Crosstabs-

Blacks going to Democrats 72-4%

Bu-b-but Candace Owens said...

Democrats leading in the south 41-40% (!!!)

Democrats leading in the midwest 42-37%

Democrats winning moderates 48-23%

[ajc0918]

 52% of respondents think we are "Off on the wrong track" including 47% of independents. That doesn't bode well for the ruling party.

[Arkansas Yankee]

This is not a good poll for Nelson.  An incumbent D in a supposed D wave year should be doing better.

58% of Nelson voters say they might vote differently.  Only 42% of Scott’s voter say that.

I think the debates will be important.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

This is not a good poll for Nelson.  An incumbent D in a supposed D wave year should be doing better.

58% of Nelson voters say they might vote differently.  Only 42% of Scott’s voter say that.

I think the debates will be important.

Yeah, Nelson really needs to gear up for them.

[LimoLiberal]

https://twitter.com/Scotttaylorva/status/1014898016682172417

Scott Taylor not in any danger, according to DCCC poll.

[Ebsy]

lol, you mean according to Scott Taylor.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Scott Taylor knows what a DCCC internal poll is saying about the race? X

[Maxwell]

Scott Taylor sure is acting agitated for a "safe" incumbent.

[BudgieForce]

Northam won Taylor's district by 4 points. Its gonna be close regardless. And Limo, your post is a stretch even for you.