Italian Elections and Politics 2022 - Our Time to Schlein

[OSR stands with Israel]

Well, Little Miss Mussolini is going to win. Many European countries turn to the far-right isn't surprising.

Hope the US can make Italy and those European nations into a colony of ours.


/s

[rc18]

7pm turnout was 51.16%, down -7.24%.

[njwes]

What's a good place to watch the results/tally?

[Logical]

Berlusconi under the threshold inshallah

[Antonio the Sixth]

Turnout change from 2018 at 19 by region, color coded by North/Center/South.

Lazio -2.05
Lombardia -3.92
Sicilia -5.16
Toscana -5.8
Friuli-Venezia Giulia -6.21
Emilia-Romagna -6.22
Marche -6.47
Veneto -7
Nationwide -7.24
Liguria -7.6
Trentino Alto Adige -7.97
Piemonte -8.24
Umbria -8.7
Abruzzo -9.9
Valle d'Aosta -10.26
Puglia -11.08
Sardegna -11.51
Basilicata -11.86
Molise -12.42
Calabria -12.72
Campania -13.85

Obviously the worst drops are concentrated in the South, which is bad news for M5S but also probably largely priced in by polls already. Turnout holding on decently in the red regions might be good news for the left, but only to a limited extent. And Lazio having the lowest drop... well, Lazio is a weird region but in this particular case I can only think of one reason why it would be so much more motivated than the rest of the country.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Turnout change in the largest cities:

Roma -1.58
Milano -2.13
Napoli -10.71
Torino -7.72
Palermo -5.37
Genova -7.91

[Filuwaúrdjan]

but in this particular case I can only think of one reason why it would be so much more motivated than the rest of the country.

Is this the bad reason that immediately popped into my head or something I'm missing - which is certainly quite possible.

[Antonio the Sixth]

but in this particular case I can only think of one reason why it would be so much more motivated than the rest of the country.

Is this the bad reason that immediately popped into my head or something I'm missing - which is certainly quite possible.

Well, perhaps it would be fairer to say that there are two interconnected reasons: Lazio's own, er, rich history of neofascist sympathies, and the fact that Meloni herself is from Rome.

What's a good place to watch the results/tally?

https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/camera/scrutini/20220925/scrutiniCI

Results theoretically start coming in at 23 local time, but more likely around midnight.

[Walmart_shopper]

Turnout change in the largest cities:

Roma -1.58
Milano -2.13
Napoli -10.71
Torino -7.72
Palermo -5.37
Genova -7.91

Pffft more like No Star.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Why does Sicily have a relatively low drop, do we think?

[njwes]

Why does Sicily have a relatively low drop, do we think?

I would assume it's because there's also a regional election going on there today

[jaichind]

Any livestream and links to results?

[Sestak]

I’d forgotten how insane this voting system was…

[Antonio the Sixth]

Why does Sicily have a relatively low drop, do we think?

I would assume it's because there's also a regional election going on there today

That is my best guess, yeah, but if so that would be a new thing in Italy. We haven't really had "reverse coattails" style turnout boosts like this before. It might also just be that the storm that swept through Italy throughout the day just happened to spare Sicily. I haven't seen the weather maps so I can't say for sure, but maybe Battista did.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Well, perhaps it would be fairer to say that there are two interconnected reasons: Lazio's own, er, rich history of neofascist sympathies, and the fact that Meloni herself is from Rome.

As I feared then.

[𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆]

As I had probably already announced I chose not to be a poll worker this time around. I also chose to vote late, which was kind of a mistake although the storm had already stopped here by the time I got out again. I voted AVS for the Chamber and PD for the Senate, if anyone is interested.

I am saddened by how turnout looks poised to drop again and particularly pissed off that a significant cause of that is... rain. Who knew old NoVA memes would come in handy in such a different scenario?

[𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆]

Why does Sicily have a relatively low drop, do we think?

I would assume it's because there's also a regional election going on there today

That is my best guess, yeah, but if so that would be a new thing in Italy. We haven't really had "reverse coattails" style turnout boosts like this before. It might also just be that the storm that swept through Italy throughout the day just happened to spare Sicily. I haven't seen the weather maps so I can't say for sure, but maybe Battista did.

I have searched through some weather maps and it doesn't seem like Sicily was really spared (although the one clearest thing is that the most hit region is Campania). I would assume the regional election, which is probably more felt there than in most regions, is the main reason for the discrepancy.

[Double Carpet]

Links: (if anyone finds any more, esp. live results maps, please post - thanks)

https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/camera/votanti/20220925/votantiCI

https://www.raiplay.it/dirette/rainews24

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HVB_Wx5T16g

https://www.la7.it/dirette-tv

https://www.corriere.it/

https://www.repubblica.it/

[Oryxslayer]

Links: (if anyone finds any more, esp. live results maps, please post - thanks)

https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/camera/votanti/20220925/votantiCI

https://www.raiplay.it/dirette/rainews24

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HVB_Wx5T16g

https://www.la7.it/dirette-tv

https://www.corriere.it/

https://www.repubblica.it/

Corriere has a result map similar to last time that should be live updated - you just need to click past the paywalled pages to get to the results section: https://www.corriere.it/elezioni/risultati-politiche-2022/camera.shtml

[DavidB.]

So no real exit polls?

[Double Carpet]

Exit polls in 11 mins I believe.

[Antonio the Sixth]

So no real exit polls?

La7 will give us something it calls a "trend poll", which sounds basically like an exit poll weighted with results from early polling statiions. No idea what that methodology is worth, so I'll take it with a grain of salt.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Here we go. May God help us all.

[jaichind]

*MELONI'S RIGHT BLOC AT 111-131 seats in senate: RAI Poll

[jaichind]

*MELONI'S RIGHT BLOC AT 227-257 seats in lower house: RAI Poll