Rate Florida in a Trump Vs Harris matchup

[Da2017]

I'd say pure toss up.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Lean Trump closer to Likely Trump than Tossup(I would believe Trump wins Florida by 4-5 points vs Harris).


Harris would be one of the worst candidates the Democrats could nominate.


FL on the other hand would be a pure tossup if Bullock , Biden or Booker were the nominees

[Devils30]

Florida might be a state Harris could win or come very close while losing in the midwest.

[RINO Tom]

I don't know why people think there are going to be these radically different maps for various Democrats vs. Donald Trump in 2020.

[President Johnson]

Toss-up. Harris is a good fit for the sunshine state, and I wouldn't be surprised if she was able to win by two points or slightly more.

[Canis]

Lean Trump closer to Likely Trump than Tossup(I would believe Trump wins Florida by 4-5 points vs Harris).


Harris would be one of the worst candidates the Democrats could nominate.


FL on the other hand would be a pure tossup if Bullock , Biden or Booker were the nominees

What? how is Harris a weak candidate please don't tell me your citing that ppp poll. It literally just showed that harris has lower name rec than the other candidates thats why its tighter trump is getting the same amount he was getting against all the other candidates.

[NewYorkExpress]

Likely R, closer to Safe R.

No Southern State, with the exception of Virginia is voting for a biracial woman. (North Carolina for Obama in 2008 was a major exception).

[RINO Tom]

Likely R, closer to Safe R.

No Southern State, with the exception of Virginia is voting for a biracial woman. (North Carolina for Obama in 2008 was a major exception).

Florida voted for a Black man twice but won't vote for a half-Black woman once?

I doubt that.

[NewYorkExpress]

Likely R, closer to Safe R.

No Southern State, with the exception of Virginia is voting for a biracial woman. (North Carolina for Obama in 2008 was a major exception).

Florida voted for a Black man twice but won't vote for a half-Black woman once?

I doubt that.

Southern Whites are both racist AND sexist.

[MarkD]

Lean Harris.

[Mr. Smith]

Lean Harris.

I expect her to make more in-roads with Cubans, bleed fewer Haitians, and turnout more blacks and Puerto Ricans to offsets the white retirees Trump used to swamp Hillary.

[RINO Tom]

Likely R, closer to Safe R.

No Southern State, with the exception of Virginia is voting for a biracial woman. (North Carolina for Obama in 2008 was a major exception).

Florida voted for a Black man twice but won't vote for a half-Black woman once?

I doubt that.

Southern Whites are both racist AND sexist.

All of 'em, huh?

[IceSpear]

I don't know why people think there are going to be these radically different maps for various Democrats vs. Donald Trump in 2020.

imo biden would beat trump by 20 but trump would beat harris by 20 imo.

[IceSpear]

Anyway, we have no idea what the political environment will be in 2.5 years, nor do we know what kind of candidate Harris will turn out to be once she's on the national stage. But we do know that Florida has been a competitive state in the presidential race for the last several decades, so toss up seems like the safest bet at this ridiculously early juncture.

in b4 Trump similtaneously cures cancer and wins WWIII and Democrats nominate Harvey Weinstein and then people bump this years later and laugh about how I was such a Dem hack for rating it a toss up when he won Florida by 50.

[NewYorkExpress]

Likely R, closer to Safe R.

No Southern State, with the exception of Virginia is voting for a biracial woman. (North Carolina for Obama in 2008 was a major exception).

Florida voted for a Black man twice but won't vote for a half-Black woman once?

I doubt that.

Southern Whites are both racist AND sexist.

All of 'em, huh?

It sure seems that way...

[pbrower2a]

In a 50-50 election, Trump wins. Florida is about R+3, but that will not be enough to keep him from losing Florida in a 53-47 or stronger Democratic election for President.

[ON Progressive]

The only way to rate FL this early is "Tossup".

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tilt D

[here2view]

Tossup, but Trump probably wins it 50-49. People underestimate the edge an incumbent has here. The last time Florida didn't vote for the incumbent was 1980.

[Xing]

I don't know why people think there are going to be these radically different maps for various Democrats vs. Donald Trump in 2020.

imo biden would beat trump by 20 but trump would beat harris by 20 imo.

Yeah, but Comrade Sanders would probably lose Florida by 50, 70 if Kasich is the Republican nominee, while John Bel Edwards or Steve Bullock would win by 40.

[elcorazon]

Likely R, closer to Safe R.

No Southern State, with the exception of Virginia is voting for a biracial woman. (North Carolina for Obama in 2008 was a major exception).

Florida voted for a Black man twice but won't vote for a half-Black woman once?

I doubt that.

Southern Whites are both racist AND sexist.

That's quite a view you have of southerners. I have news for you. The north has lots of folks who feel the same way. I mean, last I checked, Wisconsin and Michigan both voted for the Orange Racist, Misogynist and Minnesota almost did as well. Same with Maine and NH. If not for major cities like NYC and Philly, PA and NY would have voted for the Dunce as well.

[NewYorkExpress]

Likely R, closer to Safe R.

No Southern State, with the exception of Virginia is voting for a biracial woman. (North Carolina for Obama in 2008 was a major exception).

Florida voted for a Black man twice but won't vote for a half-Black woman once?

I doubt that.

Southern Whites are both racist AND sexist.

That's quite a view you have of southerners. I have news for you. The north has lots of folks who feel the same way. I mean, last I checked, Wisconsin and Michigan both voted for the Orange Racist, Misogynist and Minnesota almost did as well. Same with Maine and NH. If not for major cities like NYC and Philly, PA and NY would have voted for the Dunce as well.

That just expands my point to whites in general.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Yet again, tossup.

[The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow]

Yet again, tossup.

Seconded. I think Trump will fare better in Florida than he will in other states he narrowly won in 2016, as his approvals seem to be bit higher there than in the Midwest swing states.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Tossup. If I’d bet my life over it, Trump by a hair.