CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA

[Gass3268]

Not that it matters, but anyone notice how Democrats are outvoting Republicans in IA-04?

[LimoLiberal]

Legitimately scared about California. Tonight has been a great night for Democrats so far, too...

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

C'mon California, give me numbers.

[Devout Centrist]

polls have closed in California

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - AL:

Attorney General
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Steve Marshall*
101,811   28.7%
Troy King
100,928   28.5   
Alice Martin
80,892   22.8   
Chess Bedsole
70,564   19.9   
354,195 votes, 72% reporting (1,554 of 2,169 precincts)

[YE]

John Heehan isn't establishment given that he was supported by Justice Dems. He's a pro-gun progressive.

[Gass3268]

polls have closed in California

Unless your ballot has been postmarked by today and arrives to the polling center by the end of the day Friday.

[Dr. MB]

It seems like there are 3 main factions in Democratic congressional primaries this year.

Establishment (think John Heehan, Jeff Van Drew, and Mikie Sherrill)
Women (think Cindy Axne, Lucy McBath, and Kathleen Williams)
Progressive (think Pete D'Alessandro, Kara Eastman, and Grant Kier)

Sometimes there are overlap between the 3 factions, like Mikie Sherrill being propped up by both establishment Democrats and women's groups. Sometimes a woman won't even be considered to be a part of the "women's faction", like Kara Eastman, who received no support from typical feminist organizations like Emily's List, NARAL, or Planned Parenthood but did receive support from progressive organizations like the Justice Democrats. But this 3-way dynamic seems to be playing out in many Democratic primaries this year.

The perfect microcosm for this seems to be in the MT-AL Democratic primary, where 3 Democrats are contesting the seat right now. John Heehan (establishment), Kathleen Williams (women), and Grant Kier (progressive).

You'd be hard-pressed to find anyone who considers Heenan establishment.

All three are running under some variation of the "progressive" label.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Nothing in for California yet.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Legitimately scared about California. Tonight has been a great night for Democrats so far, too...

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling all of the SD races:


Governor
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kristi Noem
33,732   57.7%   
Marty Jackley
24,709   42.3   
58,441 votes, 65% reporting (446 of 685 precincts)

District 1
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Dusty Johnson
27,714   48.3%   
Shantel Krebs
15,689   27.4   
Neal Tapio
13,948   24.3   
57,351 votes, 65% reporting (446 of 685 precincts)

Amendment Y - Revise Marsy's Law
ANSWER   VOTES   PCT.   
Yes
58,641   79.9%   
No
14,768   20.1   
73,409 votes, 65% reporting (446 of 685 precincts)

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Only 2 candidates in CA-21, so both make it to the runoff.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Since Neal Tapio lost the nomination, SD-01 moves from Likely R to Safe R.

[136or142]

bernie has a really bad track record in 2018 so far.

Dems are rejecting his BS

good to see.

What? Because his campaign manager from Iowa is losing? Progressives have been generally winning tonight outside of IA-GOV, IA-3, and so far MT-AL.

Losing?  More like getting crushed!  Demolished! Wiped Out!

[136or142]

Since Neal Tapio lost the nomination, SD-01 moves from Likely R to Safe R.

Tim Bjorkman might disagree with that.

[henster]

Usually WA does a big dump of mail votes in the first few mins, does Cali do the same?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Apparently Stacey Dash is still on the ballot in 44?

[136or142]

Calling all of the SD races:


Governor
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kristi Noem
33,732   57.7%   
Marty Jackley
24,709   42.3   
58,441 votes, 65% reporting (446 of 685 precincts)

District 1
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Dusty Johnson
27,714   48.3%   
Shantel Krebs
15,689   27.4   
Neal Tapio
13,948   24.3   
57,351 votes, 65% reporting (446 of 685 precincts)

Amendment Y - Revise Marsy's Law
ANSWER   VOTES   PCT.   
Yes
58,641   79.9%   
No
14,768   20.1   
73,409 votes, 65% reporting (446 of 685 precincts)

Well that came and went quickly.

[Dr. MB]

Apparently Stacey Dash is still on the ballot in 44?

She must have withdrawn too late.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - IA:

U.S. House District 4
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
J.D. Scholten
7,232   54.5%   
Leann Jacobsen
3,448   26.0   
John Paschen
2,601   19.6   
13,281 votes, 27% reporting (131 of 489 precincts)

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Feinstein 40.8
Bradley 9.6
de Leon 8.2
Taylor 7.1

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - IA:

U.S. House District 4
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
J.D. Scholten
7,232   54.5%   
Leann Jacobsen
3,448   26.0   
John Paschen
2,601   19.6   
13,281 votes, 27% reporting (131 of 489 precincts)

Please take Steve King down.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Where's Hartson?

[Oryxslayer]

Early votes from OC:

Young Kim (R) 29%
Gil Cisneros (D) 16%
Phil Liberatore (R) 12%
Shawn Nelson (R) 9%
Andy Thorburn (D) 8%

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1004198109839351809

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1004198371001806849

[Hindsight was 2020]

39/49 look fine but woof 48 is scary