CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - AL:

District 5
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Mo Brooks*
8,522   60.8%   
Clayton Hinchman
5,494   39.2   
14,016 votes, 17% reporting (36 of 206 precincts)

[Rhenna]

Yikes. This NJ primary is a car crash for Menendez. I doubt 10% of McCormick voters even knew who she was. This has always been likely D IMO.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - MS:

U.S. House District 3
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Michael Evans
2,571   74.3%   
Michael Aycox
890   25.7   
3,461 votes, 19% reporting (97 of 518 precincts)

District 4
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Steven M. Palazzo*
4,830   68.0%   
Brian Rose
2,273   32.0   
7,103 votes, 19% reporting (68 of 358 precincts)

[7,052,770]

I remember in past elections the AP has released copy/pasteable tables of results rather than all these cutesy graphics. Are they (or another organization) doing that this year?

[kyc0705]

I doubt 10% of McCormick voters even knew who she was

Yeah, I admit that I didn't. I just voted for whomever was running against Menendez and assumed that it was a total throwaway for someone who would wind up with about 10% of the vote. Apparently, that turned out to be a more popular option than anyone thought.

How did you get your precinct result?

County clerk's website.

[Suburbia]

Sen. Menendez is not well-liked in NJ. However, he wins reelection by default because of how Democratic New Jersey is.

Menendez will be a Senate lifer, or in September 2018, if he underperforms in the polls, Democrats may replace him like they did to Torricelli in 2002--with Bob Torricelli, Jim Florio, or even Steven Fulop or Stephen Sweeney to appeal to South Jersey voters.

[Adam Griffin]

LOL: somebody named "Chris Christie" is currently leading the DEM-AL-ATTYGEN race by less than a point.

[BudgieForce]

LOL: somebody named "Chris Christie" is currently leading the DEM-AL-ATTYGEN race by less than a point.

So thats where he went.

[136or142]

Wulfric, you should call the New Mexico Democratic Governor Primary for Michelle Luhan Grisham.  She's already at 50% in the 3 candidate race and Albuquerque hasn't even reported yet.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - AL:

U.S. House District 3
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Mallory Hagan
3,876   64.2%   
Adia Winfrey
2,165   35.8   
6,041 votes, 12% reporting (36 of 290 precincts)

[Adam Griffin]

Looking at the two-way vote in AL, where did all the energy go? Maybe it's just a case of huge Democratic precincts being disproportionately outstanding...but the GOP has 71% of ballots counted thus far. Only 15% of the vote is counted thus far, though (and AL does have a big counting bias if the Senate special is any indicator).

Also, Maddox's lead has narrowed to 12 points.

GOP down to 66% of ballots and Maddox up by 21 again in a matter of minutes, lol.

[IceSpear]

I doubt 10% of McCormick voters even knew who she was

Yeah, I admit that I didn't. I just voted for whomever was running against Menendez and assumed that it was a total throwaway for someone who would wind up with about 10% of the vote. Apparently, that turned out to be a more popular option than anyone thought.

How did you get your precinct result?

County clerk's website.

Even no names running against incumbents that aren't unpopular with ethics issues can get 15-20% of the vote, so I don't see why everyone is so surprised.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Well, we have our first runoff locked in:

Alabama Lt. Gov.
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Twinkle Cavanaugh
30,645   43.9%   
Will Ainsworth
27,900   40.0   
Rusty Glover
11,239   16.1   
69,784 votes, 14% reporting (296 of 2,169 precincts)

[BudgieForce]

And Menendez finally hits 60%. Probably higher when the rest of northeastern NJ comes in.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Menendez lost 2 Counties so far.

[kyc0705]

I doubt 10% of McCormick voters even knew who she was

Yeah, I admit that I didn't. I just voted for whomever was running against Menendez and assumed that it was a total throwaway for someone who would wind up with about 10% of the vote. Apparently, that turned out to be a more popular option than anyone thought.

How did you get your precinct result?

County clerk's website.

Even no names running against incumbents that aren't unpopular with ethics issues can get 15-20% of the vote, so I don't see why everyone is so surprised.

I don't pay attention to the results of primaries for popular incumbents, so I wouldn't know the baseline.

[Adam Griffin]

It's going to be funny if Maddox gets a higher vote share than Ivey in the primary...Ivey has been dropping for a while now (currently 57.5%).

[BudgieForce]

Menendez lost 2 Counties so far.

Hes probably gonna lose 5 counties tonight.

[Adam Griffin]

Baria's barely - but consistently has been - hanging on in MS, but the Mississippi River counties have yet to report virtually anything...

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - NM:

Governor
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Michelle Lujan Grisham
5,412   55.9%   
Jeff Apodaca
2,149   22.2   
Joseph Cervantes
2,122   21.9   
9,683 votes, 7% reporting (106 of 1,492 precincts)

[OneJ]

I like how Hinds looks like a small dot in a sea of Sherman almost, lol.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - MS:

U.S. Senate
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
David Baria
11,246   32.9%   
Howard Sherman
10,897   31.8   
Omeria Scott
7,419   21.7   
Jerone Garland
1,779   5.2   
Victor Maurice
1,767   5.2   
Jensen Bohren
1,118   3.3   
34,226 votes, 39% reporting (702 of 1,811 precincts)

Looking forward to a competitive runoff.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

In AL-02, there are 7 counties with some results in.

Roby leads in 6 of them.

Moore (who???) leads in 1 of them.

Bobby Bright leads in 0 of them.

Poor Bobby Bright, leading in 0 counties.

ROBY NEEDS 50% +1, or she in a runoff.

Roby is doing pretty poorly. Looks like it probably will in fact be a runoff.



Republican Primary
Candidate    Vote    Pct.
Martha Roby*    6,578    37.4%
Bobby Bright    4,882    27.8
Barry Moore    4,186    23.8
Others    1,929    11.0

17,575 votes, 27% reporting (104 of 385 precincts)

* Incumbent

[wesmoorenerd]

Baria's barely - but consistently has been - hanging on in MS, but the Mississippi River counties have yet to report virtually anything...

I'm absolutely shocked Baria doesn't have a commanding lead, from an outsider's perspective he seems like the best candidate (and the only one that has even the slimmest chance of winning in a massive wave)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Well, we have our first runoff locked in:

Alabama Lt. Gov.
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Twinkle Cavanaugh
30,645   43.9%   
Will Ainsworth
27,900   40.0   
Rusty Glover
11,239   16.1   
69,784 votes, 14% reporting (296 of 2,169 precincts)

Alabama so needs a state officer named Twinkle.