Congressional Primary Results Megathread: AR, GA, KY & TX (Runoff) - May 22

[136or142]

Are total votes in primaries a good indicator of general election?  cuz Democratic totals in Indiana and Ohio suck.

For individual House races, not really, for an overall trend, possibly.

[Sestak]

Thomas Willis is going to end up having spoled Blankenship's otherwise-ensured victory.

[ON Progressive]

Are total votes in primaries a good indicator of general election?  cuz Democratic totals in Indiana and Ohio suck.

The Indiana totals suck because Joe Donnelly is uncontested, while the GOP race is hotly contested. Ohio is probably explained by a similar thing (Brown is unopposed, GOP race is not)

[Kodak]

Are total votes in primaries a good indicator of general election?  cuz Democratic totals in Indiana and Ohio suck.

No.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Are total votes in primaries a good indicator of general election?  cuz Democratic totals in Indiana and Ohio suck.

They're not really a good indicator.

[Ye We Can]

Are total votes in primaries a good indicator of general election?  cuz Democratic totals in Indiana and Ohio suck.

Both Indiana and Ohio senate primaries were uncontested, and I guess nobody in Ohio actually liked Kucinich, so not really.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Barring some crazy change in how things are going, the correct lesson to learn from tonight is to not trust reports about Republican internal polling at all. Either they are lying, or they are telling the truth and are just terrible at polling.

[Sestak]

42% in and Pittenger down 4.2%.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Ok, so according to the raw vote count, more Dems voted than Reps in NC-02 and NC-09, both held by the GOP.

Incumbent Robert Pittenger (R) is TRAILING challenger Mark Harris in the primary 45-50%

In NC-11, held by Republican Mark Meadows, the raw vote count has the GOP beating the Dems by only 2,000.

[136or142]

My favorite fringy candidate of these primaries: Gerald Wong in the North Carolina 6th district.  

I also liked Joshua Williamson in the Indiana 6th District.  www.politics1.com describes him as:
Joshua Williamson (D) - Rope Access Technician & Ex-Buddhist Monk

[MAINEiac4434]

Who is Thomas Willis and why is he in double digits?

A guy who puts VETERAN in huge letters in like three different places on his website's home page.

[Politician]

Ok, so according to the raw vote count, more Dems voted than Reps in NC-02 and NC-09, both held by the GOP.

Incumbent Robert Pittenger (R) is TRAILING challenger Mark Harris in the primary 45-50%

In NC-11, held by Republican Mark Meadows, the raw vote count has the GOP beating the Dems by only 2,000.

If Meadows' primary is really like that, than the GOP is screwed.

[Politician]

Well, I was wrong on Blankensh**t. Looks like Morrissey will win.

[Skye]

Barring some crazy change in how things are going, the correct lesson to learn from tonight is to not trust reports about Republican internal polling at all. Either they are lying, or they are telling the truth and are just terrible at polling.

Dunno. Wasn't the Indiana one accurate?

[Oryxslayer]

Are total votes in primaries a good indicator of general election?  cuz Democratic totals in Indiana and Ohio suck.

No.

Ohio has a consistent R advantage in total primary votes that goes way back - the last time dems got more Primary votes was 2008, and then the R trend continues further back. R's still won the primary vote in 2006 when they would get blown by a wave in November. If D's come close to tieing or somehow win in Ohio, then that will be a sign of a wave.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Are total votes in primaries a good indicator of general election?  cuz Democratic totals in Indiana and Ohio suck.

No, but I honestly think the vote totals for the individual congressional races are.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - WV:

Senate
Republican Primary

Map   Percent   Candidate   Votes   Winner
35.7%   Patrick Morrisey   17,314   
27.7%   Evan Jenkins   13,442   
20.6%   Don Blankenship   9,999   
9.9%   Thomas Willis   4,804   
3.1%   Jack Newbrough   1,513   
3%   Bo Copley   1,465   
28.1% of precincts reporting (490/1,744)
48,537 total votes

District 3
Republican Primary

Percent   Candidate   Votes   Winner
29.7%   Marty Gearheart   2,604   
19.1%   Rupert Phillips   1,669   
15.7%   Carol Miller   1,373   
13.6%   Conrad Lucas   1,194   
11.5%   Rick Snuffer   1,003   
9.2%   Ayne Amjad   808   
1.2%   Philip Payton   108   
20.4% of precincts reporting (125/612)
8,759 total votes

[MAINEiac4434]

Dems didn't have any interesting races, either. Brown was unchallenged and Kucinich never had any real shot. No reason for Dems to go out and vote.

[Sestak]

Swearengin 19,244
Morrisey 17,314

[136or142]

Ok, so according to the raw vote count, more Dems voted than Reps in NC-02 and NC-09, both held by the GOP.

Incumbent Robert Pittenger (R) is TRAILING challenger Mark Harris in the primary 45-50%

In NC-11, held by Republican Mark Meadows, the raw vote count has the GOP beating the Dems by only 2,000.

If Meadows' primary is really like that, than the GOP is screwed.

Meadows likely didn't actively campaign and there was no U.S Senate or Governor race to drive turnout.

[Skill and Chance]

Looking like the door has closed for Jenkins.

[MAINEiac4434]

Swearengin 19,244
Morrisey 17,314

Lolllllll

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Looks like Pittenger could actually lose

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Mark Harris
9,415   50.0%
Robert Pittenger*
8,549   45.4
Clarence Goins
848   4.5
18,812 votes, 42% reporting (88 of 210 precincts)

* Incumbent

[libertpaulian]

How does Morrisey fare against Manchin?

[Politician]

Predictions: Morrissey wins WV-SEN, Renacci wins OH-SEN.