Trump approval ratings thread 1.3

[GeorgiaModerate]

Cross-posted from the Congressional board for the Trump approvals:

Winning the West has polled 500 likely voters each recently in AZ, CO, MT, NM and NV and generic congressional ballot results for each state are buried in the releases + several other important issues such as Trump approval and how things are moving in the right/wrong direction in each state and the US:

Generic congressional ballot

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AZ: D+1
CO: D+12
MT: R+1
NM: D+21
NV: D+5

Trump approval:

AZ: 43-52 (... Trump+2 sample, "how did you vote in 2016")
CO: 34-60 (Hillary+12 sample)
MT: 45-46 (Trump+11 sample)
NM: 34-61 (Hillary+15 sample)
NV: 42-53 (Hillary+3 sample)

Are things moving in the right/wrong direction in [state] and [the US]:

AZ: 41-49, 42-55
CO: 46-43, 32-63
MT: 46-38, 38-54
NM: 23-65, 30-66
NV: 46-42, 42-55

State topline results

Overall presentation

[GeorgiaModerate]

CBS News poll: Only a third of Americans (and 68% of Republicans) approve of the way Trump handled the Helsinki summit.

Overall: 32/55

D: 8/83
R: 68/21
I: 29/53

[Tekken_Guy]

CBS News poll: Only a third of Americans (and 68% of Republicans) approve of the way Trump handled the Helsinki summit.

Overall: 32/55

D: 8/83
R: 68/21
I: 29/53

That leaves 13% of the population abstaining from weighing in.

[JG]

CBS News poll: Only a third of Americans (and 68% of Republicans) approve of the way Trump handled the Helsinki summit.

Overall: 32/55

D: 8/83
R: 68/21
I: 29/53

That 68 is relatively low for republicans, right?

[GeorgiaModerate]

CBS News poll: Only a third of Americans (and 68% of Republicans) approve of the way Trump handled the Helsinki summit.

Overall: 32/55

D: 8/83
R: 68/21
I: 29/53

That 68 is relatively low for republicans, right?

Very low. 

[Brittain33]

CBS News poll: Only a third of Americans (and 68% of Republicans) approve of the way Trump handled the Helsinki summit.

Overall: 32/55

D: 8/83
R: 68/21
I: 29/53

That 68 is relatively low for republicans, right?

Very low. 

That's like George W. Bush approval among Rs in 2008 low.

[OneJ]

CBS News poll: Only a third of Americans (and 68% of Republicans) approve of the way Trump handled the Helsinki summit.

Overall: 32/55

D: 8/83
R: 68/21
I: 29/53

Wow, that's lower than I expected from Republicans. And I was also surprised to see that a slim majority of them even believe the Intelligence Agencies on Russian interference.

[pbrower2a]

Winning the West has polled 500 likely voters each recently in AZ, CO, MT, NM and NV and generic congressional ballot results for each state are buried in the releases + several other important issues such as Trump approval and how things are moving in the right/wrong direction in each state and the US:

Generic congressional ballot

You must be logged in to read this quote.

AZ: D+1
CO: D+12
MT: R+1
NM: D+21
NV: D+5

Trump approval:

AZ: 43-52 (... Trump+2 sample, "how did you vote in 2016")
CO: 34-60 (Hillary+12 sample)
MT: 45-46 (Trump+11 sample)
NM: 34-61 (Hillary+15 sample)
NV: 42-53 (Hillary+3 sample)

Are things moving in the right/wrong direction in [state] and [the US]:

AZ: 41-49, 42-55
CO: 46-43, 32-63
MT: 46-38, 38-54
NM: 23-65, 30-66
NV: 46-42, 42-55

State topline results

Overall presentation

Issues heavily mentioned involve land use, conservation, and energy safety. Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke is unpopular even in Montana. Extreme positions are unwelcome, and solar power is popular.

Montana is in play? Wow!

55% or higher dark blue
50-54% medium blue
less than 50% but above disapproval pale blue
even white
46% to 50% but below disapproval pale red
42% to 45% medium red
under 42% deep red

States and districts hard to see:

CT 39
DC 17
DE 39
HI 33
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 45
NE-02 38
NE-03 55
NH 39
RI 30
VT 32

Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.

100-Disapproval

55% or higher dark blue
50% to 54% or higher but not tied medium blue
50% or higher but positive pale blue

ties white

45% or higher and negative pale red
40% to 44% medium red
under 40% deep red

States and districts hard to see:

CT 41
DC 20
DE 43
HI 36
NH 49
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 55
NE-02 46
NE-03 66
RI 30
VT 36


Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.

*With the explicit question of whether the President should or should not be re-elected, or 100-DIS if such is all that is available:


Re-elect/do not re-elect if known; 100-DIS otherwise

100-DIS

55% or higher dark blue
50% to 54% or higher but not tied medium blue
50% or higher but positive pale blue

ties white

45% or higher and negative pale red (or 55% do-not-reelect or higher)
40% to 44% medium red (or 50 to 54% do-not-reelect or higher)
under 40% deep red (or 50% or less do-not-reelect if do-not re-elect if do-not-reelect is higher than reelect)
Ties for elect and re-elect are also in white.

States and districts hard to see:

CT 41
DC 20
DE 43
FL 37-54
HI 36
NH 49
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 55
NE-02 46
NE-03 66
RI 30
VT 36


Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.


Nothing from before November 2017. Polls from Alabama and New Jersey are exit polls from 2017 elections.  
 

[pbrower2a]

CBS News poll: Only a third of Americans (and 68% of Republicans) approve of the way Trump handled the Helsinki summit.

Overall: 32/55

D: 8/83
R: 68/21
I: 29/53

That 68 is relatively low for republicans, right?

Reagan-style Republicans, who still insist upon unqualified patriotism from elected officials, are still around.

It is amazing. I am very much a liberal and a partisan Democrat, but I would have never expected to be to the Right of a Republican President, supposedly a conservative, on foreign policy and issues of defense.   

[GeorgiaModerate]

SurveyMonkey weekly tracker, July 12-18, 10522 adults including 9314 registered voters

Among all adults:

Approve 44 (-1)
Disapprove 54 (+1)

Strongly approve 26 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 44 (+3)

Among RV:

Approve 45 (-2)
Disapprove 54 (+1)

Strongly approve 29 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 45 (+2)

[LimoLiberal]

Trump approval at 47% in CA-49, where he only received 42% of the vote.

http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/internal-poll-harkey-has-slight-lead-over-levin-in-californias-49th-district

Matches other polls from tossup California districts that show Trump gaining support since the election.

[ajc0918]

Trump approval at 47% in CA-49, where he only received 42% of the vote.

http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/internal-poll-harkey-has-slight-lead-over-levin-in-californias-49th-district

Matches other polls from tossup California districts that show Trump gaining support since the election.

Yeah this is how you know this poll is trash

[LimoLiberal]

Wow.

https://poll.qu.edu/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=2556

Trump only below water in New York 36-57, per new Quinnipiac poll. That's actually a better margin than how he lost the state by. Bad news for Anthony Delgado and Anthony Brindisi.

[Brittain33]

Trump approval at 47% in CA-49, where he only received 42% of the vote.

http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/internal-poll-harkey-has-slight-lead-over-levin-in-californias-49th-district

Matches other polls from tossup California districts that show Trump gaining support since the election.

bro it even says "internal" in the URL.

[ON Progressive]

Wow.

https://poll.qu.edu/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=2556

Trump only below water in New York 36-57, per new Quinnipiac poll. That's actually a better margin than how he lost the state by. Bad news for Anthony Delgado and Anthony Brindisi.

So even with him doing better than his statewide margin, he's -13 in upstate NY. I fail to see how a -13 net approval for Trump in upstate NY is bad news for Delgado or Brindisi.

[KingSweden]

Ah looks like Limo is back at it again

[junior chįmp]

Ah looks like Limo is back at it again

Hes sweatin' like a whore in Church

[LimoLiberal]

Ah looks like Limo is back at it again

Sorry. But it definitely is bad news for Democrats running in Trump seats if the president hasn't lost any popularity since the 2016 election, as the Quinnipiac poll found. I didn't know that was controversial!

[BudgieForce]

I really hope Limo gets put on mod review again.

[LimoLiberal]

Trump approval at 47% in CA-49, where he only received 42% of the vote.

http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/internal-poll-harkey-has-slight-lead-over-levin-in-californias-49th-district

Matches other polls from tossup California districts that show Trump gaining support since the election.

bro it even says "internal" in the URL.

There have been other polls in California districts that voted for Clinton showing Trump gaining support. IIRC, a SurveyUSA poll in CA-49 showed Trump with a 46% approval rating. If it was just the internal showing this, I would mostly disregard. But in this case it's corroborated by independent polling.

Edit: Yep, here's the poll from April showing Trump underwater 46-49: http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=1ce8330c-2f95-4035-9e94-97ca9bfc0ba5

[Dr. Arch]

I really hope Limo gets put on mod review again.

He needs to be banned at this point.

[pbrower2a]

Winning the West has polled 500 likely voters each recently in AZ, CO, MT, NM and NV and generic congressional ballot results for each state are buried in the releases + several other important issues such as Trump approval and how things are moving in the right/wrong direction in each state and the US:

Generic congressional ballot

You must be logged in to read this quote.

AZ: D+1
CO: D+12
MT: R+1
NM: D+21
NV: D+5

Trump approval:

AZ: 43-52 (... Trump+2 sample, "how did you vote in 2016")
CO: 34-60 (Hillary+12 sample)
MT: 45-46 (Trump+11 sample)
NM: 34-61 (Hillary+15 sample)
NV: 42-53 (Hillary+3 sample)

Are things moving in the right/wrong direction in [state] and [the US]:

AZ: 41-49, 42-55
CO: 46-43, 32-63
MT: 46-38, 38-54
NM: 23-65, 30-66
NV: 46-42, 42-55

State topline results

Overall presentation

Issues heavily mentioned involve land use, conservation, and energy safety. Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke is unpopular even in Montana. Extreme positions are unwelcome, and solar power is popular.

Montana is in play? Wow!

Definitely not in the West, and ho-hum. New York state, Quinnipiac.

36-57 approve/disapprove.

https://poll.qu.edu/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=2556

55% or higher dark blue
50-54% medium blue
less than 50% but above disapproval pale blue
even white
46% to 50% but below disapproval pale red
42% to 45% medium red
under 42% deep red

States and districts hard to see:

CT 39
DC 17
DE 39
HI 33
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 45
NE-02 38
NE-03 55
NH 39
RI 30
VT 32

Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.

100-Disapproval

55% or higher dark blue
50% to 54% or higher but not tied medium blue
50% or higher but positive pale blue

ties white

45% or higher and negative pale red
40% to 44% medium red
under 40% deep red

States and districts hard to see:

CT 41
DC 20
DE 43
HI 36
NH 49
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 55
NE-02 46
NE-03 66
RI 30
VT 36


Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.

*With the explicit question of whether the President should or should not be re-elected, or 100-DIS if such is all that is available:


Re-elect/do not re-elect if known; 100-DIS otherwise

100-DIS

55% or higher dark blue
50% to 54% or higher but not tied medium blue
50% or higher but positive pale blue

ties white

45% or higher and negative pale red (or 55% do-not-reelect or higher)
40% to 44% medium red (or 50 to 54% do-not-reelect or higher)
under 40% deep red (or 50% or less do-not-reelect if do-not re-elect if do-not-reelect is higher than reelect)
Ties for elect and re-elect are also in white.

States and districts hard to see:

CT 41
DC 20
DE 43
FL 37-54
HI 36
NH 49
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 55
NE-02 46
NE-03 66
RI 30
VT 36


Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.


Nothing from before November 2017. Polls from Alabama and New Jersey are exit polls from 2017 elections.  

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Trump approval at 47% in CA-49, where he only received 42% of the vote.

http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/internal-poll-harkey-has-slight-lead-over-levin-in-californias-49th-district

Matches other polls from tossup California districts that show Trump gaining support since the election.

bro it even says "internal" in the URL.

There have been other polls in California districts that voted for Clinton showing Trump gaining support. IIRC, a SurveyUSA poll in CA-49 showed Trump with a 46% approval rating. If it was just the internal showing this, I would mostly disregard. But in this case it's corroborated by independent polling.

Edit: Yep, here's the poll from April showing Trump underwater 46-49: http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=1ce8330c-2f95-4035-9e94-97ca9bfc0ba5

Oh no!  We must double our efforts!  Yet... it may very well be futile. 

God bless you, LimoLiberal for lifting the rosy veil from our eyes. 

[IceSpear]

I really hope Limo gets put on mod review again.

Whoever took him off should be demodded for severe incompetence.

[Virginiá]

I really hope Limo gets put on mod review again.

Whoever took him off should be demodded for severe incompetence.

He was only on it for a month, I believe. And there is a maximum time limit for mute/mod review, so it's not possible (right now) to do indefinite mod reviews without constantly re-upping the expiration time.

FWIW, Limo's posting rate went down a good bit even after the mod review ended.