Trump approval ratings thread 1.3

[Dr. Arch]

New York City -  Quinnipiac:

19% Approve
76% Disapprove

Bronx: 16-82
Brooklyn: 24-70
Manhattan: 12-87
Queens: 18-75
Staten Island: 34-62!!!

Source

Holy moly

[Person Man]

New York City -  Quinnipiac:

19% Approve
76% Disapprove

Bronx: 16-82
Brooklyn: 24-70
Manhattan: 12-87
Queens: 18-75
Staten Island: 34-62!!!

Source

Holy moly

Didn't Trump win there?

[Gass3268]

New York City -  Quinnipiac:

19% Approve
76% Disapprove

Bronx: 16-82
Brooklyn: 24-70
Manhattan: 12-87
Queens: 18-75
Staten Island: 34-62!!!

Source

Holy moly

Didn't Trump win there?

By 15 points.

[pbrower2a]

New York City -  Quinnipiac:

19% Approve
76% Disapprove

Bronx: 16-82
Brooklyn: 24-70
Manhattan: 12-87
Queens: 18-75
Staten Island: 34-62!!!

Source

Holy moly

Didn't Trump win there?

Yes -- he won Richmond County (Staten Island) roughly 56-41.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

New York City -  Quinnipiac:

19% Approve
76% Disapprove

Bronx: 16-82
Brooklyn: 24-70
Manhattan: 12-87
Queens: 18-75
Staten Island: 34-62!!!

Hot damn...
Source

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Surprising numbers from Staten Island; they must have underpolled the South Shore.

[junior chįmp]

http://www.highpoint.edu/blog/2018/03/hpu-poll-trump-at-40-percent-approval-among-north-carolinians/

[Person Man]

If NC remains 5 points more Trump friendly than the national numbers, that probably confirms that his numbers are very stable.

[Frodo]

If NC remains 5 points more Trump friendly than the national numbers, that probably confirms that his numbers are very stable.

He can thank Obama for the booming economy, then.  There's nothing else out there that's keeping him afloat.  As we saw in the recent PA 18 race, those recently passed tax cuts have fallen flat among everyone who isn't already rich or well-off, though it has kept GOP donors very happy and motivated. 

[Dr. Arch]

Trump approval at 30% in PA.

Link: https://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/708725106986767486-f-m-poll-release-march-2018.pdf

[Person Man]

Trump approval at 30% in PA.

Link: https://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/708725106986767486-f-m-poll-release-march-2018.pdf

Subfreezing in a place he won?

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

If NC remains 5 points more Trump friendly than the national numbers, that probably confirms that his numbers are very stable.

He can thank Obama for the booming economy, then.  There's nothing else out there that's keeping him afloat.  As we saw in the recent PA 18 race, those recently passed tax cuts have fallen flat among everyone who isn't already rich or well-off, though it has kept GOP donors very happy and motivated.  

Lamb's margin was the upscale Pittsburgh suburbs, though.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Trump approval at 30% in PA.

Link: https://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/708725106986767486-f-m-poll-release-march-2018.pdf

This is yet another poll that does Fair / Poor. "Fair" is not necessarily negative.

His favorables are 36-60

[GeorgiaModerate]

SurveyMonkey weekly tracker, March 22-28, 14468 adults (12629 RV)
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1DLRXSB9SdN2ZrovFcGSwHAXhFjZeTI61/view

Among all adults:

Approve 44 (+1)
Disapprove 55 (+1)

Strongly approve 23 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 43 (+1)

Among RV:

Approve 45 (nc)
Disapprove 54 (nc)

Strongly approve 25 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 44 (+1)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos/Reuters core political poll (this is different from their daily tracker), March 23-27, 1670 adults (1392 RV)
https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/news-polls/reuters-ipsos-data-core-political-2018-03-28
https://www.slideshare.net/AnneMarieMoran2/reutersipsos-data-core-political-03282018

Among all adults:

Approve 40 (strongly 20)
Disapprove 55 (strongly 42)

Among RV:

Approve 41 (strongly 20)
Disapprove 55 (strongly 43)

[King Lear]

Latest Rasmussen Survey:
Approval: 45%
Disapproval: 53%
These are solid numbers for Trump, in that it shows virtually all the people that voted for him still support him.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Latest Rasmussen Survey:
Approval: 45%
Disapproval: 53%
These are solid numbers for Trump, in that it shows virtually all the people that voted for him still support him.

Rasmussen is still a terrible pollster, and one that's noticeably biased towards Republicans as of late.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Latest Rasmussen Survey:
Approval: 45%
Disapproval: 53%
These are solid numbers for Trump, in that it shows virtually all the people that voted for him still support him.

Rasmussen is still a terrible pollster, and one that's noticeably biased towards Republicans as of late.

FWIW, 538's adjusted value for this poll is 40/53.

[Frodo]

If NC remains 5 points more Trump friendly than the national numbers, that probably confirms that his numbers are very stable.

He can thank Obama for the booming economy, then.  There's nothing else out there that's keeping him afloat.  As we saw in the recent PA 18 race, those recently passed tax cuts have fallen flat among everyone who isn't already rich or well-off, though it has kept GOP donors very happy and motivated.  

Lamb's margin was the upscale Pittsburgh suburbs, though.

You're probably right.  I was pointing out the fact that the national GOP dropped those ads touting their tax cuts before the special election given they failed to move the needle in their direction.

Which I think is very telling.   

[BudgieForce]

Rasmussen actually had Trump with net positive approval ratings about a month ago for what its worth.

[Gass3268]

Latest Rasmussen Survey:
Approval: 45%
Disapproval: 53%
These are solid numbers for Trump, in that it shows virtually all the people that voted for him still support him.

This is like one of Trump’s worst Rassy polls in months.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Rasmussen actually had Trump with net positive approval ratings about a month ago for what its worth.

That was just a brief blip above water, 50/49 on one day and 50/48 on another.  But he does seem to be fading slightly recently.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/trump_approval_index_history

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Congressman Rick Saccone and the other 39 republican election losers since 2016 love Rasmussen polls

[American2020]

It's not a prediction, but it's very interesting.

https://www.cnn.com/2018/03/29/politics/poll-2020-trump-democrats/index.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%253A+rss%252Fcnn_latest+(RSS%253A+CNN+-+Most+Recent)

[pbrower2a]

Trump approval at 30% in PA.

Link: https://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/708725106986767486-f-m-poll-release-march-2018.pdf

This is yet another poll that does Fair / Poor. "Fair" is not necessarily negative.

His favorables are 36-60

I have used such a poll for Montana, for which I have no other recent data, and for that state I split the "fair" category in half.   But with a recent poll in Pennsylvania I need no excellent-good-fair-poor poll. But if only 30% of polled Keystone State residents can say that the President is doing a good or excellent job, then this is really bad. If Donald Trump is the Reactionary  nominee for President, then I expect Pennsylvania to be a quick call for just about any Democrat.

The North Carolina (High Point) poll is of 'adults', which is now an inadequate screen. On some states I am not a beggar, so I can make some choices on my map.