Trump approval ratings thread 1.3

[LimoLiberal]

Rasmussen 4/2

Approve - 50
Disapprove - 49

[KingSweden]

Rasmussen 4/2

Approve - 50
Disapprove - 49

Rasmussen is so damn bouncy. A few days ago it was really low, now it’s high. As fun as daily trackers are for us junkies I don’t think they tell us much

[BudgieForce]

Well Drudge and Briebart are having a field day, and I'm sure Trump will tweet about it. But at the end of the day, Rasmussen exist solely to make the right feel better. I'm beginning to doubt they're even actually polling people.

[LimoLiberal]

Rasmussen 4/2

Approve - 50
Disapprove - 49

Rasmussen is so damn bouncy. A few days ago it was really low, now it’s high. As fun as daily trackers are for us junkies I don’t think they tell us much

Sometimes I think they just fudge the numbers so Trump can tweet them out.

But Reuters/Ipsos shows similar improvement for Trump, going from 37-58 to 41-55. But that poll is also bouncy. SurveyMonkey was 44-55 which wasn't much of a change from before. We'll have gallup today.

[KingSweden]

Rasmussen 4/2

Approve - 50
Disapprove - 49

Rasmussen is so damn bouncy. A few days ago it was really low, now it’s high. As fun as daily trackers are for us junkies I don’t think they tell us much

Sometimes I think they just fudge the numbers so Trump can tweet them out.

But Reuters/Ipsos shows similar improvement for Trump, going from 37-58 to 41-55. But that poll is also bouncy. SurveyMonkey was 44-55 which wasn't much of a change from before. We'll have gallup today.

I’m not conspiratorial enough to think Razzy intentionally fudges their numbers. I do think their model is a bit screwy in how it’s weighted, though.

[BudgieForce]

Rasmussen 4/2

Approve - 50
Disapprove - 49

Rasmussen is so damn bouncy. A few days ago it was really low, now it’s high. As fun as daily trackers are for us junkies I don’t think they tell us much

Sometimes I think they just fudge the numbers so Trump can tweet them out.

But Reuters/Ipsos shows similar improvement for Trump, going from 37-58 to 41-55. But that poll is also bouncy. SurveyMonkey was 44-55 which wasn't much of a change from before. We'll have gallup today.

I’m not conspiratorial enough to think Razzy intentionally fudges their numbers. I do think their model is a bit screwy in how it’s weighted, though.

I try not to be, but when they're directly tweeting their tracking poll at the president, I get a little suspicious.

[KingSweden]

Rasmussen 4/2

Approve - 50
Disapprove - 49

Rasmussen is so damn bouncy. A few days ago it was really low, now it’s high. As fun as daily trackers are for us junkies I don’t think they tell us much

Sometimes I think they just fudge the numbers so Trump can tweet them out.

But Reuters/Ipsos shows similar improvement for Trump, going from 37-58 to 41-55. But that poll is also bouncy. SurveyMonkey was 44-55 which wasn't much of a change from before. We'll have gallup today.

I’m not conspiratorial enough to think Razzy intentionally fudges their numbers. I do think their model is a bit screwy in how it’s weighted, though.

I try not to be, but when they're directly tweeting their tracking poll at the president, I get a little suspicious.

Eeesh that’s not a good look

[henster]

Rasmussen 4/2

Approve - 50
Disapprove - 49

Rasmussen is so damn bouncy. A few days ago it was really low, now it’s high. As fun as daily trackers are for us junkies I don’t think they tell us much

Sometimes I think they just fudge the numbers so Trump can tweet them out.

But Reuters/Ipsos shows similar improvement for Trump, going from 37-58 to 41-55. But that poll is also bouncy. SurveyMonkey was 44-55 which wasn't much of a change from before. We'll have gallup today.

I’m not conspiratorial enough to think Razzy intentionally fudges their numbers. I do think their model is a bit screwy in how it’s weighted, though.

I try not to be, but when they're directly tweeting their tracking poll at the president, I get a little suspicious.

Eeesh that’s not a good look

They could be going full Research 2000, you never know. I hope a reporter takes a deep dive into this, they also have some sketchy ads on their site as well.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup weekly: 39/55, exactly the same as last week, and continuing to stay within a very narrow range for the past several weeks.

[KingSweden]

Gallup weekly: 39/55, exactly the same as last week, and continuing to stay within a very narrow range for the past several weeks.

Remarkably consistent.

[Person Man]

Gallup weekly: 39/55, exactly the same as last week, and continuing to stay within a very narrow range for the past several weeks.

Remarkably consistent.

Basically the Alt-Right, Alt-Light and Teabaggers approve, but very few others.

[Tintrlvr]

PPP finds Trump at 46/47 in South Carolina CD 1, which he won 54-40 (and Romney won 58-40).

https://www.postandcourier.com/cunningham-st-district-poll/pdf_60d4f8e6-3431-11e8-8249-6361aacaeb48.html

Bad signs for him abound.

Reminder that Linda Ketner, an out lesbian, almost won this seat in 2008.

It got somewhat more Republican in the 2010 redistricting though, I thought.

[KingSweden]

PPP finds Trump at 46/47 in South Carolina CD 1, which he won 54-40 (and Romney won 58-40).

https://www.postandcourier.com/cunningham-st-district-poll/pdf_60d4f8e6-3431-11e8-8249-6361aacaeb48.html

Bad signs for him abound.

Reminder that Linda Ketner, an out lesbian, almost won this seat in 2008.

It got somewhat more Republican in the 2010 redistricting though, I thought.

A lot of retirees moving to that area, too.

[GeorgiaModerate]

IBD/TIPP, March 22-29, 902 adults (change from last month)

Approve 38 (+1)
Disapprove 56 (-2)

[Horus]

IBD/TIPP, March 22-29, 902 adults (change from last month)

Approve 38 (+1)
Disapprove 56 (-2)

Surging!

[Matty]

Here's a question: If (big if maybe) Mueller concludes the Russia probe and doesn't implicate trump or any other associates besides what is already snagged, what would happen to his ratings?

Media would probably characterize it as "a monkey off his back", but I don't think the russia stuff is a significant driver of disapproval.

Maybe a temporary 2 point swing.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Here's a question: If (big if maybe) Mueller concludes the Russia probe and doesn't implicate trump or any other associates besides what is already snagged, what would happen to his ratings?

Media would probably characterize it as "a monkey off his back", but I don't think the russia stuff is a significant driver of disapproval.

Maybe a temporary 2 point swing.

This is probably about right, with "temporary" being the key word.  The bounce would last until the next time Trump said something stupid.

[Inmate Trump]

Here's a question: If (big if maybe) Mueller concludes the Russia probe and doesn't implicate trump or any other associates besides what is already snagged, what would happen to his ratings?

Media would probably characterize it as "a monkey off his back", but I don't think the russia stuff is a significant driver of disapproval.

Maybe a temporary 2 point swing.

This is probably about right, with "temporary" being the key word.  The bounce would last until the next time Trump said something stupid.

Yea, I agree.  I could see him getting to 55% in a Rasmussen poll though.

[KingSweden]

Here's a question: If (big if maybe) Mueller concludes the Russia probe and doesn't implicate trump or any other associates besides what is already snagged, what would happen to his ratings?

Media would probably characterize it as "a monkey off his back", but I don't think the russia stuff is a significant driver of disapproval.

Maybe a temporary 2 point swing.

Yeah that’s probably a reasonable prediction.

[BoAtlantis]

Has anyone posted this yet?

http://www.newsweek.com/men-trump-more-after-stormy-daniels-accusations-poll-shows-869601?utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=yahoo_news&utm_campaign=rss&utm_content=/rss/yahoous/news

"Following allegations by the adult film star that she and Trump had an affair in 2006—shortly after his wife Melania gave birth to the couple’s son Barron—the president’s approval rating among men rose from 50 to 53 percent compared with last month, according to a new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll.

But female voters are not impressed. The poll, conducted from March 27-29, showed that among women the president’s approval rating dropped from 41 percent to 35 percent, in what the poll’s co-director dubbed “the Stormy effect.”


While I think some of it could be due to other confounding variables, I find it too good to be a coincidence that there is a big gender divide in a short period of time.

[Badger]

Has anyone posted this yet?

http://www.newsweek.com/men-trump-more-after-stormy-daniels-accusations-poll-shows-869601?utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=yahoo_news&utm_campaign=rss&utm_content=/rss/yahoous/news

"Following allegations by the adult film star that she and Trump had an affair in 2006—shortly after his wife Melania gave birth to the couple’s son Barron—the president’s approval rating among men rose from 50 to 53 percent compared with last month, according to a new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll.

But female voters are not impressed. The poll, conducted from March 27-29, showed that among women the president’s approval rating dropped from 41 percent to 35 percent, in what the poll’s co-director dubbed “the Stormy effect.”


While I think some of it could be due to other confounding variables, I find it too good to be a coincidence that there is a big gender divide in a short period of time.

One of the best post I've seen about this oh, and I think it was posted on a a d oh, it was some guys Twitter feed right after Trump made some announcement about creating a bass division of some sort in the military: I can't believe there's a president bangs pornstars and wants to create a space Army, and I still hate him.

[Inmate Trump]

It's all about our religion and our family values.

He stands for us.

We are all sinners, and it's important to forgive.

All of this is fake news anyway.

Hillary has a kill list. #LockHerUp

Obama is a Muslim who was born in Kenya.

The Clintons have a sex ring under a pizza restaurant.

Killary's health is poor.

Trump that b*tch!

"Next time we may have to kill him!"  (It's okay, because The Trump said it was okay and He'll pay for our legal fees.)

We can say Merry Christmas again, thanks to President Trump.  Before, we were legally barred from saying it.  Thanks Obama and Killary.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos/Reuters, March 29-April 2, 1907 adults

Approve 39 (-1)
Disapprove 56 (nc)

[LimoLiberal]

Rasmussen 4/4

Approve - 51 (+2)
Disapprove - 48 (-2)

I think there's an actual argument for taking Rasmussen out of the aggregators. They're aggressively tweeting at Trump, trying to get him to retweet their polls. That seems very fishy.

[Dr. Arch]

Rasmussen 4/4

Approve - 51 (+2)
Disapprove - 48 (-2)

I think there's an actual argument for taking Rasmussen out of the aggregators. They're aggressively tweeting at Trump, trying to get him to retweet their polls. That seems very fishy.

Yep, and we know from yesterday's results that he's NOWHERE near 50% approval.