Trump approval ratings thread 1.3

[Dr. Arch]

Quinnipiac Poll of Florida is coming out later today.

The GOLD standard.

But seriously, I'm glad that they we have another pollster polling this state other than the same pollsters.

Numbers are out: 42-54

Ouch

[Doimper]

Quinnipiac Poll of Florida is coming out later today.

The GOLD standard.

But seriously, I'm glad that they we have another pollster polling this state other than the same pollsters.

Numbers are out: 42-54

Oof

[Person Man]

Quinnipiac Poll of Florida is coming out later today.

The GOLD standard.

But seriously, I'm glad that they we have another pollster polling this state other than the same pollsters.

Numbers are out: 42-54

Ouch

That pretty much confirms that things are more or less settling in to a pattern.

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Quinnipiac Poll of Florida is coming out later today.

The GOLD standard.

But seriously, I'm glad that they we have another pollster polling this state other than the same pollsters.

Numbers are out: 42-54

Ouch

That pretty much confirms that things are more or less settling in to a pattern.

Moderately bad news for the Dems in a state DJT has won. What are the crosstabs, though?

[Landslide Lyndon]

Moderately bad news for the Dems in a state DJT has won.

Lear?

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Moderately bad news for the Dems in a state DJT has won.

Lear?

Not Lear, but it's interesting that DJT is doing better relative to what the Senate/Governor numbers say...

[LimoLiberal]

How is 42-54 bad news?? what??? I'm pretty sure literally every other Florida poll has shown much better numbers for DJT.

[pbrower2a]

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Senator Bill Nelson (D): approval 48-34
Senate race: Nelson (D) 46 - Scott (R) 42
Senator Marco Rubio (R) 38-53


https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=2523


New color scheme, approval and disapproval only (but 100-DIS, as I consider this a ceiling for a Trump vote in any state or district). Backtracking to October The Quinnipiac poll of Florida supplants the one poll that I have from October.

Approval

55% or higher dark blue
50-54% medium blue
less than 50% but above disapproval pale blue
even white
47% to 50% but below disapproval pale red
42% to 46% medium red
under 42% deep red

100-Disapproval

55% or higher dark red
50% to 54% or higher but not tied medium red
50% or higher but negative pale red
ties white
45% or higher and positive pale blue
40% to 44% medium blue
under 40% deep blue

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Trump had a 43% favorability in FL in 2016

[Virginiá]

I wonder what George W Bush's approval rating in Florida was in mid-late 2006

[ProgressiveCanadian]

I wonder what George W Bush's approval rating in Florida was in mid-late 2006

Rasmussen had Bush at 41% Approve 59% Disapprove in Florida from
August to September 2006 when I'm sure Rasmussen wasn't as much of a joke as it is today. Here's the link:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/current_events/bush_administration/president_bush_approval_state_by_state

[Virginiá]

I wonder what George W Bush's approval rating in Florida was in mid-late 2006

Rasmussen had Bush at 41% Approve 59% Disapprove in Florida from
August to September 2006 when I'm sure Rasmussen wasn't as much of a joke as it is today. Here's the link:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/current_events/bush_administration/president_bush_approval_state_by_state

That's even worse than I was expecting. I'm just hoping that the eradication of split ticket voting and the unprecedented energy on the left is enough to make a dent in FL under circumstances that weren't enough 10+ years ago. With those kinds of approvals, Democrats should have made bigger inroads in Florida, but they flamed out, as usual.

[Person Man]

I wonder what George W Bush's approval rating in Florida was in mid-late 2006

Rasmussen had Bush at 41% Approve 59% Disapprove in Florida from
August to September 2006 when I'm sure Rasmussen wasn't as much of a joke as it is today. Here's the link:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/current_events/bush_administration/president_bush_approval_state_by_state

The GOP handled Florida very well in 2006 by nominating a moderate.

[GeorgiaModerate]

South Carolina: Winthrop University, Feb 17-25

Approve 42  (no change from last Spring)
Disapprove 50 (+3)

[Doimper]

South Carolina, for whichIhave seen no polls for nearly a year:

South Carolina: Winthrop University, Feb 17-25

Approve 42  (no change from last Spring)
Disapprove 50 (+3)

Approval ratings for Governor Henry McMaster (R) 47-25
Senator Lindsey Graham (R) 38-48
Senator Tim Scott (R) 53-28
Congress of the United States (majority R in both Houses)

11-78 overall; 7-88 Democrats, 20-69 Republicans

This is consistent with the most recent polls showing support of President Trump in near collapse in the  Deep and Mountain South.


Approval

55% or higher dark blue
50-54% medium blue
less than 50% but above disapproval pale blue
even white
47% to 50% but below disapproval pale red
42% to 46% medium red
under 42% deep red

100-Disapproval

55% or higher dark red
50% to 54% or higher but not tied medium red
50% or higher but negative pale red
ties white
45% or higher and positive pale blue
40% to 44% medium blue
under 40% deep blue


Nothing from before November. Polls from Alabama, New Jersey, and Virginia are exit polls from 2017 elections. 

Yikes, what did Graham do?

[pbrower2a]

Lindsey Graham has become a mealy-mouthed politician, alternately standing up to Donald Trump on an issue and then yielding to him. South Carolinians might be able to tell you more than I can. If there is deterioration in his performance as a Senator they would know better than I.

Here's a general rule: the locals know better than you do if you do not live in that state or within the range of media that cover that area.

[GeorgiaModerate]

YouGov, Feb 25-27, 1500 adults (change from last week)

Approve 40 (-1)
Disapprove 51 (+3)

Strongly approve 21 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 42 (+3)

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

YouGov, Feb 25-27, 1500 adults (change from last week)

Approve 40 (-1)
Disapprove 51 (+3)

Strongly approve 21 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 42 (+3)

I really don't get how this squares with the Generic Ballot getting tighter...

[BudgieForce]

YouGov, Feb 25-27, 1500 adults (change from last week)

Approve 40 (-1)
Disapprove 51 (+3)

Strongly approve 21 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 42 (+3)

I really don't get how this squares with the Generic Ballot getting tighter...

It doesn't. I get MoE and all but YouGov does not have a good reputation in America for a reason.

[Devout Centrist]

YouGov, Feb 25-27, 1500 adults (change from last week)

Approve 40 (-1)
Disapprove 51 (+3)

Strongly approve 21 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 42 (+3)

I really don't get how this squares with the Generic Ballot getting tighter...

MAYBE, JUST MAYBE, you should ignore every little wobble in the data

[pbrower2a]

Yes, I ignore wobbles. 4% is my minimum. Movements within the margin of error are statistically insignificant. Over time, a couple such movements may have some meaning.

[King Lear]

Latest Rassmusen Survey:
Approval: 49%
Disapproval: 50%

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos/Reuters, Feb 22-26, 1860 adults

Approve 40 (nc)
Disapprove 55 (+1)

They've now started breaking it down into strongly and somewhat approve/disapprove, which I don't recall seeing before.  Currently:

Strongly approve: 21
Strongly disapprove: 40

[Meclazine for Israel]

Latest Twitter data on those following Donald J Trump:



Trump's media popularity is not decreasing.

MSNBC has enjoyed greater profits during 2017 after following the CNN strategy of "Trump-Hating".

MSNBC increased it's mentions of the word "Trump" in over 50% of it's stories in the 24 news cycle to positive effect which almost doubled it's prime time advertising rates.

CNN is making a fortune:

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/donald-trump-cnn-fox-news-advertising-revenues-fake-figures-media-tweets-us-president-failing-new-a8080856.html

But FoxNews has being steadily on the decline despite Trump's love.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Lindsey Graham has become a mealy-mouthed politician, alternately standing up to Donald Trump on an issue and then yielding to him. South Carolinians might be able to tell you more than I can. If there is deterioration in his performance as a Senator they would know better than I.

Here's a general rule: the locals know better than you do if you do not live in that state or within the range of media that cover that area.

Graham just being Graham.  He's fairly consistently been for a decade now a politician that people don't care that much for until they get a chance to see who might replace him.