AZ-SEN 2018: Sinema Paradiso

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

She has

https://twitter.com/MarthaMcSally/status/1062144676822577152

[Beet]

Sinema got so much criticism for campaigning to the center, but she has to be given credit for actually winning when Beto, Gillum, and Abrams lost. Thanks to her, Arizona is the only sunbelt state where the Democrats actually broke through this year. She would have won by an even bigger margin if it wasn't for her liberal activism from over 10 years ago too. Running moderates can work.

[BundouYMB]

Sinema got so much criticism for campaigning to the center, but she has to be given credit for actually winning when Beto, Gillum, and Abrams lost. Thanks to her, Arizona is the only sunbelt state where the Democrats actually broke through this year. She would have won by an even bigger margin if it wasn't for her liberal activism from over 10 years ago too. Running moderates can work.

I mostly agree, but this take should also acknowledge that liberal Katie Hobbs is currently on course to win for AZ SoS.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

It's over! And thank you to McSally for not being a total jack@$$ (comparatively to others in her party going nuts over these close races) and conceding.

[Chinggis]

It's over! And thank you to McSally for not being a total jack@$$ (comparatively to others in her party going nuts over these close races) and conceding.

All jokes aside, she's been pretty classy about the whole thing.

[Oryxslayer]

Sinema got so much criticism for campaigning to the center, but she has to be given credit for actually winning when Beto, Gillum, and Abrams lost. Thanks to her, Arizona is the only sunbelt state where the Democrats actually broke through this year. She would have won by an even bigger margin if it wasn't for her liberal activism from over 10 years ago too. Running moderates can work.

I mostly agree, but this take should also acknowledge that liberal Katie Hobbs is currently on course to win for AZ SoS.

I tend to hate beetposts, but this one is actually measurable. The gap between Sinema + Green and the SOS race is about 70K votes right now. So Sinema's center tacking probably nets her about 100K in the end over generic D 2018.

[DrScholl]

Sinema got so much criticism for campaigning to the center, but she has to be given credit for actually winning when Beto, Gillum, and Abrams lost. Thanks to her, Arizona is the only sunbelt state where the Democrats actually broke through this year. She would have won by an even bigger margin if it wasn't for her liberal activism from over 10 years ago too. Running moderates can work.

Arizona is more to the left than Georgia or Texas and doesn't have as much of a hard right rural vote as either of those. Even with that both of them came remarkably close to winning their races.

[lfromnj]

Then again Beto was in a MUCH redder state against an incumbent(still worth 1-2 points) in a state that hasn't elected a democrat statewide in 24 years. Sinema probably didn't need to say stuff like no SCHUMA when most people don't even know who Schumer is.

[lfromnj]

is ericpolitico trying to become the new bronz asking stupid questions with answers he knows?

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Sinema got so much criticism for campaigning to the center, but she has to be given credit for actually winning when Beto, Gillum, and Abrams lost. Thanks to her, Arizona is the only sunbelt state where the Democrats actually broke through this year. She would have won by an even bigger margin if it wasn't for her liberal activism from over 10 years ago too. Running moderates can work.

New Mexico and Nevada say "Hello!".

[lfromnj]

Sinema got so much criticism for campaigning to the center, but she has to be given credit for actually winning when Beto, Gillum, and Abrams lost. Thanks to her, Arizona is the only sunbelt state where the Democrats actually broke through this year. She would have won by an even bigger margin if it wasn't for her liberal activism from over 10 years ago too. Running moderates can work.

New Mexico and Nevada say "Hello!".

I mean NM and Rosen have moderate heroes too.

[Antonio the Sixth]

lol, yeah, because Bredesen did so well by running to the center

[Strong Candidate]

lol, yeah, because Bredesen did so well by running to the center

I mean, if Bredesen had been running in a Trump +3 state, he would have won. The issue wasn't that he ran to the center, it was then he ran in Tennessee.

[DrScholl]

lol, yeah, because Bredesen did so well by running to the center

It's not Bredesen's fault the electorate is so out in orbit that it voted for a woman who calls herself a Congressman. Some places are just lost causes.

[JG]

Sinema got so much criticism for campaigning to the center, but she has to be given credit for actually winning when Beto, Gillum, and Abrams lost. Thanks to her, Arizona is the only sunbelt state where the Democrats actually broke through this year. She would have won by an even bigger margin if it wasn't for her liberal activism from over 10 years ago too. Running moderates can work.

New Mexico and Nevada say "Hello!".

I mean NM and Rosen have moderate heroes too.

I'm not sure Heinrich and Udall qualify as moderate heroes. They seem like pretty mainstream liberals.

[lfromnj]

Sinema got so much criticism for campaigning to the center, but she has to be given credit for actually winning when Beto, Gillum, and Abrams lost. Thanks to her, Arizona is the only sunbelt state where the Democrats actually broke through this year. She would have won by an even bigger margin if it wasn't for her liberal activism from over 10 years ago too. Running moderates can work.

To be fair to O'Rourke, if you had an election of Beto vs. Cruz in Arizona instead of Texas, Beto would have easily won. Arizona is like 6 points left of Texas

it also elected a democrat as recently as 2006 unlike 1994 and it had a democrat majority delegation as recently as 2012.

[Pericles]

Enough with the pictures already

It's going to be a long six years.

Only six? Doubt it.

[lfromnj]

Sinema got so much criticism for campaigning to the center, but she has to be given credit for actually winning when Beto, Gillum, and Abrams lost. Thanks to her, Arizona is the only sunbelt state where the Democrats actually broke through this year. She would have won by an even bigger margin if it wasn't for her liberal activism from over 10 years ago too. Running moderates can work.

To be fair to O'Rourke, if you had an election of Beto vs. Cruz in Arizona instead of Texas, Beto would have easily won. Arizona is like 6 points left of Texas

it also elected a democrat as recently as 2006 unlike 1994 and it had a democrat majority delegation as recently as 2012.

2004 with the mid-decade redraw, but still. Anyway, it looks like O'Rouke might do a little better than Sinema if you adjust for state PVI's.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_party_strength_in_Arizona

says 5-4 during this decade.

[Thatkat04]

Sinema is a very good speaker. A bit scripted, but I could see her on the national stage very easily.

[lfromnj]

Sinema got so much criticism for campaigning to the center, but she has to be given credit for actually winning when Beto, Gillum, and Abrams lost. Thanks to her, Arizona is the only sunbelt state where the Democrats actually broke through this year. She would have won by an even bigger margin if it wasn't for her liberal activism from over 10 years ago too. Running moderates can work.

To be fair to O'Rourke, if you had an election of Beto vs. Cruz in Arizona instead of Texas, Beto would have easily won. Arizona is like 6 points left of Texas

it also elected a democrat as recently as 2006 unlike 1994 and it had a democrat majority delegation as recently as 2012.

2004 with the mid-decade redraw, but still. Anyway, it looks like O'Rouke might do a little better than Sinema if you adjust for state PVI's.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_party_strength_in_Arizona

says 5-4 during this decade.

Oh my bad. Was thinking of Texas

oh yeah. Anyway Arizona is a much less red state and has been open to democrats to a degree. Texas hates the democrat party statewide until 2018.

[here2view]

Someone go tell UWS or whatever his name was.

[Thatkat04]

Like, I could see myself supporting Sinema for president one day. Yes, shes a bisexual non-theist, but maybe our country will be more open to that in 2020/2024.

[Cashew]

Someone go tell UWS or whatever his name was.

Someone go tell Massachusettsmillenialmoderate or whatever his name is.

[ericpolitico]

thanks! missed her candidate's twitter account

She has

https://twitter.com/MarthaMcSally/status/1062144676822577152

[pppolitics]

The problem for McSally is that she ran as McTrump and Arizona hates Trump.

That's why she lost.