PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2024, 12:05:05 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (search mode)
Pages: 1 2 [3]
Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 203739 times)
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78
« Reply #50 on: March 13, 2018, 09:56:31 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on March 13, 2018, 09:55:13 PM
Wow, I was very wrong about Peters Township. Thought it would net Saccone much more. Crow is being eaten.
Apparently it was the more liberal part of Peters. I expected Saccone to win by more, too. He dominated the rest of Peters.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78
« Reply #51 on: March 13, 2018, 09:57:08 PM »
Two in Westmoreland.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78
« Reply #52 on: March 13, 2018, 10:00:07 PM »


The last map Coleman posted. Thee unfilled precincts are probably among the two outstanding. Look to be in predominantly Republican areas.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78
« Reply #53 on: March 13, 2018, 10:03:34 PM »
LAMB UP BY ANOTHER 752!

HE'S DONE IT!
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78
« Reply #54 on: March 13, 2018, 10:05:12 PM »
There is no conceivable way Saccone can make up 847 votes.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78
« Reply #55 on: March 13, 2018, 10:10:03 PM »
PA absentees lean Dem, too. I just don't see how Saccone makes up 847 votes.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78
« Reply #56 on: March 13, 2018, 10:10:26 PM »
Santorum basically conceding on CNN.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78
« Reply #57 on: March 13, 2018, 10:14:52 PM »
Quote from: L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again on March 13, 2018, 10:13:40 PM
So it ain't over 'til it's over.

Also, I thought Allegheny's absentees were supposed to come in at midnight, it's an hour early.


Allegheny always counts quickly, they were just being cautious. About an hour CNN reported that the results would come before 11:30.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78
« Reply #58 on: March 13, 2018, 10:17:01 PM »
These are only the absentees sent out, not returned. Could be much fewer, which makes Saccone's margin for error much smaller.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78
« Reply #59 on: March 13, 2018, 10:20:47 PM »
Washington County will be done counting in "several hours".
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78
« Reply #60 on: March 13, 2018, 10:22:41 PM »
Quote from: Next Congressman Conor Lamb on March 13, 2018, 10:20:47 PM
Washington County will be done counting in "several hours".
Doing a hand count and an electronic count of the absentees.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78
« Reply #61 on: March 13, 2018, 10:26:21 PM »
Westmoreland is counting absentees as we speak.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78
« Reply #62 on: March 13, 2018, 10:30:23 PM »
Looks like it's a Dem and GOP district each remaining. Neither candidate should gain or lose much after those two report.

Quote from: marty on March 13, 2018, 10:29:48 PM
Quote from: ExSky on March 13, 2018, 10:27:25 PM
Color me stunned. Come November 7, Donald Trump be a lame duck.

Doesn't always end poorly. See: bill clinton 1996.

Will come down to whether dems give him popular legislation to sign or if they try to impeach him with public still skeptical that he warrants that.
Bill Clinton was never as unpopular as Donald Trump is.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78
« Reply #63 on: March 13, 2018, 10:32:39 PM »
Saccone speaking!
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78
« Reply #64 on: March 13, 2018, 10:34:49 PM »
Saccone leaving the stage to Eminem.

This is the worst timeline.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78
« Reply #65 on: March 13, 2018, 10:36:10 PM »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on March 13, 2018, 10:35:41 PM
Out of curiosity, was Saccone ever ahead in the count? Not that it matters that much, I'm just curious, since I wasn't here earlier on.
Not once.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78
« Reply #66 on: March 13, 2018, 10:57:42 PM »
Last two Westmoreland precincts finally came in. Lamb lead now 579.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78
« Reply #67 on: March 13, 2018, 11:01:53 PM »
WESTMORELAND ABSENTEES ARE IN TOO
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78
« Reply #68 on: March 13, 2018, 11:10:07 PM »
Quote from: trebor204 on March 13, 2018, 11:07:37 PM
Project Vote Total with Absentee ballots:

Westmoreland: 1,808 absentee ballots (Saccone won by 14.7%) = Gain of 267 votes
Washington: 1,195 ballots (Saccone won 7.3%) = Gain of 88 votes.
Greene: 203 ballots (Saccone won by 16.6%) = Gain of 34 votes.

Total of 389 in absentee ballots.


With Lamb leading by 579 votes, Lamb is projected to by 190 votes.


That's assuming that the absentees match the ED vote, right?

If so, Lamb has done better in absentees in both Allegheny and Westmoreland. I'd imagine it'll stay the same in Washington and Greene.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78
« Reply #69 on: March 13, 2018, 11:16:46 PM »
Quote from: emcee0 on March 13, 2018, 11:16:01 PM
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on March 13, 2018, 11:11:48 PM
I hate how I found out Hawking died through the PredictIt comments...
I found out here of all places.
MSNBC via Brian Williams.
Logged
Pages: 1 2 [3]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.051 seconds with 13 queries.