PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose
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  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose
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Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 197822 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #2000 on: March 13, 2018, 09:53:44 PM »

What about Westmoreland's absentees? When are they counted?
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ajc0918
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« Reply #2001 on: March 13, 2018, 09:54:00 PM »

Lamb + 95 after Washington!
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #2002 on: March 13, 2018, 09:54:22 PM »

Saccone net gained 660 votes in Washington with it being 100% in after that.
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trebor204
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« Reply #2003 on: March 13, 2018, 09:54:27 PM »

With the director of Washington on CNN

Lamb up 95 votes,

Projected voted from Westmoreland,  Saccone will win by 8 votes!
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #2004 on: March 13, 2018, 09:54:41 PM »

I'm not convinced Lamb has this.  He's only 585 votes ahead with 97 percent of the vote in.

Saccone was a really horrible candidate, and Lamb was a really good one.  The race was not overly nationalized, and this area is more ancestrally Democratic than the 2016 results show.  
All of what you said is true in terms of why it's a close race to begin with, but the absentee ballots likely add at least another 1,000 to Lamb's lead. Saccone ran as a Bush republican while Lamb ran as a populist. Can't say that these are shocking results.

Wrong. Saccone ran as a Trump republican.

Turns out being a "deplorable" is a garbage strategy because you lose educated whites, hispanics, african americans, and asians (all of these groups are growing Bigly). Oh, and this district didn't have any of the 3 latter groups, although it did have a bit more educated whites than the US as a whole.

I am a potential GOP voter (I voted Johnny Isakson and Drew Ferguson), but it is very very hard to get me with the Trump strategy.

Even if Saccone wins (which is still possible), this is a completely embarrassing result for you trumptards. Stop effing my party up and get the hell out.
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Sestak
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« Reply #2005 on: March 13, 2018, 09:54:46 PM »

95 VOTE LAMB LEAD WITH 2 IN WESTMORELAND OUT!
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #2006 on: March 13, 2018, 09:54:56 PM »

Lamb leads by 95 votes.
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they don't love you like i love you
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« Reply #2007 on: March 13, 2018, 09:55:07 PM »

95 VOTES OH MY GOD
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #2008 on: March 13, 2018, 09:55:13 PM »

Wow, I was very wrong about Peters Township. Thought it would net Saccone much more. Crow is being eaten.
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #2009 on: March 13, 2018, 09:55:28 PM »

2 precincts left, Lamb by 95 votes
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #2010 on: March 13, 2018, 09:56:06 PM »

If absentees come in as expected, Lamb should win in a crazy close squeaker.  Like 200-300 votes maybe?
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Horus
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« Reply #2011 on: March 13, 2018, 09:56:24 PM »

Which precincts are left?
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #2012 on: March 13, 2018, 09:56:28 PM »

Soooooo absentee votes will decide it.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #2013 on: March 13, 2018, 09:56:31 PM »

Wow, I was very wrong about Peters Township. Thought it would net Saccone much more. Crow is being eaten.
Apparently it was the more liberal part of Peters. I expected Saccone to win by more, too. He dominated the rest of Peters.
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OBD
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« Reply #2014 on: March 13, 2018, 09:56:35 PM »

If exactly 99% left in Westmoreland, and % stays the same, Saccone wins by 8 votes
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2015 on: March 13, 2018, 09:56:43 PM »

If absentees come in as expected, Lamb should win in a crazy close squeaker.  Like 200-300 votes maybe?

That's a reasonable estimate.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2016 on: March 13, 2018, 09:56:48 PM »


Only Washington County Township to swing towards Hillary in 2016.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #2017 on: March 13, 2018, 09:56:53 PM »

2 in westmoreland
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #2018 on: March 13, 2018, 09:56:56 PM »

If absentees come in as expected, Lamb should win in a crazy close squeaker.  Like 200-300 votes maybe?

It really depends on how they lean. 2016 election had absentees pretty significantly more democratic than the election day vote itself. But we can't know for sure for this election.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #2019 on: March 13, 2018, 09:57:08 PM »

Two in Westmoreland.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #2020 on: March 13, 2018, 09:57:13 PM »

Wow, I was very wrong about Peters Township. Thought it would net Saccone much more. Crow is being eaten.
Apparently it was the more liberal part of Peters. I expected Saccone to win by more, too. He dominated the rest of Peters.

That part of peters was in his old HD.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #2021 on: March 13, 2018, 09:57:19 PM »


SUPER WOW!
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NevadanAtHeart
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« Reply #2022 on: March 13, 2018, 09:57:26 PM »

If exactly 99% left in Westmoreland, and % stays the same, Saccone wins by 8 votes

Before absentees? Also, we really need a Discord or something.
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💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)
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« Reply #2023 on: March 13, 2018, 09:57:50 PM »

If exactly 99% left in Westmoreland, and % stays the same, Saccone wins by 8 votes

8 votes seems well within the margin of error for what we can expect from those counties.

getting ready to wew to my lad
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #2024 on: March 13, 2018, 09:58:00 PM »

Wow, I was very wrong about Peters Township. Thought it would net Saccone much more. Crow is being eaten.

Western Peters seems to be less Republican than eastern Peters. Western Peters was what was late while eastern Peters was already in. Western Peters was only around 55% Saccone while eastern Peters was more like 62%.

Can't say Lamb ahead pre-absentees because the two remaining precincts are in Westmoreland, so we don't know where they are, and some precincts have been netting Saccone more than 95 votes on their own. However, at this point I think Lamb should win overall by a few hundred votes once absentees are counted regardless of what the pre-absentee results are.
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