PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (user search)
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  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 203682 times)
Oryxslayer
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« Reply #25 on: March 13, 2018, 06:20:24 PM »
Quote from: bilaps on March 13, 2018, 06:18:53 PM
So, after reading last 6 or 7 pages of this thread i only have one thing to say. If Lamb doesn't win, I hope pittsburgh steel bans himself forever.

I said earlier that he has a lot of crow to eat if Saccone wins Cheesy
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #26 on: March 13, 2018, 06:52:45 PM »

It woudn't be an election evening without it. Hell, it happens even for foreign elections if I know a little bit about the situation.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #27 on: March 13, 2018, 06:58:37 PM »
Quote from: Interlocutor on March 13, 2018, 06:54:37 PM
The closer we get to polls closing, the more posters are denouncing the meaningless of this race

It always kinda was, is on a dead map, and no matter is Lamb wins or loses, he is challenging Rothfus if PA-17. There are three real results here. If Saccone wins, then he will be the new republican locked up in PA-14, rather than a presently unknown individual. Two, if Lamb wins he removes all non-monetary incumbency advantage that Rothfus has. Finally, if one wins, it furthurs that parties narrative and forces the opposing parties hand monetarily and in term of candidate recruitment in the coming weeks.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #28 on: March 13, 2018, 07:01:16 PM »
Okay guys, where will or first precincts report? I think Allegheny county
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #29 on: March 13, 2018, 07:07:27 PM »
Quote from: Next Congressman Conor Lamb on March 13, 2018, 07:06:26 PM
Santorum just put Obama, Clinton and Sanders all in the same "wing" of the Democratic Party.

Why is the idiot still around.

From his perspective, all the democratics are evil Wink
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #30 on: March 13, 2018, 07:11:25 PM »
Quote from: History505 on March 13, 2018, 07:10:32 PM
I'm not quite sure why CNN put Santorum on their panel.

A. Pennsylvania. B. Regular on CNN.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #31 on: March 13, 2018, 07:13:54 PM »


Dave Wasserman's expectations.

I think more in Greene and less in Westmoreland is going to happen if Lamb wins
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #32 on: March 13, 2018, 07:16:34 PM »
Quote from: Sherrod Brown Shill on March 13, 2018, 07:15:37 PM
So no 538 live analysis, I know they did one for AL-Sen in December, did they not do any for MT-AL, GA-6, etc?

They did one for GA-06, but that methinks was special. Expect a emergency podcast post-results probably.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #33 on: March 13, 2018, 07:27:02 PM »

You are fake news
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #34 on: March 13, 2018, 07:27:57 PM »
NYT first precicnct - Plesent hills 6

240 lamb 215 saccone
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #35 on: March 13, 2018, 07:30:12 PM »

yeah the fake numbers came in right before the real ones, messing with everyone.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #36 on: March 13, 2018, 07:32:30 PM »

Yeah my thoughs are coming true, lamb looks to be overpreforming in Greene/Washington to his benchmarks, will probably underpreform in Westmoreland. For referance, NYt benchmarks had no winning precincts in greene.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #37 on: March 13, 2018, 07:36:01 PM »
Three precincts from greene - lamb winning 1 in Waynesburg and losing one by a tiny amount, thrid is a strong Saccone win. Anther allegheny precinct from bridgeport for an easy lamb win.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #38 on: March 13, 2018, 07:39:44 PM »
Quote from: Young Conservative on March 13, 2018, 07:38:47 PM
Early votes dump first. Makes sense Lamb would lead in these given the enthusiasm gap. Still a tossup. No clear winner or favorite.

There is approximatly 0 early voting in PA.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #39 on: March 13, 2018, 07:40:49 PM »
5 more blue precincts in Allegheny.

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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #40 on: March 13, 2018, 07:41:38 PM »

This should be noted and not lost in the thread.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #41 on: March 13, 2018, 07:43:28 PM »
Quote from: MaxQue on March 13, 2018, 07:42:28 PM

What's the exact meaning? They retain all results topost them at 9:30?

When we use the term *dump* that is what it usually means, collecting all of most resulst and release at once.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #42 on: March 13, 2018, 07:45:58 PM »
More and more precincts dropping from Allegheny, some red for Saccone, though both are red by 1 and 2 votes. Also more from rural greene.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #43 on: March 13, 2018, 07:49:10 PM »

Uhhhh, only 23% in, 6/23 precincts
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #44 on: March 13, 2018, 07:50:14 PM »
First washington numbers - 1744 - 1493 - 20 Lamb, 8% reporting, no idea from where.

Looks like mainly central Washingtion township and strabane.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #45 on: March 13, 2018, 07:53:10 PM »
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #46 on: March 13, 2018, 07:54:59 PM »

turn of the jitter.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #47 on: March 13, 2018, 07:56:29 PM »
Quote from: Senator #TheShadowyAbyss on March 13, 2018, 07:55:22 PM
We think about 204,000 votes remain to be counted. We think Mr. Saccone leads in that vote by about 2.2 points.



That number will go up the more alleghany vote comes in before the westmoreland dump, since Saccone should win westmoreland by a lot.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #48 on: March 13, 2018, 08:01:01 PM »
Saccone getting good numbers in his old Elizabeth district is helping him on the needle.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #49 on: March 13, 2018, 08:10:00 PM »
NYT has 27% of westmoreland - 6692 - 8144 Saccone
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