Can Warren win AZ?

[Old Man Willow]

I left out options like "only if Trump loses in a landslide" because it's obvious she could win under such circumstances.

[Grassroots]

Not really unless she can sway critical voters in the countryside.

[P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong]

Of course she could, it's nearly three years till election day. If an election were held between Trump and Warren right at this moment, I think she would win Arizona with over 50% of the vote.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Can she? Of course.
Would she, in actuality? I doubt it.

[Mr. Smith]

If Trump could flip The Rust Belt, no reason this can't happen. Hillary got fairly close despite a last minute run there...did better there than North Carolina even.

That said, she'd probably only take a plurality.

[Pericles]

Yes. Arizona is going Democratic in 2020.

[Former Kentuckian]

Trump was only able to get a plurality in Arizona and Hillary made it competitive. Democrats could make it competitive again.

[Grassroots]

Of course she could, it's nearly three years till election day. If an election were held between Trump and Warren right at this moment, I think she would win Arizona with over 50% of the vote.

Yes. Arizona is going Democratic in 2020.

You are all so sure of yourselves that she will win an almost Solid Red State™.

[History505]

Dems need to focus on winning back the Rust Belt and Florida before trying to win a state like Arizona.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Not really unless she can sway critical voters in the countryside.

Less than 10% of people in Arizona live in rural areas so idk what you mean by "countryside".


I don't think Warren wins in AZ in a close election. She doesn't seem to do very well with hispanics (Look at the recent PPP polls), and she may have trouble with a couple of socially liberal fiscal moderates/conservatives rich subarbanites of which there are a fair amount of in Arizona.

[Grassroots]

Not really unless she can sway critical voters in the countryside.

Less than 10% of people in Arizona live in rural areas so idk what you mean by "countryside".


I don't think Warren wins in AZ in a close election. She doesn't seem to do very well with hispanics (Look at the recent PPP polls), and she may have trouble with a couple of socially liberal fiscal moderates/conservatives rich subarbanites of which there are a fair amount of in Arizona.

Literally anywhere outside Phoenix/Mesa/Scottsdale.

[TDAS04]

It's definitely possible.  I'd rate Arizona a tossup in a Warren vs. Trump race, but Warren isn't the strongest candidate.  The state would be at least tilt D with Harris, Gillibrand, Biden, Booker, etc.

[here2view]

Dems need to focus on winning back the Rust Belt and Florida before trying to win a state like Arizona.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Not a chance.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Dems need to focus on winning back the Rust Belt and Florida before trying to win a state like Arizona.

[Webnicz]

All Warren (or any democratic nominee) needs to do to win AZ is run ads on the airwaves about how trump pardoned criminal Joe Arpaio. This is still a HUGE local issue in Arizona and will be basically forever. Arpaio is such a hated man here.

Warren could do it but there are stronger candidates for AZ

Gillibrand would def be the best candidate Imo to win AZ, she could have an appeal to white suburban moms, in Maricopa county. Her plus Arpaio ads would make it lean D, anyone else tossup.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

All Warren (or any democratic nominee) needs to do to win AZ is run ads on the airwaves about how trump pardoned criminal Joe Arpaio. This is still a HUGE local issue in Arizona and will be basically forever. Arpaio is such a hated man here.

Warren could do it but there are stronger candidates for AZ

Gillibrand would def be the best candidate Imo to win AZ, she could have an appeal to white suburban moms, in Maricopa county. Her plus Arpaio ads would make it lean D, anyone else tossup.

Yeah, Gillibrand as far as I can tell is Hillary without the baggage. As long as she hasn't sent any suspicious emails, she should win nationallly and have a good chance at AZ.

[AtorBoltox]

Arizona is a tilt d state for 2020 so sure she could

[Mr. Smith]

Dems need to focus on winning back the Rust Belt and Florida before trying to win a state like Arizona.

Like Trump needed to win back Virginia or Colorado before even thinking about Michigan?

[Pouring Rain and Blairing Music]

Arizona is a tilt d state for 2020 so sure she could

[Bojack Horseman]

If the Dems win Flake's Senate seat, I'd say there's a chance it could be in play. But we'll have to wait and see.

[world.execute(me)]

Not really unless she can sway critical voters in the countryside.

Less than 10% of people in Arizona live in rural areas so idk what you mean by "countryside".

Literally anywhere outside Phoenix/Mesa/Scottsdale.

Pictured, the small, quiet town on the Arizona countryside in which I live my quiet rural life:


and there's also (smaller, but still) Flagstaff, Yuma, Sierra Vista, Prescott, Kingman, Sedona, Mirana, Nogales, etc etc etc. We aren't Illinois. I'm not sure if a single part of the state is "countryside" in the way you're probably thinking.

[henster]

Does Warren really strike you as the type of candidate who can flip red states and GOP leaning voters? She's a down the line Massachusetts liberal who is extremely polarizing.

[Pericles]

She beats Trump by 9 points in the polls which would be more than enough to flip it.

[BaldEagle1991]

I hate to say it but, no. She's too liberal for AZ.