Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread

[BudgieForce]

I really hope these exit polls are accurate.

[7,052,770]

Also 40 pro-choice/54 anti-abortion makes more sense.

But not that much more, it's still much higher than I'd expect from Alabama.

Pretty consistent with abortion bans shockingly failing last decade at the ballot in South Dakota and Mississippi

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I can certainly imagine people with unfavorable views of Moore still voting for him, but this points to a likely Jones victory.

[Adam Griffin]

[Jeppe]

Trump approval being at 48-48 could be very big if this is representative. This I think points to Jones winning.

Didn’t Jones run ahead of Trump’s approval rating by 10 points in almost all the polls? If Fox News got this right, lol...

[The Other Castro]

Trump approval being at 48-48 could be very big if this is representative. This I think points to Jones winning.

Didn’t Jones run ahead of Trump’s approval rating by 10 points in almost all the polls? If Fox News got this right, lol...

Pretty much Trump being under net +5 points to a Jones lead I believe.

[Sestak]

In regards to the pro-life and pro-choice number, I would take into consideration that more Democrats and moderates are likely turning out, so this is probably not entirely accurate

But if that's an accurate slice of the turnout today, it's huge.

[Oryxslayer]

BOOM

This actually lower Jones approval then in some of the pre-election polls we saw.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I hope these exit polls are true because these are brutal for Moore

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

It's true that these exits do look awesome for Jones, but I'm still not getting my hopes up. let's wait and see what happens.

[Kamala]

“The Democrats are back, baby!” - some poor sap’s wishful thinking.

[riceowl]

Those "Dislike other candidate" numbers are...strange.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

BOOM

This actually lower Jones approval then in some of the pre-election polls we saw.

Doesn't matter. It's the difference between the two that is so significant.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

The funniest part is the Trumpers on PredictIt refusing to sell Moore.

[Tx_Longhorn]

Wow, those favorability numbers look promising... looks like this is going to be a nail biter either way..

[Yank2133]

How does Jones have only a 49/49 fav. split? There is literally nothing personally bad about the guy.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

How does Jones have only a 49/49 fav. split? There is literally nothing personally bad about the guy.

He's a democrat and it's Alabama.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

How much did exit polls overestimate Kerry by...?

[BudgieForce]

“The Democrats are back, baby!” - some poor sap’s wishful thinking.

"Yo soy Tim Kaine"

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Those "Dislike other candidate" numbers are...strange.

Chance a lot of Moore’s numbers are people who can’t stand him but don’t want a pro-choice/Dem Senator.

[KingSweden]

In regards to the pro-life and pro-choice number, I would take into consideration that more Democrats and moderates are likely turning out, so this is probably not entirely accurate

Worth bearing in mind too many southern blacks are pro-life, it just isn’t their red-line issue like for many evangelical whites

[UncleSam]

Those "Dislike other candidate" numbers are...strange.

It indicates that Jones is getting great turnout from the base, but very little crossover support from Republicans. Meanwhile, Moore is getting some Republicans who just can't stomach a pro-choice candidate.

Question will be how many Republicans stayed home. Based on these numbers, likely quite a few.

[Santander]

In regards to the pro-life and pro-choice number, I would take into consideration that more Democrats and moderates are likely turning out, so this is probably not entirely accurate

Worth bearing in mind too many southern blacks are pro-life, it just isn’t their red-line issue like for many evangelical whites

That's because white one-issue voters often just say they're voting on life while their decision is shaped by other reasons, such as socially-unacceptable views they don't want to share or partisan hackery.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I think the evidence in Republicans staying home lies in the part where they talk about party favorability. the Democrats are viewed more favorable than the Republicans.

[fluffypanther19]

please let Doug Jones win....please let him win