Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread
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  Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Who will win?
#1
Roy Moore (R)		  
#2
Doug Jones (D)		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 189

Author Topic: Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread  (Read 126859 times)
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #750 on: December 12, 2017, 04:28:58 PM »

An upper-middle class precinct in Birmingham might be significantly more pro-Moore than Jefferson County as a whole, though
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #751 on: December 12, 2017, 04:29:01 PM »
Quote from: marty on December 12, 2017, 04:27:39 PM
If Moore is seen as toxic to so many GOP leaning voters, why did he win the primary by a comfortable margin?

Why didn't they come out and vote against him in the runoff?

Moore only won the runoff by 10%, and that was before the allegations.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #752 on: December 12, 2017, 04:29:30 PM »
More good news!

https://twitter.com/AlabamaBlueDot/status/940667488274210816
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #753 on: December 12, 2017, 04:30:26 PM »
What's the turnout like in Moore favored counties?
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Sestak
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« Reply #754 on: December 12, 2017, 04:31:53 PM »
Quote from: DTC on December 12, 2017, 04:30:26 PM
What's the turnout like in Moore favored counties?

No real idea.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #755 on: December 12, 2017, 04:32:07 PM »
The close Lt. Governor race makes me a little hopeful enough republicans are willing to cross over.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #756 on: December 12, 2017, 04:32:16 PM »
How do we expect the ultra-wealthy Mountain Brook (in non-Birmingham Jefferson County) to vote?
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« Reply #757 on: December 12, 2017, 04:32:55 PM »
https://twitter.com/rockrichard/status/940694880371781634

We're getting a lot of good turnout reports for Jones. That's what happened for Northam.
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« Reply #758 on: December 12, 2017, 04:34:08 PM »
Quote from: IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi on December 12, 2017, 04:28:08 PM
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Puhleeze. Moore's been outspent 14:1 by Democrats. Desperation? Pitching 50 million to win a Senate race in Alabama.
That's not desperation at all when you have a real chance of winning the race.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
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« Reply #759 on: December 12, 2017, 04:35:10 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on December 12, 2017, 04:32:55 PM
https://twitter.com/rockrichard/status/940694880371781634

We're getting a lot of good turnout reports for Jones. That's what happened for Northam.
We also got a lot of good turnout reports for HRC in 2016, so tread cautiously.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #760 on: December 12, 2017, 04:35:26 PM »
Quote from: ExtremeConservative on December 12, 2017, 04:32:16 PM
How do we expect the ultra-wealthy Mountain Brook (in non-Birmingham Jefferson County) to vote?

The ultra-wealthy tend to not like child molesting perverts.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #761 on: December 12, 2017, 04:36:09 PM »
I love this guy. Oh my god.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #762 on: December 12, 2017, 04:36:48 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #763 on: December 12, 2017, 04:37:56 PM »
From a Vox reporter:

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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #764 on: December 12, 2017, 04:38:02 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on December 12, 2017, 03:49:42 PM
So the Estimated Votes section of NYT is basically predicting a Jones victory.

It's actually a 453-vote Moore win assuming I made no mistakes:


Here are NYT's initial margin estimates for an approximately-tied race by county in spreadsheet format.
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Kamala
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« Reply #765 on: December 12, 2017, 04:38:36 PM »
Quote from: ExtremeConservative on December 12, 2017, 04:32:16 PM
How do we expect the ultra-wealthy Mountain Brook (in non-Birmingham Jefferson County) to vote?

Isn't this the Whole Foods district? I remember there being a very Jones-favorable informal poll there.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
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« Reply #766 on: December 12, 2017, 04:38:56 PM »
The. Most. Bipolar. Thread. Ever.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #767 on: December 12, 2017, 04:39:51 PM »

Some people might feel just the opposite. Wink
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« Reply #768 on: December 12, 2017, 04:42:20 PM »
I try not to get my hopes up but from what we are seeing, pro-Jones county turnout is skyrocketing with loads of minority and young turnout while Moore's strongholds aren't too exciting...

If this is true, Fox may have gotten this election right
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #769 on: December 12, 2017, 04:43:32 PM »
Quote from: America's Sweetheart ❤ on December 12, 2017, 04:35:10 PM
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on December 12, 2017, 04:32:55 PM
https://twitter.com/rockrichard/status/940694880371781634

We're getting a lot of good turnout reports for Jones. That's what happened for Northam.
We also got a lot of good turnout reports for HRC in 2016, so tread cautiously.

True, although there's no electoral college here.
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Sestak
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« Reply #770 on: December 12, 2017, 04:43:54 PM »
"Jones is ahead"

"Jones is screwed"

"Jones is ahead"

"Jones is screwed"

"Jones is ahead"

"Jones is screwed"

"Jones is ahead"

"Jones is screwed"
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mvd10
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« Reply #771 on: December 12, 2017, 04:44:40 PM »
Quote from: ExtremeConservative on December 12, 2017, 04:32:16 PM
How do we expect the ultra-wealthy Mountain Brook (in non-Birmingham Jefferson County) to vote?

I wouldn't be too surprised if they voted for Moore. Ultra-wealthy areas in Southern states are hilariously Republican and Trump won plenty of those places by huge margins even though he collapsed in wealthy California and NYC suburbs (and ultimately most of the wealthiest places are there).
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #772 on: December 12, 2017, 04:44:53 PM »
Apparently turnout is booming in Birmingham which is Doug territory.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
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« Reply #773 on: December 12, 2017, 04:45:07 PM »
Quote from: Silent Hunter on December 12, 2017, 04:43:32 PM
Quote from: America's Sweetheart ❤ on December 12, 2017, 04:35:10 PM
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on December 12, 2017, 04:32:55 PM
https://twitter.com/rockrichard/status/940694880371781634

We're getting a lot of good turnout reports for Jones. That's what happened for Northam.
We also got a lot of good turnout reports for HRC in 2016, so tread cautiously.

True, although there's no electoral college here.
I recall individual state turnout reports being favorable to HRC, not just nationally.
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« Reply #774 on: December 12, 2017, 04:45:40 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on December 12, 2017, 04:44:53 PM
Apparently turnout is booming in Birmingham which is Doug territory.
That's what we need for a win tonight.
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