Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread

[Kamala]

It seems like everything that Jones needs to win is happening

Don't jinx it!

[King Lear]

Calling it now, stick a fork in him, Jones is finished. I've been seeing reports all day on other sites saying there's massive turnout in rural white bigot neighborhoods. Evan if every black person shows up we're still gonna get swamped by a sunami of bigots.

[Sestak]

Calling it now, stick a fork in him, Jones is finished. I've been seeing reports all day on other sites saying there's massive turnout in rural white bigot neighborhoods. Evan if every black person shows up we're still gonna get swamped by a sunami of bigots.

If Jones wins, this is the new "Rain in NoVa".

[Matty]

It seems like everything that Jones needs to win is happening

I'm thinking that too, but I reeeealllly don't want to get my hopes up.

But it's tough, between:

1. This turnout data
2. Jones' confidence
3. Fox's apparent confidence in their poll

How can you make ANY assumptions about turnout data at this point when we have no clue what is happening in 60%+ of the state?

[swf541]

Calling it now, stick a fork in him, Jones is finished. I've been seeing reports all day on other sites saying there's massive turnout in rural white bigot neighborhoods. Evan if every black person shows up we're still gonna get swamped by a sunami of bigots.

CITATION NEEDED

Also horrific spelling

[Adam Griffin]

https://twitter.com/BrendanKKirby/status/940637488456044545

Tweet from Brendan Kirby:
"Baldwin County Probate Judge Tim Russell thinks #AlabamaSenateRace turnout in his county might hit 35-40 percent range. He also thinks Doug Jones might take about 45 percent of that vote. If he's right, hard to see Roy Moore winning."

Any chance Baldwin County Probate Judge Tim Russell is the world's biggest troll by moonlight?

[Pericles]

It could be that Emerson not Fox called the race.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Calling it now, stick a fork in him, Jones is finished. I've been seeing reports all day on other sites saying there's massive turnout in rural white bigot neighborhoods. Evan if every black person shows up we're still gonna get swamped by a sunami of bigots.

Is this a sock of LimoLiberal?

[Sestak]

It seems like everything that Jones needs to win is happening

I'm thinking that too, but I reeeealllly don't want to get my hopes up.

But it's tough, between:

1. This turnout data
2. Jones' confidence
3. Fox's apparent confidence in their poll

How can you make ANY assumptions about turnout data at this point when we have no clue what is happening in 60%+ of the state?

Turnout data is a very limited and innaccurate window, I'm aware. However, the snippets we do know look good for Jones. Not definitive, though, which is why I'm trying not to get my hopes up.

[swf541]

Calling it now, stick a fork in him, Jones is finished. I've been seeing reports all day on other sites saying there's massive turnout in rural white bigot neighborhoods. Evan if every black person shows up we're still gonna get swamped by a sunami of bigots.

Is this a sock of LimoLiberal?

Seems likely, just some how has worse spelling....

[KingSweden]

Seriously - let’s all pump the brakes on turnout anecdotes or “projections” from random local officials.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Is it me or has IceSpear been conspicuously absent from this thread today?

[Sestak]

Calling it now, stick a fork in him, Jones is finished. I've been seeing reports all day on other sites saying there's massive turnout in rural white bigot neighborhoods. Evan if every black person shows up we're still gonna get swamped by a sunami of bigots.

Is this a sock of LimoLiberal?

I mean, I initially didn't think so, but now...

Can someone do a side-by-side of this with the infamous "Rain in NoVa" post?

[heatcharger]

NYT Results + Model is out.

They've got one of those Estimated Votes Remaining thing, and I assume their estimates are based on a tied race. They think Jones needs 65% in Jefferson, 54% in Mobile, 54% in Madison, and 41% in Shelby (how?) to name a few.

[Sestak]

Seriously - let’s all pump the brakes on turnout anecdotes or “projections” from random local officials.

No. We need to comment on every tiny little report if we want to get to Megathread 4.

[Kamala]

Impale me on the needle.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

So the Estimated Votes section of NYT is basically predicting a Jones victory.

[heatcharger]

So the Estimated Votes section of NYT is basically predicting a Jones victory.

So a tied race = Jones victory now? Great news!

[fluffypanther19]

Is it me or has IceSpear been conspicuously absent from this thread today?

yeah its weird, but you know he will be back to gloat if Moore wins

[Virginiá]

Does anyone know how the night will go in terms of vote reporting - like should Moore be expected to post a big lead at first then Jones slowly whittles away at it, or vice versa, or?

[King Lear]

Calling it now, stick a fork in him, Jones is finished. I've been seeing reports all day on other sites saying there's massive turnout in rural white bigot neighborhoods. Evan if every black person shows up we're still gonna get swamped by a sunami of bigots.

Is this a sock of LimoLiberal?

I mean, I initially didn't think so, but now...

Can someone do a side-by-side of this with the infamous "Rain in NoVa" post?

We'll see who's right at the end of the night.

[Sestak]

Does anyone know how the night will go in terms of vote reporting - like should Moore be expected to post a big lead at first then Jones slowly whittles away at it, or vice versa, or?

I'd like to know this too. What reports early, what stays late?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

There is reportedly very nice weather in 'Bama so no "Rain in NoVa" panic posts necessary.

I feel like we should make shirts saying: "I survived the Rain in NoVa"

[BudgieForce]

There is reportedly very nice weather in 'Bama so no "Rain in NoVa" panic posts necessary.

I feel like we should make shirts saying: "I survived the Rain in NoVa"

Didnt stop LimoLiberal from trying.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Like I said it's looking like GA-06 all over again https://mobile.twitter.com/rockrichard/status/940685709161189376