VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)
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Author Topic: VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)  (Read 96233 times)
Yank2133
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« Reply #325 on: November 07, 2017, 02:12:59 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on November 07, 2017, 02:08:52 PM
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on November 07, 2017, 02:07:25 PM
A story going around social media is Northam is being helped by downballot races

Wouldn't be surprised.

Yeah.

VA Dems had a great year in terms of recruitment.
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Kamala
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« Reply #326 on: November 07, 2017, 02:15:20 PM »
What is the pundit prediction for the 13th HoD district?
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #327 on: November 07, 2017, 02:15:33 PM »
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on November 07, 2017, 02:07:25 PM
A story going around social media is Northam is being helped by downballot races

Has to be, because he certainly wasn't helping himself much.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #328 on: November 07, 2017, 02:16:41 PM »

Trump won it 59%-34%.
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Jeppe
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« Reply #329 on: November 07, 2017, 02:17:34 PM »
Quote from: Kamala Claus on November 07, 2017, 02:15:20 PM
What is the pundit prediction for the 13th HoD district?
Danica Roem outraised the incumbent $800k to $350k, so she has a fairly good shot. Clinton beat Trump by 14 points in the district, so it gives Roem some room to breathe too.
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Kamala
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« Reply #330 on: November 07, 2017, 02:19:11 PM »
Quote from: Bosse on November 07, 2017, 02:17:34 PM
Quote from: Kamala Claus on November 07, 2017, 02:15:20 PM
What is the pundit prediction for the 13th HoD district?
Danica Roem outraised the incumbent $800k to $350k, so she has a fairly good shot. Clinton beat Trump by 14 points in the district, so it gives Roem some room to breathe too.

Wonderful. The author of Virginia's bathroom bill being defeated by the first trans person in a state legislature is the kind of poetic justice I can get behind.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #331 on: November 07, 2017, 02:19:25 PM »
« Edited: November 07, 2017, 02:20:56 PM by Yank2133 »
Quote from: L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again on November 07, 2017, 02:15:33 PM
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on November 07, 2017, 02:07:25 PM
A story going around social media is Northam is being helped by downballot races

Has to be, because he certainly wasn't helping himself much.

Northam has ran the typical VA Democratic campaign. I don't get why people think what he is doing is any different then how any Democrat have done since 2008.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #332 on: November 07, 2017, 02:19:44 PM »
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #333 on: November 07, 2017, 02:21:14 PM »
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Anna Komnene
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« Reply #334 on: November 07, 2017, 02:25:12 PM »
Quote from: Kamala Claus on November 07, 2017, 02:15:20 PM
What is the pundit prediction for the 13th HoD district?

DDHQ has it listed as lean D. Danica Roem has raised a lot of money and gotten help from lots of lgbt groups, but Marshall had a worryingly large cash advantage at the end of October because Roem's campaign basically burned through all of it's cash. The sheer contrast between the two candidates (ie: trans candidate vs trans-hating socon) makes me a little wary of predictions based on regular metrics... but I'm definitely hopeful.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #335 on: November 07, 2017, 02:25:29 PM »

Nice and low, at least so far. Hopefully it stays that way.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #336 on: November 07, 2017, 02:25:46 PM »
okies main post updated with NYT results pages, HoD elections analysis and of course Miles' page which is a plethora of information on Virginia
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Kamala
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« Reply #337 on: November 07, 2017, 02:27:25 PM »
Quote from: PNM on November 07, 2017, 02:26:45 PM
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on November 07, 2017, 02:25:29 PM

Nice and low, at least so far. Hopefully it stays that way.

Did you eat a big bowl of stupid for breakfast this doesnt even include absentees and ppl arent off work yet

inb4 "only republicans have jerbs"
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #338 on: November 07, 2017, 02:27:45 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on November 07, 2017, 02:25:29 PM

Nice and low, at least so far. Hopefully it stays that way.
Go to hell
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #339 on: November 07, 2017, 02:27:53 PM »
Quote from: Kamala Claus on November 07, 2017, 02:15:20 PM
What is the pundit prediction for the 13th HoD district?

Check out the HoD page, I will try to be on top of the HoD race later today.

Pundit-wise, DDHQ says Lean D,  heatcharger says pure tossup, Kos says D Leaning Tossup, and cook/Sabato (old) say Tossup with a Dem advantage.
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swf541
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« Reply #340 on: November 07, 2017, 02:27:55 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on November 07, 2017, 02:25:29 PM

Nice and low, at least so far. Hopefully it stays that way.

Uh, only 48% of it voted in 2013 thats not low in comparison....
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #341 on: November 07, 2017, 02:28:24 PM »

Excellent!
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swf541
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« Reply #342 on: November 07, 2017, 02:29:09 PM »
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Jeppe
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« Reply #343 on: November 07, 2017, 02:29:19 PM »
Including absentee and early votes, Fairfax County is at 36.7% turnout at 2 pm.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #344 on: November 07, 2017, 02:30:17 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #345 on: November 07, 2017, 02:30:24 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on November 07, 2017, 02:25:29 PM

Nice and low, at least so far. Hopefully it stays that way.

With 5 hours left to vote, Fairfax was already at 81.9% of the 2013 vote.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #346 on: November 07, 2017, 02:31:38 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on November 07, 2017, 02:30:41 PM
Quote from: Virginia on November 07, 2017, 02:25:46 PM
okies main post updated with NYT results pages, HoD elections analysis and of course Miles' page which is a plethora of information on Virginia

Thanks! No results page for Maine?

np. It's on the tab bar of any of those NYT links, but I'll add them all to the main post I suppose.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #347 on: November 07, 2017, 02:31:58 PM »
Stop hyping low turnout
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swf541
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« Reply #348 on: November 07, 2017, 02:32:21 PM »
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Keep cool-idge
Benjamin Harrison he is w
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« Reply #349 on: November 07, 2017, 02:32:56 PM »
30% turnout in Henrico county so far.

https://mobile.twitter.com/VotingGuy/status/927980573750124544
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