MS Megathread: Hyde-Smith wins by 8

[Del Tachi]

Brandon Presley won't be a candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018.


Also, is there any way to rename this thread something like:  "MS 2018 Megathread?"  Most of the discussion here has strayed from the original topic (a possible Cochran resignation) and we could even combine the thread on Harper's retirement with this one.

Against Wicker, he never said he wouldn’t run in a special.

Eh, he doesn't mention anything about Wicker specifically.  And his statement is construed in such a way that is a pretty inclusive 'no' about going to Washington at all this year. 

Also, I don't think we'll be getting a special election this year.

What's the latest date that Cochran could resign that would still allow/require a special election this year?

Applicable state code is here.

Based on my reading it seems to imply that if Cochran resigns prior to July 29 then a special election has to coincide with the regularly scheduled election.  If he resigns after that date it gets a bit harder to interpret.

[Free Bird]

If he was gonna resign, wouldn't he have done it by now?

[Holmes]

If he was gonna resign, wouldn't he have done it by now?

Maybe, but the shut down might be throwing a wrench in things.

[Torrain]

If Cochran resigns after July 29 will the special election coincide with the 2019 Mississippi elections, or would the appointee serve until election day 2020? (Or is it some arbitrary date that defies logical sense)

[Greedo punched first]

If Cochran resigns after July 29 will the special election coincide with the 2019 Mississippi elections, or would the appointee serve until election day 2020? (Or is it some arbitrary date that defies logical sense)

The special election would coincide with the 2019 Mississippi elections. If a candidate gets a majority in the primary, that candidate wins. If not, the runoff will be in November of 2019.

[Torrain]

If Cochran resigns after July 29 will the special election coincide with the 2019 Mississippi elections, or would the appointee serve until election day 2020? (Or is it some arbitrary date that defies logical sense)

The special election would coincide with the 2019 Mississippi elections. If a candidate gets a majority in the primary, that candidate wins. If not, the runoff will be in November of 2019.

Thanks. So if Hood runs for Governor in 2019, and Cochran resigns after July 29th, then there's a chance that Hood could carry the democratic nominee over the finish line. A small chance, built on many hypotheticals, but an interesting scenario nonetheless.

[Greedo punched first]

If Cochran resigns after July 29 will the special election coincide with the 2019 Mississippi elections, or would the appointee serve until election day 2020? (Or is it some arbitrary date that defies logical sense)

The special election would coincide with the 2019 Mississippi elections. If a candidate gets a majority in the primary, that candidate wins. If not, the runoff will be in November of 2019.

Thanks. So if Hood runs for Governor in 2019, and Cochran resigns after July 29th, then there's a chance that Hood could carry the democratic nominee over the finish line. A small chance, built on many hypotheticals, but an interesting scenario nonetheless.

A candidate could get a majority in the 2018 or 2019 primary. This would avoid a runoff in November.

[Del Tachi]

If Cochran resigns after July 29 will the special election coincide with the 2019 Mississippi elections, or would the appointee serve until election day 2020? (Or is it some arbitrary date that defies logical sense)

The special election would coincide with the 2019 Mississippi elections. If a candidate gets a majority in the primary, that candidate wins. If not, the runoff will be in November of 2019.

Eh, not if Cochran resigns sometime between 29 July and 31 December.  That would probably mean a special election in the early part of 2019.

[Holmes]

McConnell's trying to get Bryant to appoint himself.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/mcconnell-urges-mississippi-governor-to-consider-cochran-senate-seat/2018/02/01/7f455d68-079d-11e8-8777-2a059f168dd2_story.html?sw_bypass=true&utm_term=.fde79a0ed3d2

[adrac]

McConnell's trying to get Bryant to appoint himself.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/mcconnell-urges-mississippi-governor-to-consider-cochran-senate-seat/2018/02/01/7f455d68-079d-11e8-8777-2a059f168dd2_story.html?sw_bypass=true&utm_term=.fde79a0ed3d2

In what universe does this look good?

[Doimper]

McConnell's trying to get Bryant to appoint himself.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/mcconnell-urges-mississippi-governor-to-consider-cochran-senate-seat/2018/02/01/7f455d68-079d-11e8-8777-2a059f168dd2_story.html?sw_bypass=true&utm_term=.fde79a0ed3d2

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Smart man.

[Bojack Horseman]

The last time this actually happened was when Minnesota Governor Wendell Anderson resigned and had his LG appoint him to fill Walter Mondale’s seat in 1977. The only governor to appoint himself to the Senate and win the seat for himself was Kentucky Governor Happy Chandler in 1939.

[PAK Man]

I wonder if McConnell is hoping this happens because he's worried Jim Hood will run for MSGov in 2019 and thinks the incumbent will have better odds at defending the seat.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Bryant says he won't appoint himself if Cochran resigns and isn't interested in running for Senate: http://www.wwltv.com/article/news/nation-now/miss-gov-not-interested-in-senate-run-despite-urging-from-trump-mcconnell/465-32b0ba69-e655-4aef-a8fd-de45733c6853

[Indy Texas]

The last time this actually happened was when Minnesota Governor Wendell Anderson resigned and had his LG appoint him to fill Walter Mondale’s seat in 1977. The only governor to appoint himself to the Senate and win the seat for himself was Kentucky Governor Happy Chandler in 1939.

Joe Manchin would like to have a word with you.

But yes, generally this sort of thing doesn't end well. In the case of Wendell Anderson, it resulted in the DFL Party being shut out of the US Senate for over a decade.

[YE]

The last time this actually happened was when Minnesota Governor Wendell Anderson resigned and had his LG appoint him to fill Walter Mondale’s seat in 1977. The only governor to appoint himself to the Senate and win the seat for himself was Kentucky Governor Happy Chandler in 1939.

Joe Manchin would like to have a word with you.

But yes, generally this sort of thing doesn't end well. In the case of Wendell Anderson, it resulted in the DFL Party being shut out of the US Senate for over a decade.

Joe Manchin didn't appoint himself; he appointed a staffer as a seatwarmer and then ran in the special.

[Cactus Jack]

The last time this actually happened was when Minnesota Governor Wendell Anderson resigned and had his LG appoint him to fill Walter Mondale’s seat in 1977. The only governor to appoint himself to the Senate and win the seat for himself was Kentucky Governor Happy Chandler in 1939.

Joe Manchin would like to have a word with you.

Actually, Manchin appointed Goodwin as a seatwarmer before hopping up into the special election himself. His intentions were blatantly obvious, but he didn't just flat-out appoint himself.

[OneJ]

McConnell's trying to get Bryant to appoint himself.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/mcconnell-urges-mississippi-governor-to-consider-cochran-senate-seat/2018/02/01/7f455d68-079d-11e8-8777-2a059f168dd2_story.html?sw_bypass=true&utm_term=.fde79a0ed3d2

That seems pretty...um...desperate.

[Rjjr77]

If Bryant is going to run for it, as many expect he may despite what he says publicly, why not appoint himself? The line of succession in Mississippi has been fairly predetermined.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Reposting from Friday:

Bryant says he won't appoint himself if Cochran resigns and isn't interested in running for Senate: http://www.wwltv.com/article/news/nation-now/miss-gov-not-interested-in-senate-run-despite-urging-from-trump-mcconnell/465-32b0ba69-e655-4aef-a8fd-de45733c6853

[Rjjr77]

Reposting from Friday:

Bryant says he won't appoint himself if Cochran resigns and isn't interested in running for Senate: http://www.wwltv.com/article/news/nation-now/miss-gov-not-interested-in-senate-run-despite-urging-from-trump-mcconnell/465-32b0ba69-e655-4aef-a8fd-de45733c6853

The prevailing wisdom is that is just Bryant being Bryant and declining until he decides to not decline

[Free Bird]

I don't see the harm in Lott as a temporary placeholder still.

[Bidenworth2020]

I really think Palazzo is the best choice, as he is the establishment, while still unbearably conservative.

[Rjjr77]

I really think Palazzo is the best choice, as he is the establishment, while still unbearably conservative.

Palazzo is a little far down the list in the Barbour world of next man up... could be him if others pass but I dont think he'll be it.

[Del Tachi]

Poll commissioned by Y'all Politics shows the state Democratic Party in the same mess it was in 2015, Hood/Presley vulnerable in primaries