State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread  (Read 180087 times)
Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1875 on: February 27, 2018, 07:40:02 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on February 27, 2018, 07:38:43 PM
Republican Cartier wins Laconia W6 with 201 to 182 for Dem Spagnuolo

This puts us at Dem 750, GOP 708.
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Solid4096
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« Reply #1876 on: February 27, 2018, 07:40:25 PM »
This is going to be close.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1877 on: February 27, 2018, 07:40:41 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on February 27, 2018, 07:40:02 PM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on February 27, 2018, 07:38:43 PM
Republican Cartier wins Laconia W6 with 201 to 182 for Dem Spagnuolo

This puts us at Dem 750, GOP 708.

Any insight on which way the remaining ward leans?
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #1878 on: February 27, 2018, 07:41:16 PM »
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on February 27, 2018, 07:38:36 PM
Does anyone know how the New Hampshire district voted in 2016?

56 Trump 2 Party vote
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1879 on: February 27, 2018, 07:41:33 PM »
51.5-48.5 for Spagnuolo (D) with the last ward uncounted.

Would represent a 17 point over performance from 2016 and a 2 point from 2012.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1880 on: February 27, 2018, 07:42:21 PM »
Quote from: Singletxguyforfun on February 27, 2018, 07:42:00 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on February 27, 2018, 07:40:41 PM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on February 27, 2018, 07:40:02 PM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on February 27, 2018, 07:38:43 PM
Republican Cartier wins Laconia W6 with 201 to 182 for Dem Spagnuolo

This puts us at Dem 750, GOP 708.

Any insight on which way the remaining ward leans?

Ward 3 is the most republican part of the city

Wrong.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1881 on: February 27, 2018, 07:42:30 PM »
W3 was LEFT apparently:

It's over: Dem Spagnuolo wins W3 218-133
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #1882 on: February 27, 2018, 07:43:20 PM »
Spagnuolo wins 968-841.
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Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1883 on: February 27, 2018, 07:43:23 PM »
And Spagnuolo (D) WINS #Belknap3 968-841
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Holmes
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« Reply #1884 on: February 27, 2018, 07:44:16 PM »
Trump is killing the NH GOP.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1885 on: February 27, 2018, 07:44:30 PM »
Spagnuolo (D) wins 968-841, 53.5-46.5, representing a 20 point over performance on the 2016 presidential results and a 6 point over performance on the 2012 results.
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Doimper
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« Reply #1886 on: February 27, 2018, 07:44:38 PM »
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1887 on: February 27, 2018, 07:44:58 PM »
Dem wins 53.5% - 46.5%.  
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1888 on: February 27, 2018, 07:45:02 PM »
MTT was correct again about New Hampshire.
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #1889 on: February 27, 2018, 07:45:21 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on February 27, 2018, 07:42:21 PM
Quote from: Singletxguyforfun on February 27, 2018, 07:42:00 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on February 27, 2018, 07:40:41 PM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on February 27, 2018, 07:40:02 PM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on February 27, 2018, 07:38:43 PM
Republican Cartier wins Laconia W6 with 201 to 182 for Dem Spagnuolo

This puts us at Dem 750, GOP 708.

Any insight on which way the remaining ward leans?

Ward 3 is the most republican part of the city

Wrong.

Yeah I was looking at a map of Portsmouth for some reason. Portsmouth Ward 3 looks big so I assumed it was the outskirts of Laconia. The towns actually look similar on aap
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Strudelcutie4427
Singletxguyforfun
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« Reply #1890 on: February 27, 2018, 07:46:12 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 27, 2018, 07:45:02 PM
MTT was correct again about New Hampshire.

I’m just waiting for him to be wrong so I can rub his face in it
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Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1891 on: February 27, 2018, 07:48:17 PM »
Final margin in KY:

GOP holds KY's #HD89, winning it 67%-33%. Trump carried #HD89 by 62%, so that's still a net swing of 28% toward Dems.

(28% is also the average swing toward Dems in all 2018 special election so far combined, per @DKElections.)

LOL @ MT Treasurer saying this would be close.

MT's at 1-1 right now. CT will break the tie. Polls close at the top of the hour.
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Holmes
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« Reply #1892 on: February 27, 2018, 07:48:26 PM »
Quote from: Singletxguyforfun on February 27, 2018, 07:46:12 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 27, 2018, 07:45:02 PM
MTT was correct again about New Hampshire.

I’m just waiting for him to be wrong so I can rub his face in it

At this point that would be an exception to the rule.

NH women are pissed. Tongue
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Virginiá
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« Reply #1893 on: February 27, 2018, 07:50:18 PM »

This is what I was thinking after seeing the final result. The NHGOP has lost most of the special elections so far, and by pretty decent swings. I think it's fair to say that their legislative majorities are in serious jeopardy. In fact I'd be pretty surprised if they still held either chamber by 2019. Their state Senate race margins were already pretty slim in 2016, and that was in a favorable environment for them.
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Doimper
Doctor Imperialism
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« Reply #1894 on: February 27, 2018, 07:50:56 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on February 27, 2018, 07:48:26 PM
Quote from: Singletxguyforfun on February 27, 2018, 07:46:12 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 27, 2018, 07:45:02 PM
MTT was correct again about New Hampshire.

I’m just waiting for him to be wrong so I can rub his face in it

At this point that would be an exception to the rule.

NH women are pissed. Tongue

Didn't he admit to being wrong in 2016, after Clinton and Hassan nearly lost there?
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Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
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« Reply #1895 on: February 27, 2018, 07:53:38 PM »
I still think Republicans narrowly take the CT seat, but we will see.
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Former Kentuckian
Cal
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« Reply #1896 on: February 27, 2018, 07:55:35 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on February 27, 2018, 07:48:17 PM
Final margin in KY:

GOP holds KY's #HD89, winning it 67%-33%. Trump carried #HD89 by 62%, so that's still a net swing of 28% toward Dems.

(28% is also the average swing toward Dems in all 2018 special election so far combined, per @DKElections.)

LOL @ MT Treasurer saying this would be close.

MT's at 1-1 right now. CT will break the tie. Polls close at the top of the hour.

First time in my adulthood, and possibly ever, that a Democrat has ever received over 30% in that district. Democrats usually don't even contest that seat.
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Holmes
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« Reply #1897 on: February 27, 2018, 07:56:02 PM »
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on February 27, 2018, 07:50:56 PM
Quote from: Holmes on February 27, 2018, 07:48:26 PM
Quote from: Singletxguyforfun on February 27, 2018, 07:46:12 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 27, 2018, 07:45:02 PM
MTT was correct again about New Hampshire.

I’m just waiting for him to be wrong so I can rub his face in it

At this point that would be an exception to the rule.

NH women are pissed. Tongue

Didn't he admit to being wrong in 2016, after Clinton and Hassan nearly lost there?

No, he felt vindicated because they did win.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #1898 on: February 27, 2018, 07:56:34 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on February 27, 2018, 07:48:17 PM
LOL @ MT Treasurer saying this would be close.

MT's at 1-1 right now. CT will break the tie. Polls close at the top of the hour.
You're living inside a glass house, pal
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America needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #1899 on: February 27, 2018, 07:58:56 PM »
I cannot wait to see CT Dems increase their margin of control of the state House in a few minutes.
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