State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread

[Strudelcutie4427]

Ill take Republicans in KY by a lot, NH barely, and CT as a total toss up

[LimoLiberal]

Who's that NH political reporter that always has the town by town results for these special elections?

[Ted Cruz 2024]

CT lean republican
KY likely republican
NH lean democrat

Those are my ratings.

[Holmes]

CT and KY Republican, NH Democratic.

If Republicans can't win tomorrow in Connecticut then they should just give up.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

The Democrats aren’t going to lose any special election in NH, lol. It will be a landslide.

I think they also flip CT by an underwhelming margin and lose KY by only 5-10 or so.

NH: Safe D
KY: Tilt R
CT: Lean D

Your predictions end up making you look like the biggest hack on the forum, even though you aren't a dem.

What was your Ossoff prediction?

[MT Treasurer]

Your predictions end up making you look like the biggest hack on the forum, even though you aren't a dem.

What was your Ossoff prediction?

51.5-48.5 Ossoff-Handel, IIRC (which would probably be the result if the election were held today). It’s not hackish at all if you’ve followed those special elections closely and noticed the pattern. I could also predict Republican wins and/or competitive races everywhere and then act “surprised” when Democrats outperform expectations again, but that’s silly. Also, NH is not a swing state by any means, so predicting Republicans to do well there is crazy, particularly with Trump in the White House.

My Nov. 2018 predictions are not as D-friendly, but those special elections are a disaster for Republicans.

[Dr. Arch]

The Democrats aren’t going to lose any special election in NH, lol. It will be a landslide.

I think they also flip CT by an underwhelming margin and lose KY by only 5-10 or so.

NH: Safe D
KY: Tilt R
CT: Lean D

Your predictions end up making you look like the biggest hack on the forum, even though you aren't a dem.

What was your Ossoff prediction?

Most of MT's reads have been on point, actually.

[Strudelcutie4427]

The Democrats aren’t going to lose any special election in NH, lol. It will be a landslide.

I think they also flip CT by an underwhelming margin and lose KY by only 5-10 or so.

NH: Safe D
KY: Tilt R
CT: Lean D

Your predictions end up making you look like the biggest hack on the forum, even though you aren't a dem.

What was your Ossoff prediction?

Most of MT's reads have been on point, actually.

Most of his stuff except the NH stuff. He hates this state like it’s the plague

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

New Hampshire is going D, KY is going R. I'm going to be bold and say CT goes D as well.

[windjammer]

The Democrats aren’t going to lose any special election in NH, lol. It will be a landslide.

I think they also flip CT by an underwhelming margin and lose KY by only 5-10 or so.

NH: Safe D
KY: Tilt R
CT: Lean D

The KY house district is historically republican. Even Beshear didn't win it in 2011

[GlobeSoc]

The Democrats aren’t going to lose any special election in NH, lol. It will be a landslide.

I think they also flip CT by an underwhelming margin and lose KY by only 5-10 or so.

NH: Safe D
KY: Tilt R
CT: Lean D

The KY house district is historically republican. Even Beshear didn't win it in 2011

It would be quite interesting to see how unionist and ancestrally dem areas converge/diverge in KY and elsewhere in Appalachia, IMO.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Polls will close at 6 ET in Kentucky, will close no later than 8 ET in New Hampshire, and will close at 8 ET in Connecticut.

For NH, twitter accounts such as @WMUR collect results. Kentucky/Connecticut - uh, good luck searching, the state isn't being helpful here.

[Virginiá]

The Democrats aren’t going to lose any special election in NH, lol. It will be a landslide.

I think they also flip CT by an underwhelming margin and lose KY by only 5-10 or so.

NH: Safe D
KY: Tilt R
CT: Lean D

I'm a bit unsure of CT. Democrats over-performed Clinton decently in two special elections last year, but under-performed in like 2 others. The only issue was that one of the districts was like 83-13 Clinton and the Democrat won by 72%, and I'm not sure if that is normal behavior for the district.

It seems hit or miss but CT Democrats haven't had such a bad record so far that they should immediately be expected to under-perform.

[Former Kentuckian]

Polls will close at 6 ET in Kentucky, will close no later than 8 ET in New Hampshire, and will close at 8 ET in Connecticut.

For NH, twitter accounts such as @WMUR collect results. Kentucky/Connecticut - uh, good luck searching, the state isn't being helpful here.

I MIGHT go to the election night party for the Kentucky one. If I do, I'll liveblog the results.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Polls will close at 6 ET in Kentucky, will close no later than 8 ET in New Hampshire, and will close at 8 ET in Connecticut.

For NH, twitter accounts such as @WMUR collect results. Kentucky/Connecticut - uh, good luck searching, the state isn't being helpful here.

I MIGHT go to the election night party for the Kentucky one. If I do, I'll liveblog the results.

do it. you'll get to meet a couple of people and it could be fun

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Kentucky polls have closed

[Strudelcutie4427]

Is there anywhere to go for results?

[adrac]

Is there anywhere to go for results?

I'll be watching G. Elliot Morris on Twitter.

[Doimper]

I'm still not seeing anything on Twitter about Kentucky. Tsk.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Here is the photo of the Republican candidate in Kentucky from his campaign site.

[Doimper]

Maps from @burace17:

[LimoLiberal]

Looks like the R won, though final margin is not clear.

https://twitter.com/JShellKY/status/968635324019724288

[Strudelcutie4427]

Anyone have a link to the NH and CT

[krazen1211]

Landslide!


https://mobile.twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/968640333583089664

Results from the portion of KY #HD89 in Jackson County:

Goforth (R): 1320
Smith (D): 225

Roughly 85%-15%

[Beet]

Landslide!

Results from the portion of KY #HD89 in Jackson County:

Goforth (R): 1320
Smith (D): 225

Roughly 85%-15%

LOL at MT Treasurer "Tilt R"