State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread

[kph14]

Now that all January specials are done let's take a look at the February elections:

All seats except MN-54 had Republican incumbents.

Edit: And I found fundraising reports for Minnesota. Interestingly, in MN-54 the best fundraiser on the Republican site is slightly outraising the only Democrat, while in MN-23B the only Democrat is slightly outraising the best fundraiser on the Republican site. The Republicans in both seats have to go through a primary first while the Democratic candidates for the general are already set.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

To be fair, that's a Florida state legislative special election. 1) Polling there is likely going to be very off the mark 2) It's Florida, so democrats will probably underperform that poll by 20% cuz Florida dems are hot garbage.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

923 OUT OF 1335 PRECINCTS REPORTED
YES
61.60%
643,309
NO
38.40%
401,057
TOTAL VOTES
1,044,366

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

951 OUT OF 1335 PRECINCTS REPORTED
YES
61.60%
643,347
NO
38.40%
401,089
TOTAL VOTES
1,044,436

[Ebsy]

4 special elections in Missouri tomorrow.

[PragmaticPopulist]

The most likely of the 4 seats up in the MO House to flip is HD-97, which was 61-33 Trump, 55-43 Romney, and in 2012, both downballot statewide Democrats actually carried it: 53-40 McCaskill, 53-44 Nixon, while the Republican running in it was held to a less than 4% margin.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Polls close at 8 ET tonight in Missouri. Results here: http://enr.sos.mo.gov/default.aspx (Select desired race from dropdown and click submit)

Expect Democrats to lose all 4 races, in another example of just how the Missouri Democratic Party is becoming more and more of a thing of a past. My predictions:

(District) 39: 55-45 R
97: 52-48 R
129: 60-40 R
144: 56-44 R

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Polls close at 8 ET tonight in Missouri. Results here: http://enr.sos.mo.gov/default.aspx (Select desired race from dropdown and click submit)

Expect Democrats to lose all 4 races, in another example of just how the Missouri Democratic Party is becoming more and more of a thing of a past. My predictions:

(District) 39: 55-45 R
97: 52-48 R
129: 60-40 R
144: 56-44 R

Sounds reasonable. Thanks for the link.

[Sestak]

How red are these districts?

[Oryxslayer]

How red are these districts?

Really non-Atlas Red. Any Dem hopes tonight really ride on how much people dislike Greintens right now.

[BundouYMB]

How red are these districts?

MO-LD-39 is R+24
MO-LD-97 is R+15
MO-LD-129 is R+33
MO-LD-144 is R+30

So... very red.

[jamestroll]

They are all very damn Republican.

The 97th is located in an area of the state Democrats want and need to do well in to win statewide again and 144th is in ancestrally Democratic area that has swung heavily Republican but voted for statewide Democrats as recently as 2012.

The 39th is heavily Republican but that part of the state has historically been elastic. But I am predicting a solid Republican victory there

HD 129 is very very very very very Republican.

[Virginiá]

Expect Democrats to lose all 4 races, in another example of just how the Missouri Democratic Party is becoming more and more of a thing of a past. My predictions:

Would they have been favored in any of these races more so before the Trump era?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

It's probably a great night if we can even edge out in one of these.

[KingSweden]

These MO races are probably better used as a barometer for what kind of swings were seeing across the board

[CatoMinor]

Prepare for a a wave of #RedWave and #MAGA posts on social media following the GOP barely holding onto seats they already solidly held.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Expect Democrats to lose all 4 races, in another example of just how the Missouri Democratic Party is becoming more and more of a thing of a past. My predictions:

Would they have been favored in any of these races more so before the Trump era?

Not necessarily favored, but 4 or 6 years ago they would have a far better shot. The state is in a dramatically different place than it was even in 2012.

[LimoLiberal]

Polls closed.

Results can be found here: http://enr.sos.mo.gov/

[jamestroll]

I hope my people (midwesterners) stay elastic and choose the right candidates tonight.

[LimoLiberal]

We have some votes!

State Representative - District 129 - unexpired           1 of 18 Precincts Reported
Jeff Knight           Republican   56   58.333%
Ronna Ford   Democratic   40   41.667%


80-16 Trump seat.

Eye emoji

[YPestis25]

Super early, but not bad first results from an R+33 district.

[Ebsy]

Stay tuned folks.

[KingSweden]

Eh it’s early

[Oryxslayer]

we also have what I take is the early vote?

State Representative - District 97 - unexpired           0 of 10 Precincts Reported
David C. Linton   Republican   3   18.750%
Mike Revis   Democratic   13   81.250%
    Total Votes:   16   

[LimoLiberal]

State Representative - District 97 - unexpired           0 of 10 Precincts Reported
David C. Linton   Republican   3   18.750%
Mike Revis           Democratic   13   81.250%

Looks like Mike Revis got his dad, uncle, sister, brother, grandma, grandpa, and cousins to all vote early for him