State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread

[Babeuf]

All things considered, 56R-44D was not a bad performance for the Democrat at all, given how weak a candidate he appeared to be in the primary.

I'd guess that the competitive New Orleans mayoral race juicing turnout there + very low turnout everywhere else is basically responsible for that.

[smoltchanov]

All things considered, 56R-44D was not a bad performance for the Democrat at all, given how weak a candidate he appeared to be in the primary.

I'd guess that the competitive New Orleans mayoral race juicing turnout there + very low turnout everywhere else is basically responsible for that.

Yeah. Under normal situation it would be 60-62% Republican at least...

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

There's about to be two in Minnesota: http://kstp.com/news/dayton-to-call-special-election-after-lawmaker-resignation/4680052/p

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Runoffs in MS Senate 10 and MS House 54 Today. Polls close at 8 EST. Not seeing any results page at this time.

[Ebsy]

Runoffs in MS Senate 10 and MS House 54 Today. Polls close at 8 EST. Not seeing any results page at this time.

It's Mississippi. I usually have the best luck checking the twitter accounts of local news outlets.

[LimoLiberal]

https://twitter.com/SouthReporter/status/935707817188700161

Very bad result in MS-10 SD.
Rs flip D held seat in Mississippi by 10 points in runoff. Don't have 2016 numbers but looks like the D (Gipson) underperformed Clinton in both of the counties the district is in.

[smoltchanov]

https://twitter.com/SouthReporter/status/935707817188700161

Very bad result in MS-10 SD.
Rs flip D held seat in Mississippi by 10 points in runoff. Don't have 2016 numbers but looks like the D (Gipson) underperformed Clinton in both of the counties the district is in.

Black alderwoman as Democratic candidate in racially polarized rural Deep South non-Black majority district may be not the best candidate... Especially - in low turnout special. Previous state Senator was white somewhat "left-of-center" on economy and "somewhat right-of-center" on social issues male. And western part of the district (Tate county, which gave Republican (technically - Independent) candidate big majority now) was, until last redistricting, represented by rather conservative white male Democrat.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

If this is a credible account:


USA Election Watch
USA Election Watch
@electionwatchus
In Mississippi State House District 54, Republican Kevin Ford has defeated a fellow party member to hold the seat for his party

(This was an R v. R runoff)

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Next Up:

Dec. 5 - GA runoffs - House 60, 89, Senate 6, 39 + CA State Assembly 51, Massachusetts State Senate Worcester & Middlesex District, PA House 133

Dec. 12 - Iowa Senate 3

Dec. 19 - Florida House 58, Mississippi Senate 49, Tennessee Senate 17

[Mr.Phips]

https://twitter.com/SouthReporter/status/935707817188700161

Very bad result in MS-10 SD.
Rs flip D held seat in Mississippi by 10 points in runoff. Don't have 2016 numbers but looks like the D (Gipson) underperformed Clinton in both of the counties the district is in.

From the looks of it, the district went about 53-45 for Trump and 50-49 for Obama in 2012.

[smoltchanov]

In such districts a percentage of Whites and Blacks in population gives good 1st approximation to expected results. 90+% of whites votes Republican, and 97-98% of Blacks - Democratic with such "normal"  candidates. If a candidate has special crossover appeal (Stone, Hale, a.o.)  - another matter..

[Ebsy]

Mississippi special elections are sort of hard to gauge considering the lack of partisan identification on the ballot.

[Horus]

Any chance of PA-133 being competitive? I'm guessing it had a heavy swing to Trump, not sure if he won it outright.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Results Pages for tonight:

GA (7 ET): http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/72213/Web02-state/#/

PA (8 ET): http://www.electionreturns.pa.gov

CA (11 ET): https://www.lavote.net/election-results#year=2017&election=3791

Not seeing a page for MA at this time.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Results Pages for tonight:

GA (7 ET): http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/72213/Web02-state/#/

PA (8 ET): http://www.electionreturns.pa.gov

CA (11 ET): https://www.lavote.net/election-results#year=2017&election=3791

Not seeing a page for MA at this time.

In the city of Atlanta and Fulton County, polls are open until 8pm (I'm not sure why they're different).

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

State Representative, District 60
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Counties/Precincts Reporting: 0 %
DE'ANDRE S. PICKETT (DEM)54.84%17
KIM SCHOFIELD (DEM)45.16%14

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

ULTS
State Senator, District 6
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Counties/Precincts Reporting: 0 %
JAHA HOWARD (DEM)52.27%357
JEN JORDAN (DEM)47.73%326
State Senator, District 39
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Counties/Precincts Reporting: 0 %
LINDA PRITCHETT (DEM)0.00%0
NIKEMA WILLIAMS (DEM)0.00%0
State Representative, District 60
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State Representative, District 60
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Counties/Precincts Reporting: 50 %
DE'ANDRE S. PICKETT (DEM)54.31%63
KIM SCHOFIELD (DEM)45.69%53
State Representative, District 89
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Counties/Precincts Reporting: 0 %
BEE NGUYEN (DEM)48.88%526
SACHIN VARGHESE (DEM)51.12%550

[LimoLiberal]

Dem crushing in PA-133 HD race.

133rd Legislative District County Breakdown
MCNEILL, JEANNE
(DEM)
67.14%
    Votes: 284
MOLONY, DAVID
(REP)
26.95%
    Votes: 114
DORNEY, SAMANTHA X
(LIB)
5.91%
    Votes: 25

[Holmes]

Dem crushing in PA-133 HD race.

133rd Legislative District County Breakdown
MCNEILL, JEANNE
(DEM)
67.14%
    Votes: 284
MOLONY, DAVID
(REP)
26.95%
    Votes: 114
DORNEY, SAMANTHA X
(LIB)
5.91%
    Votes: 25

Is this just the early vote? The site says 0 precincts reporting. Either way, so far it's a better showing than even 2012.

[LimoLiberal]

Dem crushing in PA-133 HD race.

133rd Legislative District County Breakdown
MCNEILL, JEANNE
(DEM)
67.14%
    Votes: 284
MOLONY, DAVID
(REP)
26.95%
    Votes: 114
DORNEY, SAMANTHA X
(LIB)
5.91%
    Votes: 25

Is this just the early vote? The site says 0 precincts reporting. Either way, so far it's a better showing than even 2012.

Can't tell from the Pennsylvania SOS website.

[Dr. Arch]

Dem crushing in PA-133 HD race.

133rd Legislative District County Breakdown
MCNEILL, JEANNE
(DEM)
67.14%
    Votes: 284
MOLONY, DAVID
(REP)
26.95%
    Votes: 114
DORNEY, SAMANTHA X
(LIB)
5.91%
    Votes: 25

Is this just the early vote? The site says 0 precincts reporting. Either way, so far it's a better showing than even 2012.

Can't tell from the Pennsylvania SOS website.

Some context from Ballotpedia:

"The seat became vacant after Daniel McNeill (D) passed away on September 8, 2017"

Previous Results: (Daniel) McNeill (D) +15%

His widow is running for the seat, and it looks like a real romping.

[LimoLiberal]

Major upset incoming in MA-Worcester Senate District? Seems like the R is putting up great numbers so far: https://twitter.com/aburkeSE

[Holmes]

30% in for PA HD 133, Dem now up by 45%.

[Dr. Arch]

30% in for PA HD 133, Dem now up by 45%.

That PA seat looks like a lock.

[Holmes]

30% in for PA HD 133, Dem now up by 45%.

That PA seat looks like a lock.

It always was, but the swing is massive, as has been the general trend.