2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread

[Cactus Jack]

https://www.twitter.com/Carrasquillo/status/971786578497605632

Kelly would effectively end the race just by entering. He's the perfect candidate for McCain's seat, and the AZGOP at this point is too fractured and driven by insanity to effectively combat him. Trouble is, I'm pretty sure Kelly has a vested interest in remaining retired.

[YE]

I want one of the AZ Berniecrats to go for McCain’s seat but they might be to the left of the state 

[Cactus Jack]

I want one of the AZ Berniecrats to go for McCain’s seat but he might be to the left.

If Kelly decides to stay retired, which I expect will be the case, I'm hoping Gallego will take the plunge. He's not an out-and-out Berniecrat, but he has roughly the same progressive cred as Raul Grijalva, who at this point is way too old for any higher office. Gallego is a veteran, too, which I feel is crucial for McCain's seat.

[KingSweden]

I want one of the AZ Berniecrats to go for McCain’s seat but he might be to the left.

If Kelly decides to stay retired, which I expect will be the case, I'm hoping Gallego will take the plunge. He's not an out-and-out Berniecrat, but he has roughly the same progressive cred as Raul Grijalva, who at this point is way too old for any higher office. Gallego is a veteran, too, which I feel is crucial for McCain's seat.

Is there any indication Gallego is interested? My understanding was Stanton’s House race was more or less a shadow Senate campaign

[henster]

Gallego should have ran for the Flake seat, it would've been a good matchup against McSally who is going to endlessly talk about her military service.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Oh damn! If Mark Kelly is the Democratic nominee, the Democrats could pick off both Arizona senate seats in one cycle.

[Cactus Jack]

I want one of the AZ Berniecrats to go for McCain’s seat but he might be to the left.

If Kelly decides to stay retired, which I expect will be the case, I'm hoping Gallego will take the plunge. He's not an out-and-out Berniecrat, but he has roughly the same progressive cred as Raul Grijalva, who at this point is way too old for any higher office. Gallego is a veteran, too, which I feel is crucial for McCain's seat.

Is there any indication Gallego is interested? My understanding was Stanton’s House race was more or less a shadow Senate campaign

I expect Gallego will make the leap eventually, considering he's young enough to have decades left to his career. As for Stanton, he's definitely angling for something, but he would be an awful candidate in actuality. He has zero charisma or personal appeal in the way Sinema, Kelly, and Gallego all do, and he had a few financial stumbles as Mayor that his Republican opponent could use to their advantage.

[Young Conservative]

I want one of the AZ Berniecrats to go for McCain’s seat but he might be to the left.

If Kelly decides to stay retired, which I expect will be the case, I'm hoping Gallego will take the plunge. He's not an out-and-out Berniecrat, but he has roughly the same progressive cred as Raul Grijalva, who at this point is way too old for any higher office. Gallego is a veteran, too, which I feel is crucial for McCain's seat.

Is there any indication Gallego is interested? My understanding was Stanton’s House race was more or less a shadow Senate campaign

I expect Gallego will make the leap eventually, considering he's young enough to have decades left to his career. As for Stanton, he's definitely angling for something, but he would be an awful candidate in actuality. He has zero charisma or personal appeal in the way Sinema, Kelly, and Gallego all do, and he had a few financial stumbles as Mayor that his Republican opponent could use to their advantage.

Kelly would be virtually unstoppable. Gallego is a little too liberal.

[136or142]

Filing deadline day was yesterday in California, Georgia and Idaho.  In Idaho it seems the Democrats are running candidates in both districts while in Georgia no Democrat filed to run against Austin Scott in the 8th district and no Republican filed to run against John Lewis in the 5th district.

[Badger]

I want one of the AZ Berniecrats to go for McCain’s seat but he might be to the left.

If Kelly decides to stay retired, which I expect will be the case, I'm hoping Gallego will take the plunge. He's not an out-and-out Berniecrat, but he has roughly the same progressive cred as Raul Grijalva, who at this point is way too old for any higher office. Gallego is a veteran, too, which I feel is crucial for McCain's seat.

Is there any indication Gallego is interested? My understanding was Stanton’s House race was more or less a shadow Senate campaign

I expect Gallego will make the leap eventually, considering he's young enough to have decades left to his career. As for Stanton, he's definitely angling for something, but he would be an awful candidate in actuality. He has zero charisma or personal appeal in the way Sinema, Kelly, and Gallego all do, and he had a few financial stumbles as Mayor that his Republican opponent could use to their advantage.

Kelly would be virtually unstoppable. Gallego is a little too liberal.

This.

[junior chįmp]

DCCC tops $50 million in online fundraising for 2018 midterms

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Anyone running against Valadao?

[Virginiá]

Anyone running against Valadao?

T.J. Cox

Today's DKE digest has some stuff on him.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Any guesses on the next retirements?
Comstock? Peter King? Diaz-Balart?

[KingSweden]

Peter King would not surprise me

[junior chįmp]

https://www.twitter.com/ThePlumLineGS/status/973928664688746497

[KingSweden]

https://www.twitter.com/ThePlumLineGS/status/973928664688746497

*creams pants*

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

https://www.twitter.com/ThePlumLineGS/status/973928664688746497

*creams pants*

I’ve been saying Renacci’s seat was a big missed opportunity.

[KingSweden]

https://www.twitter.com/ThePlumLineGS/status/973928664688746497

*creams pants*

I’ve been saying Renacci’s seat was a big missed opportunity.

We running anyone there at all?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

https://www.twitter.com/ThePlumLineGS/status/973928664688746497

*creams pants*

I’ve been saying Renacci’s seat was a big missed opportunity.

We running anyone there at all?

No one remotely credible.

[Dr. Arch]

https://www.twitter.com/ThePlumLineGS/status/973928664688746497

*creams pants*

With this change of focus, the upper Midwest can go back to 2008 times, electorally. PA-18 is certain evidence that Democrats can sweep the entire region easily.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

https://www.twitter.com/ThePlumLineGS/status/973928664688746497

*creams pants*

With this change of focus, the upper Midwest can go back to 2008 times, electorally. PA-18 is certain evidence that Democrats can sweep the entire region easily.

Let's not get carried away here.  While there is clearly an opportunity to make up a ton of ground in the Midwest, the suburbs are still very much the future of the Democratic Party.  The rest is padding our margins.

[Tekken_Guy]

Here's what I'm thinking could get on the DCCC battlefield next:

AZ-05 Biggs
AZ-08 OPEN (Franks)
CA-08 Cook
CA-42 Calvert
FL-03 Yoho
FL-08 Posey
FL-12 Bilirakis
FL-15 Ross
GA-12 Allen
IA-04 King
IL-16 Kinzinger
IN-05 Brooks
MI-02 Huizenga
MI-03 Amash
MS-03 OPEN (Harper)
NE-01 Fortenberry
NV-02 Amodei
NC-05 Foxx
NC-06 Walker
NC-07 Rouzer
OH-02 Wenstrup
OH-16 OPEN (Renacci)
OK-05 Russell
OR-02 Walden
SC-01 Sanford
SC-07 Rice
TX-02 OPEN (Poe)
TX-03 OPEN (Johnson)
TX-06 OPEN (Barton)
TX-10 McCaul
TX-22 Olson
TX-24 Marchant

[socaldem]

Damn...

Cerilli out for PA-14

http://triblive.com/local/westmoreland/13421727-74/gina-cerilli-ends-bid-for-congress-the-timing-just-wasnt-right

I saw that she was teasing a race on Twitter and thought she would've been the best Dem candidate and could have made the race a potential toss-up. I wonder if the tension with the local Democratic Party was too much or if this decision is based on disappointment in Lamb's numbers in non-Allegheny County areas.

Reelection does seem like a better bet for her.

I see that former PA-12 candidate Tom Prigg is also in. He's a veteran and a scientist but doesn't seem like a good fit for PA-14.

An emphasis on science and global-warming is not the winning ticket in coal country.

Still hoping someone will step up to kick around Saccone some more in the new district...

[socaldem]

Here's what I'm thinking could get on the DCCC battlefield next:

AZ-05 Biggs
AZ-08 OPEN (Franks)
CA-08 Cook
CA-42 Calvert
FL-03 Yoho
FL-08 Posey
FL-12 Bilirakis
FL-15 Ross
GA-12 Allen
IA-04 King
IL-16 Kinzinger
IN-05 Brooks
MI-02 Huizenga
MI-03 Amash
MS-03 OPEN (Harper)
NE-01 Fortenberry
NV-02 Amodei
NC-05 Foxx
NC-06 Walker
NC-07 Rouzer
OH-02 Wenstrup
OH-16 OPEN (Renacci)
OK-05 Russell
OR-02 Walden
SC-01 Sanford
SC-07 Rice
TX-02 OPEN (Poe)
TX-03 OPEN (Johnson)
TX-06 OPEN (Barton)
TX-10 McCaul
TX-22 Olson
TX-24 Marchant

I thnk they're already targeting TX-02

SC-01
MS-03
TX-10
TX-22

and the CA races seem the most promising...

Dems should aim for a total wipe-out in CA. If its two Dems for Gov and Senate and no GOPers in any competitive statewide offices, why should Republicans even bother to show up to vote in downballot races for rubberstamps for Trump, a President even Californian Republicans don't like.

Looking forward for CA to look like Massachusetts soon. Plus the demographics of the GOP seats are getting more and more diverse real fast....