2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread

[riceowl]

ND-AL: State Senator John Grabinger (D-Jamestown) is running. He first won in 2012 as Romney was carrying his district 57-40, and easily won reelection in 2016, 59-41, even as Trump was carrying it 63-28.

Wow, sounds like a good candidate on paper.

He'll Grab your guns, but at least he won't Grab your p****!

Writes itself.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Clueless star Stacey Dash in for CA-44 http://www.latimes.com/politics/essential/la-pol-ca-essential-politics-updates-conservative-commentator-and-clueless-1519673433-htmlstory.html

[Hindsight was 2020]

Clueless star Stacey Dash in for CA-44 http://www.latimes.com/politics/essential/la-pol-ca-essential-politics-updates-conservative-commentator-and-clueless-1519673433-htmlstory.html

CA-44? The district that has Compton and Long Beach?! I...wha.....did she lose a bet?

[136or142]

Clueless star Stacey Dash in for CA-44 http://www.latimes.com/politics/essential/la-pol-ca-essential-politics-updates-conservative-commentator-and-clueless-1519673433-htmlstory.html

CA-44? The district that has Compton and Long Beach?! I...wha.....did she lose a bet?

Well, she is Clueless!

[Adam Griffin]

ND-AL: State Senator John Grabinger (D-Jamestown) is running. He first won in 2012 as Romney was carrying his district 57-40, and easily won reelection in 2016, 59-41, even as Trump was carrying it 63-28.

Wow, sounds like a good candidate on paper.

He'll Grab your guns, but at least he won't Grab your p****!

Writes itself.

"He Won't Grab Your Guns OR Your P*ssy" would be the perfect slogan!

[Brittain33]

Levi Sanders/NH-1 discussion split off into its own thread.

[136or142]

No Democrat filed to run in North Carolina 3rd District.
https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/Elections/2018/Candidate%20Filing/Candidate_Listing_2018.pdf

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Christina Hartman has abandoned her challenge to Lloyd Smucker in PA-11 in favor of running in PA-10, even though she still lives in Lancaster County and the new 10th doesn't overlap at all with the old 16th - http://lancasteronline.com/news/politics/christina-hartman-will-run-for-congress-in-new-harrisburg-based/article_c24569c4-1c91-11e8-96ec-1bdbce85e2f9.html

[136or142]

Christina Hartman has abandoned her challenge to Lloyd Smucker in PA-11 in favor of running in PA-10, even though she still lives in Lancaster County and the new 10th doesn't overlap at all with the old 16th - http://lancasteronline.com/news/politics/christina-hartman-will-run-for-congress-in-new-harrisburg-based/article_c24569c4-1c91-11e8-96ec-1bdbce85e2f9.html

The problem there is that with a name like Smucker he has to be good.

[kph14]

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Chris‏  @politico_chris

[Doimper]

Neat graphic from Pew:



And fundraising numbers for Trump-state Senate Democrats and their opponents so far - lol at the Florida GOP, they're screwed if Scott doesn't run:

[Littlefinger]

CA 21: Only Democrat Emilio Huerta has dropped out to challenge Rep: David Valadao with only a week to go until the filing deadline. Hopefully this means popular Assemblyman Rudy Salas or someone of his caliber will jump into a race that is open and no longer being reserved for Dolores Huerta's underwhelming performing son to lose a winnable race.

http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-ca-emilio-huerta-dropout-20180304-story.html

[Ebsy]

I bet Salas runs.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I bet Salas runs.

I hope so, but I think it's Steve Schilling (he could win too though).

[junior chįmp]

TXGOP on track to get BTFO

https://www.twitter.com/tbonier/status/970418922506850304

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

TXGOP on track to get BTFO

https://www.twitter.com/tbonier/status/970418922506850304

That doesn't really suggest a BTFO to me, but it's nice to see higher miniority and women turnout.

I'm thinking Cruz + 3 right now, but conditions could get worse come November.

[junior chįmp]

TXGOP on track to get BTFO

https://www.twitter.com/tbonier/status/970418922506850304

That doesn't really suggest a BTFO to me, but it's nice to see higher miniority and women turnout.

I'm thinking Cruz + 3 right now, but conditions could get worse come November.

It does greatly raise the chance of narrowly taking a chamber of the state legislature which would be great

[Virginiá]

Pretty rude for Huerta to drop out right before the deadline, that is, assuming the party didn't know far in advance.

[King Lear]

If Democrats fail to put up a canidate this year against Valadao, it will be their most embarrassing recruiting failure to date (not fielding a candidate in a district that voted 15 points for Clinton is pure campaign malpractice).

[Jeppe]

TXGOP on track to get BTFO

https://www.twitter.com/tbonier/status/970418922506850304

Compared to 2016, the vote share of women went up by 3% in Texas, black voters down by 3%, and Hispanic voters by 4%, and white men went up by 3%.

[smoltchanov]

^ Still it'a a sort of achievement for Democrats. In the past midterm electorate was substantially more Republican.

[junior chįmp]

TXGOP on track to get BTFO

https://www.twitter.com/tbonier/status/970418922506850304

Compared to 2016, the vote share of women went up by 3% in Texas, black voters down by 3%, and Hispanic voters by 4%, and white men went up by 3%.

Yes but D turnout is up like 110% while R turnout is slumping

[GeorgiaModerate]

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[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

TXGOP on track to get BTFO

https://www.twitter.com/tbonier/status/970418922506850304

Compared to 2016, the vote share of women went up by 3% in Texas, black voters down by 3%, and Hispanic voters by 4%, and white men went up by 3%.

2018: The rise of the angry white liberals.

[Virginiá]

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I wonder if Angle could open this seat up for Democrats. NV-02 isn't an impossible district. At 53 - 44 Romney and 52 - 39 Trump, it seems doable with a controversial candidate that has no incumbency advantage.