2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread

[Landslide Lyndon]

Interesting. New Mclaughlin poll has Democrats narrowly leading the generic ballot 45-44.

http://mclaughlinonline.com/2017/12/20/december-national-survey-results/

For anyone not knowing who these clowns are, they are the polling company that showed Cantor crushing Bratt by 40 in the primary a few days before he lost by 20.

[Holmes]

Interesting. New Mclaughlin poll has Democrats narrowly leading the generic ballot 45-44.

http://mclaughlinonline.com/2017/12/20/december-national-survey-results/

For anyone not knowing who these clowns are, they are the polling company that showed Cantor crushing Bratt by 40 in the primary a few days before he lost by 20.

It was raining in NoVA that day.

[junior chįmp]

PPP has a bunch of (I think) new House polls:

CA-10: Denham trails Generic Democrat 49-41
CA-39: Royce trails Generic Democrat 46-43
CA-45: Walters trails Generic Democrat 45-41
NJ-11: Frelinghuysen trails Generic Democrat 49-40
PA-08: Fitzpatrick trails Generic Democrat 47-41

https://mobile.twitter.com/ppppolls/status/943596029068312576?ref_src=twcamp%5Eshare%7Ctwsrc%5Eios%7Ctwgr%5Eother

Finished. The GOP is done

[Yank2133]

Yeah, they are done.

You can see the vultures waiting to feast on the corpse.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Interesting. New Mclaughlin poll has Democrats narrowly leading the generic ballot 45-44.

http://mclaughlinonline.com/2017/12/20/december-national-survey-results/

For anyone not knowing who these clowns are, they are the polling company that showed Cantor crushing Bratt by 40 in the primary a few days before he lost by 20.

They have an insanely bad track record.  See for example https://storify.com/DKElections/mclaughlin-and-associates-terrible-2012-polling.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I don't see how it is possible the GOP makes this any better.

Btw, Mclaughlin has a C- rating at FiveThirtyEight

[Brittain33]

Interesting. New Mclaughlin poll has Democrats narrowly leading the generic ballot 45-44.

http://mclaughlinonline.com/2017/12/20/december-national-survey-results/

lol

[Brittain33]

Btw, Mclaughlin has a C- rating at FiveThirtyEight

Never stopped W from becoming President!

[Doimper]

PPP has a bunch of (I think) new House polls:

CA-10: Denham trails Generic Democrat 49-41
CA-39: Royce trails Generic Democrat 46-43
CA-45: Walters trails Generic Democrat 45-41
NJ-11: Frelinghuysen trails Generic Democrat 49-40
PA-08: Fitzpatrick trails Generic Democrat 47-41

https://mobile.twitter.com/ppppolls/status/943596029068312576?ref_src=twcamp%5Eshare%7Ctwsrc%5Eios%7Ctwgr%5Eother

Holy sh-t, these numbers are apocalyptic. Frelinghuysen down nine? Roskam down ten? Jesus Christ.

Also, someone did the math - these numbers line up with a roughly 16% shift from 2016.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[KingSweden]

PPP has a bunch of (I think) new House polls:

CA-10: Denham trails Generic Democrat 49-41
CA-39: Royce trails Generic Democrat 46-43
CA-45: Walters trails Generic Democrat 45-41
NJ-11: Frelinghuysen trails Generic Democrat 49-40
PA-08: Fitzpatrick trails Generic Democrat 47-41

https://mobile.twitter.com/ppppolls/status/943596029068312576?ref_src=twcamp%5Eshare%7Ctwsrc%5Eios%7Ctwgr%5Eother

This is the first time I’ve seen Denham and Royce trailing

[Ye We Can]

PPP has a bunch of (I think) new House polls:

CA-10: Denham trails Generic Democrat 49-41
CA-39: Royce trails Generic Democrat 46-43
CA-45: Walters trails Generic Democrat 45-41
NJ-11: Frelinghuysen trails Generic Democrat 49-40
PA-08: Fitzpatrick trails Generic Democrat 47-41

https://mobile.twitter.com/ppppolls/status/943596029068312576?ref_src=twcamp%5Eshare%7Ctwsrc%5Eios%7Ctwgr%5Eother

This is the first time I’ve seen Denham and Royce trailing

Also Fitzpatrick.

I think Katko and Fitzpatrick might live, and maybe a toss-up among the California R's that are down, and everybody else goes down.

Interesting to see David Young still leading a generic ballot. 

[Holmes]

California Republican will be massacred next year.

[henster]

I do wonder how much a Dem vs. Dem Gov/Senate race will really help Ds. How many Rs are really that motivated to come out for Senate and Governor candidates who are going to lose anyways and have no $$ to motivate voters. House Rs will be spending millions on TV and ground game more than any Senate or Gov candidate would if they made it through top 2.

[junior chįmp]

California Republican will be massacred next year.

Worst case scenario....how many House R seats will there be left in CA?

[Holmes]

California Republican will be massacred next year.

Worst case scenario....how many House R seats will there be left in CA?

LaMalfa, McClintock, Cook, Nunes, McCarthy, Calvert and Hunter.

[Yank2133]

California Republican will be massacred next year.

NJ Republicans will also be joining them in the unemployment line.

[Holmes]

California Republican will be massacred next year.

NJ Republicans will also be joining them in the unemployment line.

And upstate NY Republicans.

[junior chįmp]

California Republican will be massacred next year.

Worst case scenario....how many House R seats will there be left in CA?

LaMalfa, McClintock, Cook, Nunes, McCarthy, Calvert and Hunter.

Sometimes I wish CA never passed an independent redistricting commission....they could of just gerrymandered them all out

[Hindsight was 2020]

California Republican will be massacred next year.

NJ Republicans will also be joining them in the unemployment line.

And upstate NY Republicans.

Eh more likely LI and Staten Island backlash then upstate

[BudgieForce]

NJ sending no Republicans to Washington? I thought it was an impossible notion but it may very well happen at this rate.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

The GOP should be sh**tting themselves over those PPP numbers.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

California Republican will be massacred next year.

Worst case scenario....how many House R seats will there be left in CA?

LaMalfa, McClintock, Cook, Nunes, McCarthy, Calvert and Hunter.

That's not their worst-case scenario.  I have McClintock's seat at Likely R and Hunter's at Lean R (closer to toss-up tilt-R than likely R).

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Btw, the Democrats now lead the GOP by 13 points in the RCP averages.

49.1-36.1%

[Hindsight was 2020]

Sidenote about the PPP poll Ashford is beating Bacon and Brindisi is beating Tenney

[junior chįmp]

California Republican will be massacred next year.

Worst case scenario....how many House R seats will there be left in CA?

LaMalfa, McClintock, Cook, Nunes, McCarthy, Calvert and Hunter.

That's not their worst-case scenario.  I have McClintock's seat at Likely R and Hunter's at Lean R (closer to toss-up tilt-R than likely R).

Why is "numbskull" Nunes so hard to get rid of?