VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (General election: Nov 7th)

[Keep cool-idge]

So more bad news for northam Douglas wilder has no endorsement.
https://mobile.twitter.com/GovernorWilder/status/926129906576224256?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet

Update even more I why this is bad news for northam
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/amp/inside-bellwether-virginia-governor-s-race-tightens-n816631

[heatcharger]

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

Last thing I heard about the early vote was that black turnout was down 1.2% over 2013.

That sounds completely made up.  No way to make a determination on racial turnout within a few points MoE much less to decimal points.  However the increase in turnout seems to be at least as large in areas with significant black population as with the state as a whole.

[Dr. Arch]

LOL this thread is peak Atlas.

So... I haven't been here for a full cycle yet, but... is this the norm for any competitive race on Atlas? Like, complete madness until election night?

Basically. Extreme overreaction and whiplash to every minor event.

Whooo, what a ride.

[Gass3268]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Virginiá]

LOL this thread is peak Atlas.

So... I haven't been here for a full cycle yet, but... is this the norm for any competitive race on Atlas? Like, complete madness until election night?

Basically. Extreme overreaction and whiplash to every minor event.

Whooo, what a ride.

I don't think it's a default reaction for every race. This whole ruckus is compounded by the fact that Democrats have generally been failing as a party since 2010. While I think elections under Trump are going to be unkind to Republicans over the next two cycles, it'll obviously be a while before that materializes. Once Democrats start winning more races and rebound in raw political power, I think people will be less tense and more confident.

However Northam isn't the best candidate, and his campaign isn't the best either. It really doesn't help in the end. But we'll see. Everyone just needs to relax a little and thinking all these little things mean so much. This is like the electoral equivalent of a hangover, where you are hyper-sensitive to various stimuli after waking up.

[Yank2133]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

What a bunch of jackasses.

[Cactus Jack]

This entire thread needs a Lexapro.

[136or142]

I'm not 100% sure that the Fox 'News' advertisements are such a bad thing for Northam. 
1. I've read that up to 1/3 of Fox 'News' viewers are either Democrats or are genuine independents, so reaching out to them may not be a bad idea.

2.The idea that Republicans in general, yet alone Republican Fox 'News' viewers aren't already motivated to vote for Gillespie strikes me as more than a little ridiculous.

I don't know why Democrats are so concerned with their actions motivating Republicans to vote, when the evidence is already pretty overwhelming that Republicans will turn out to vote no matter what and for no matter who.

Democrats collectively need to get their spine back and stop saying 'oh, but what if we annoy a Republican?'

[smoltchanov]

Dean has repudiated DFA's statement.

Dean is a clever man. [sarcasm]Unlike present DFA leadership, which, probably, prefers very liberal and enlightened Gillespie [/sarcasm]

[Gass3268]

Trump's leaving for is long trip to Asia this morning. Means we will see no Trump events for Gillespie before Election Day.

[Brittain33]

So more bad news for northam Douglas wilder has no endorsement.
https://mobile.twitter.com/GovernorWilder/status/926129906576224256?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet

LOL. I believe Wilder has done this with literally every Democratic nominee for Governor since he stepped down. He's about as representative of and influential among Democrats as "Democratic pollster" Pat Cadell.

[Brittain33]

Can we lock this thread until Election Day

Don't tempt me.

[Gass3268]

So more bad news for northam Douglas wilder has no endorsement.
https://mobile.twitter.com/GovernorWilder/status/926129906576224256?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet

LOL. I believe Wilder has done this with literally every Democratic nominee for Governor since he stepped down. He's about as representative of and influential among Democrats as "Democratic pollster" Pat Cadell.

He did endorse Fairfax.

[KingSweden]

So more bad news for northam Douglas wilder has no endorsement.
https://mobile.twitter.com/GovernorWilder/status/926129906576224256?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet

LOL. I believe Wilder has done this with literally every Democratic nominee for Governor since he stepped down. He's about as representative of and influential among Democrats as "Democratic pollster" Pat Cadell.

He did endorse Fairfax.

Hmm isn’t there something Wilder and Fairfax have in common...?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Can we lock this thread until Election Day

Don't tempt me.

The GA-06 thread was worse, and we survived that one.

[Fudotei]

Gillespie+3

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/VA_TPC_Topline_Oct_30-Nov_2.pdf

[_]

Gillespie+3

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/VA_TPC_Topline_Oct_30-Nov_2.pdf

>The Polling Company

I swear i'm never going to get over that name.

Anyway still Tossup/Tilt D.

[Gass3268]

Gillespie+3

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/VA_TPC_Topline_Oct_30-Nov_2.pdf

I don't know why we don't count the polls with the Libertarian included.

[_]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2017/virginia/election_2017_virginia_governor

Rasmussen Appears, calling the race tied, 45-45.

Weirdly, 2% saying they'd vote for "Other"

[Fudotei]

Consistent 2-3% for Hyra (local presence?) combined with decent undecideds (7% in TPC poll) = this could go either way

TPC also has undecideds split slightly for Gillespie, which given previous history, sounds good

[Hindsight was 2020]

Yeah now it's looking like Northam will loss

[Dr. Arch]

I'll just wait it out. Only a couple of days to go, and the hysteria here is not good for one's health.

[Keep cool-idge]

Lol now you see that in the end it# tilting republican/Toss up

[krazen1211]

Gillespie is closing hard and should finish off Northam with ads about the Redskins.