Two weeks out: How does Clinton do in the Electoral College?

[IceSpear]

348 is my current prediction.  It could go to 359 if she snags AZ. I can't see her doing better than Obama 08.

[IceSpear]

348 is my current prediction.  It could go to 359 if she snags AZ. I can't see her doing better than Obama 08.

Weren't you on the "MO is a Toss-Up" bandwagon in 2013/2014? Surprised you're so pessimistic about it now.

Things are a tad more solid 2 weeks before the election as opposed to 2 years before the election.

Anyway, the people who insisted Missouri was solid R Arkansas 2.0 look much worse than I do. Every poll has the presidential race within single digits, and the Gov/Sen races are competitive.

[IceSpear]

348 is my current prediction.  It could go to 359 if she snags AZ. I can't see her doing better than Obama 08.

Weren't you on the "MO is a Toss-Up" bandwagon in 2013/2014? Surprised you're so pessimistic about it now.

Things are a tad more solid 2 weeks before the election as opposed to 2 years before the election.

Anyway, the people who insisted Missouri was solid R Arkansas 2.0 look much worse than I do. Every poll has the presidential race within single digits, and the Gov/Sen races are competitive.

I'm beyond excited to hear your pivoting and how you'll somehow find a way to trash WV when they elect Justice or at the very worst BARELY elect Cole.

There will be no pivot since Cole is inevitable. And I was still right even if Cole wins by a single vote. I made no guarantee on the margin.

If hell freezes over and Justice wins, then I will admit I was wrong. And maybe upgrade Manchin's chances of winning re-election from 0% to 5% or so.

[IceSpear]

If the party that currently holds the governor's mansion, is leading in the polls and has a huge registration advantage wins a non-federal election, it'll be "hell freezing over," huh?

Hmm...this sounds familiar...