Two weeks out: How does Clinton do in the Electoral College?

[Andrew]

Assuming Clinton does as well as this thread suggests, how long before the Trump surrogate "analysts" break out the "not a mandate" rationalizations?

[Devout Centrist]

359. Calling it now.

[RINO Tom]

348 is my current prediction.  It could go to 359 if she snags AZ. I can't see her doing better than Obama 08.

Weren't you on the "MO is a Toss-Up" bandwagon in 2013/2014? Surprised you're so pessimistic about it now.

Things are a tad more solid 2 weeks before the election as opposed to 2 years before the election.

Anyway, the people who insisted Missouri was solid R Arkansas 2.0 look much worse than I do. Every poll has the presidential race within single digits, and the Gov/Sen races are competitive.

I'm beyond excited to hear your pivoting and how you'll somehow find a way to trash WV when they elect Justice or at the very worst BARELY elect Cole.

There will be no pivot since Cole is inevitable. And I was still right even if Cole wins by a single vote. I made no guarantee on the margin.

If hell freezes over and Justice wins, then I will admit I was wrong. And maybe upgrade Manchin's chances of winning re-election from 0% to 5% or so.

If the party that currently holds the governor's mansion, is leading in the polls and has a huge registration advantage wins a non-federal election, it'll be "hell freezing over," huh?

Get a grip, this is lamer than TN Vol, who at least takes real numbers and results and exaggerates them.

[IceSpear]

If the party that currently holds the governor's mansion, is leading in the polls and has a huge registration advantage wins a non-federal election, it'll be "hell freezing over," huh?

Hmm...this sounds familiar...

[GeorgiaModerate]

359

Don't you mean NE-02 instead of NE-01?  (If so, then I agree with you.)

[RINO Tom]

359

Don't you mean NE-02 instead of NE-01?  (If so, then I agree with you.)

LOL, yeah, who can remember?

[MIKESOWELL]

I think Hillary will win the biggest Democratic landslide since 1964. I think she gets at least 375 electoral votes, beats Donald by 10 points in the popular vote, and unlike Bill Clinton, actually show some coattails with the House (gains) and Senate (take back control).

[Ogre Mage]

I currently have Clinton winning the presidency with 352 EVs, which is not quite Obama 2008 but considerably better than Obama 2012.

[Arbitrage1980]

I have Hillary at 351 electoral votes: Obama 2012 states plus NC and AZ, minus IA and ME02. Due to Johnson's collapse, Trump will win AK and MT, and NE02 has become more conservative due to redistricting. TX will be 5-7 point margin and GA will be 2-4 points, with Trump winning both.

[ursulahx]

Aren't we getting carried away with all the landslide talk? She's only six points ahead, on average.

[Sir Mohamed]

Better than Obama’s 332 EVs four years ago, but she won’t match the 365 EVs of 2008. As the race now stands, it’s either 2012 map plus NC and possibly AZ. With some possibility that IA flips back GOP. So anywhere between 340 and 341 and 358 EVs.