USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 11/7 - Trump +3.2

[cinyc]

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/25) Trump +0.7%
Trump: 44.3% (+0.3)
Clinton: 43.6% (-0.7)

[Landslide Lyndon]

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/25) Trump +0.7%
Trump: 44.3% (+0.3)
Clinton: 43.6% (-0.7)

Wow! Crooked Hillary's speech backfired spectacularly.

MAGA!!!

[Arch]

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/25) Trump +0.7%
Trump: 44.3% (+0.3)
Clinton: 43.6% (-0.7)

Wow! Crooked Hillary's speech backfired spectacularly.

MAGA!!!

That's not how this poll panel works...

[Wells]

Trying to account for the days dropping off with a new formula.

8/25 Numbers.

Trump 45%
Clinton 41%

I don't feel as confident about the accuracy, so I'll also use the old formula.

Trump 46% (-3)
Clinton 39% (+1)

The new formula takes these numbers and the numbers from seven days ago and tries to weigh how that day rolling off the charts would affect the numbers.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/25) Trump +0.7%
Trump: 44.3% (+0.3)
Clinton: 43.6% (-0.7)

Wow! Crooked Hillary's speech backfired spectacularly.

MAGA!!!

That's not how this poll panel works...

That's how sarcasm works, dude...

[Arch]

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/25) Trump +0.7%
Trump: 44.3% (+0.3)
Clinton: 43.6% (-0.7)

Wow! Crooked Hillary's speech backfired spectacularly.

MAGA!!!

That's not how this poll panel works...

That's how sarcasm works, dude...

Oops

[Seriously?]

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/26) Clinton +1.3%
Clinton: 44.6% (+1.0)
Trump: 43.3% (-1.0)

[Wells]

8/26 Old Formula:

Clinton 51% (+12)
Trump 37% (-9)

New Formula

Clinton 48% (+7)
Trump 40% (-5)

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

8/26 Old Formula:

Clinton 51% (+12)
Trump 37% (-9)

New Formula

Clinton 48% (+7)
Trump 40% (-5)

Jesus the old formula numbers for Trump lol.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (Aug. 21-27) Clinton +0.6%
Clinton: 44.2% (-0.4)
Trump: 43.6% (+0.3)

It seems like daily polls have stabilized around C +5-7 (after adjustments for house effect).

I look forward to A pollsters coming next 1-2 week.

JUL. 29-31         CNN, (A-, RV)                          C+8
JUL. 29-31         CBS News/New York Times, (A-, RV)      C+5
JUL. 31-AUG. 2   Fox News, (A, RV)                        C+9
JUL. 31-AUG. 3   NBC News/Wall Street Journal (A-, RV)    C+9
JUL. 29-AUG. 4   IBD/TIPP   (A-, RV)                      C+4   
AUG. 1-3      Marist College   (A, RV)                    C+14   
AUG. 1-4      ABC News/Washington Post    (A+, LV)        C+8
AUG. 4-7      Monmouth University   (A+, LV)              C+13
AUG. 5-8      Selzer & Company    (A+, LV)                C+4
AUG. 9-16    Pew Research Center   (B+, RV)               C+4
AUG. 18-24   Quinnipiac University   (A-, LV)             C+7

[Seriously?]

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/27) Clinton +0.6%
Clinton: 44.2% (-0.4)
Trump: 43.6% (+0.3)

[Wells]

Old Formula

Trump 45% (+8)
Clinton 42% (-9)

New Formula

Trump 45% (+5)
Clinton 42% (-6)

[Seriously?]

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/28) Trump +0.4%
Trump: 44.0% (+0.4)
Clinton: 43.6% (-0.6)

[Wells]

Old Formula

Trump 46% (+1)
Clinton 40% (-2)

New Formula

Trump 46% (+1)
Clinton 41% (-1)

[cMac36]

Am I the only one that read this constantly as "USC's Dorm's Life"?

[Seriously?]

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/29) Trump +2.8%
Trump: 45.1% (+1.1)
Clinton: 42.3% (-1.4)

Clinton's lowest number and Trump's largest lead since 7/31.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Their latest poll

AUG. 4-7   Monmouth University   

Clinton 50%
Trump 37%
Johnson 7%

Clinton +13   

So we now have evidence, that daily trackers/Pew were right
They even might underestimated Clinton's loss. They showed - (2-3) Pew (-5), Monmouth (-6)!!!111

LA Times've been underestimating Clinton's loss. Not anylonger. Now it is consistent with Monmouth !!!111

[Fusionmunster]

Their latest poll

AUG. 4-7   Monmouth University   

Clinton 50%
Trump 37%
Johnson 7%

Clinton +13   

So we now have evidence, that daily trackers/Pew were right
They even might underestimated Clinton's loss. They showed - (2-3) Pew (-5), Monmouth (-6)!!!111

LA Times've been underestimating Clinton's loss. Not anylonger. Now it is consistent with Monmouth !!!111

Is it any wonder most of us have you on ignore.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Their latest poll

AUG. 4-7   Monmouth University   

Clinton 50%
Trump 37%
Johnson 7%

Clinton +13   

So we now have evidence, that daily trackers/Pew were right
They even might underestimated Clinton's loss. They showed - (2-3) Pew (-5), Monmouth (-6)!!!111

LA Times've been underestimating Clinton's loss. Not anylonger. Now it is consistent with Monmouth !!!111

Is it any wonder most of us have you on ignore.

I was told when I get older all my fears would shrink
But now I'm insecure and I care what people think
My name's Blurryface and I care what you think
My name's LittleBig and I care what you think
Wish we could turn back time, to the good old days
When our momma sang us to sleep but now we're stressed out

[The Other Castro]

Their latest poll

AUG. 4-7   Monmouth University   

Clinton 50%
Trump 37%
Johnson 7%

Clinton +13   

So we now have evidence, that daily trackers/Pew were right
They even might underestimated Clinton's loss. They showed - (2-3) Pew (-5), Monmouth (-6)!!!111

LA Times've been underestimating Clinton's loss. Not anylonger. Now it is consistent with Monmouth !!!111

Is it any wonder most of us have you on ignore.

I was told when I get older all my fears would shrink
But now I'm insecure and I care what people think
My name's Blurryface and I care what you think
My name's LittleBig and I care what you think
Wish we could turn back time, to the good old days
When our momma sang us to sleep but now we're stressed out

You're an unusual poster you know that?

[Wells]

Their latest poll

AUG. 4-7   Monmouth University   

Clinton 50%
Trump 37%
Johnson 7%

Clinton +13   

So we now have evidence, that daily trackers/Pew were right
They even might underestimated Clinton's loss. They showed - (2-3) Pew (-5), Monmouth (-6)!!!111

LA Times've been underestimating Clinton's loss. Not anylonger. Now it is consistent with Monmouth !!!111

Is it any wonder most of us have you on ignore.

I was told when I get older all my fears would shrink
But now I'm insecure and I care what people think
My name's Blurryface and I care what you think
My name's LittleBig and I care what you think
Wish we could turn back time, to the good old days
When our momma sang us to sleep but now we're stressed out

You're an unusual poster you know that?

Well, he's from Sweden. But why is his username Little Big Planet? Isn't that a video game?

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Is it any wonder most of us have you on ignore.

I was told when I get older all my fears would shrink
But now I'm insecure and I care what people think
My name's Blurryface and I care what you think
My name's LittleBig and I care what you think
Wish we could turn back time, to the good old days
When our momma sang us to sleep but now we're stressed out

You're an unusual poster you know that?

It sounds like a trap!

I'm an average Trump supporter, I think.

Well, he's from Sweden. But why is his username Little Big Planet? Isn't that a video game?

Yes, it is! And a good one!

[Wells]

Old Formula

Donald Trump 52% (+6)
Hillary Clinton 35% (-5)

New Formula

Donald Trump 49% (+3)
Hillary Clinton 38% (-3)

[America Needs Jesus Christ]

For what it's worth, 538 now only adjusts this by 4, not 6.

[Seriously?]

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/30) Trump +3.4%
Trump: 45.3% (+0.2)
Clinton: 41.9% (-0.4)

The sample has been replenished a bit the past few days from 2,469 to 2,576.

Clinton voter intensity is down to 81.1 from a peak of 84.7 on 8/26, nearly matching Trump's number of 80.5.

It's safe to assume that Clinton's speech about Trump being a racist last week has yet to register in this tracking poll.