Election betting thread.

[RR1997]

Rules:
1. Every poster starts out with $1,000.

2. Make bets with other posters on this thread.

For example:
Poster 1: I am willing to bet $50 dollars that Trump will win Indiana. Does anyone object to my prediction?
Poster 2: I don't think that Trump will win Indiana. I'll bet against you.

If Trump wins Indiana, then Poster 2 loses $50 from his original $1,000 while Poster 1 gains $50. If Trump loses Indiana, then Poster 1 gains $50 while Poster 2 loses that amount.

3. No bet can be higher than $1,000

4. RULE CHANGE: You will not earn money from bets that nobody accepts.

5. You can't withdraw from a bet.

You get the idea.

Who ever ends up with the most money by Election Day wins.

I will keep track of the bank balances of each player. You're name will be added to list once you make a bet or when you bet against someone else.

Current Balance:
RR1997: $1,000
OC: $1,000
SteveMcQueen: $1,000
Castro: $1,000
Baki: $1,000
Harry: $1,000
MikeWells12: $1,000
CXS018: $1,000
Sandater: $1,000
Higgs: $1,000
SMilo: $1,000
ExtremeRepublican: $1,000
Doctor Imperialism: $1,000
TNVolunteer: $1,000
Sportydude: $1,000
Xingkerui: $1,000
Dax00: $1,000
Sorenroy: $1,000
Meclazine: $1,000
Badger: $1,000
Pho: $1,000
Darthebearnc: $1,000

I WILL REMOVE OBVIOUS BETS.

The following bets have been removed:

$50 that Trump wins West Virginia

I bet $1000 that Trump wins West Virginia.

Also, I bet 200 that Trump wins WV.

I'll wager $500 on Trump winning WV in the primary, and you only have to put up $100 to go against me.

I now bet my remaining $500 that Ted Cruz does not drop out by 10:15 PM EST on May 1, 2016.

Betting $1000 that Cruz doesn't drop out by 10:20, etc.

$1000 that Trump cracks 60% in WV.

The following bets are still open (no one has accepted these bets yet, feel free to accept some of these if you believe that their predictions are going to be false)

I'll bet $15 that Trump will win Oregon.

$1,000 that Hillary wins under 53% in the general.

$50 that Cruz wins Nebraska
$50 that Trump wins West Virginia
$50 that Sanders wins Oregon
$50 that Trump wins Oregon
$25 that Trump wins Washington

I bet 100$ that Trump wins CA primary by double digits.

$1000 that TRUMP will win Indiana.

I bet $1000 that Hillary Clinton will win New Hampshire in November.

And for my last two bets (for now):

$15 on Trump being the nominee.
$250 that Trump will not pick Kasich as his running mate.

That is all, all my money is tied up, so I'll be making my leave.

I'll also bet $100 that Sanders wins SD.

I'll put $200 on Trump winning Oregon, AND I'll give you 5-2 odds (i.e. your $200 bet will get you $500).

I'll also take a single $100 bet (first post, first served) at even odds Trump wins IN.

I'll offer up the following bets:

a. 5:3 odds that during Trump's speech on Tuesday, he says the phrase "crooked Hillary" at least twice (Trump says it 2+ times → you give me $20; Trump says it once or not at all → i give you $12)

b. 2:7 odds that Cruz will not withdraw from the race or suspend his campaign on Tuesday or Wednesday (Central Daylight Time) (he stays in → you give me $30; he withdraws/suspends → i give you $105)

Trump wins California $400

500$ that Hillary wins more than 350 electoral votes.
250$ that Hillary wins AZ
250$ Hillary wins more than 80% of the hispanic vote.

[RR1997]

I'll start:

I am willing to bet $35 that Sanders will defeat Hillary in Indiana. Does anyone object to my prediction?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

20 on Cruz winning IN

[RR1997]

20 on Cruz winning IN

I predict a Trump victory in Indiana. I'll bet against you.

I'll gain $20 if Trump wins Indiana, and you'll gain $20 if Cruz wins.

Others can join OC's bet too. Let's just say that OC is correct and two people betted against him. He'd gain $40 in this scenario (since two people betted against him).

[Lyin' Steve]

I'll start:

I am willing to bet $35 that Sanders will defeat Hillary in Indiana. Does anyone object to my prediction?

Sanders will get crushed, I'll take that bet.

I'll bet $65 that Sanders loses by double digits.

[RR1997]

I'll bet $15 that Trump will win Oregon.

[The Other Castro]

I bet $500 that Indiana is within 6 points for both parties.

[RR1997]

Just to clarify, if Indiana is not within 6 points for both parties, Castro would still lose $500 even if no one agrees to bet against him. This applies to all other bets made too. Castro would gain $500 if Indiana is within 6 points for both parties. If you were to bet against Castro, and Indiana is not within 6 points for both parties, then you'd gain $500 while he'd lose that amount.

One more rule: No bet can be higher than $1000.

[7,052,770]

I bet $1000 on Trump winning Indiana.

[Baki]

I'll start:

I am willing to bet $35 that Sanders will defeat Hillary in Indiana. Does anyone object to my prediction?

Sanders will get crushed, I'll take that bet.

I'll bet $65 that Sanders loses by double digits.

I'll take you up on that (the bold). That is - 65$ Sanders doesn't lose Indiana by double digits.

[pppolitics]

How about you put money where your mouth is?

https://www.predictit.org/

[Wells]

$50 that Clinton wins Indiana
$25 that Trump wins Indiana
$50 that Cruz wins Nebraska
$25 that Sanders wins West Virginia
$50 that Trump wins West Virginia
$50 that Clinton wins Kentucky
$50 that Sanders wins Oregon
$50 that Trump wins Oregon
$25 that Trump wins Washington

[This account no longer in use.]

I'll take on your bet, Lyin' Steve. And yours too, OC.

[Fight for Trump]

$50 that Clinton wins Indiana
$25 that Trump wins Indiana
$50 that Clinton wins Kentucky

I'll give you action on all of these.

[This account no longer in use.]

Also, I'll bet a good $500 that Clinton will not pick Castro as her running mate.

[RR1997]

I'll bet $30 that Trump will win California (primaries).

[Baki]

I bet 100$ that Trump wins CA primary by double digits.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

$150 that no Romney state will vote for Hillary

[Higgs]

$1,000 that Hillary wins under 53% in the general.

[Doimper]

I'll start:

I am willing to bet $35 that Sanders will defeat Hillary in Indiana. Does anyone object to my prediction?

Sanders will get crushed, I'll take that bet.

I'll bet $65 that Sanders loses by double digits.

I'm willing to take that one.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

I bet $1000 that Trump wins West Virginia.

[RR1997]

$150 that no Romney state will vote for Hillary

I'll bet against you.

[This account no longer in use.]

$150 that no Romney state will vote for Hillary

I'll take you up on that.

[sportydude]

$1000 that TRUMP will win Indiana.

[This account no longer in use.]

And for my last two bets (for now):

$15 on Trump being the nominee.
$250 that Trump will not pick Kasich as his running mate.

That is all, all my money is tied up, so I'll be making my leave.