An early look at the April contests... (D)

[ElectionsGuy]

Wyoming is a caucus, the others are all primaries. This month will be heavily focused on the northeast, finishing it besides New Jersey. I'm not going to do one for the Republicans yet do to the possibility of Rubio and/or Kasich dropping out before then. My first inclinations:

Wisconsin: Sanders
Wyoming: Sanders
New York: Clinton
Connecticut: Clinton
Delaware: Clinton
Maryland: Clinton
Pennsylvania: Clinton
Rhode Island: Clinton

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Sanders: WI, WY, DE
Clinton: NY, CT, MD, PA, RI

[The Other Castro]

Sanders: WI, WY, CT, PA, RI
Clinton: NY, MD, DE

[dax00]

Sanders: WY, WI, CT, PA, RI, DE
Clinton: MD, NY

[Dr. Arch]

Sanders: WY, WI, CT, PA, RI, DE
Clinton: MD, NY

Make it so.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Bernie: WY,WI

Hillary: NY,CT,PA,DE,MD,RI

[dax00]

I reckon New York will be a lot closer than anyone entrenched in politics imagines. The polling fallacies noted in the earlier primaries conceivably will have a multiplied effect on the polls coming from New York, due to the large population of businessmen.

[ElectionsGuy]

I reckon New York will be a lot closer than anyone entrenched in politics imagines. The polling fallacies noted in the earlier primaries conceivably will have a multiplied effect on the polls coming from New York, due to the large population of businessmen.

I suspect Sanders will win upstate only to get crushed in the city and Long Island.

[Shadows]

Sanders: WI, WY, CT, PA, RI
Clinton: NY, MD, DE

This.

NY will be a lot closer as Bernie will be coming in with 6-8 victories on the trot. Imagine the reaction & confidence in town hall.

Plus there is a 10 day gap to NY with nothing else going on. The entire Bernie internet group will be putting all their resources. If one of the Bernie Phone-bank group could have 40K+ calls in a single day yesterday causing states like Missouri & Florida to run out of numbers, imagine what will happen in NY.

I think Bernie can touch 45% in NY !

[Xing]

Sanders will probably win: RI, WI, WY
Clinton will probably win: DE, MD, NY

CT and PA are probably going to be competitive. I'll say Clinton is slightly favored in those two states for now, but watch out for PA if Sanders wins OH.

[RFK Jr.’s Brain Worm]

Bernie: WY,WI

Hillary: NY,CT,PA,DE,MD,RI

Late March will be much better for Bernie. Washington, Alaska, Utah, and Idaho (if not more).

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Bernie: WY,WI

Hillary: NY,CT,PA,DE,MD,RI

At this point... This.

[Meclazine for Israel]

Wisconsin: Sanders
Wyoming: Sanders
New York: Clinton
Connecticut: Sanders
Delaware: Clinton
Maryland: Clinton
Pennsylvania: Sanders
Rhode Island: Sanders

Upset in Connecticut.

It's time for Hillary to get her game face on and start following in her husbands footsteps, so to speak.

[Lyin' Steve]

Wisconsin is an obvious Sanders win, it's just Minnesota part 2, the scandinavians up in that part of the country really hate Hillary for whatever reason.

Wyoming is a great white wilderness, that's Sanders country as surely as it was Cruz country.

New York is Hillary's home state and has NYC, she won't have any trouble here.

Connecticut is a toss-up, it seems like Bernie territory but Hillary won Massachusetts so I don't count her out in New England.

Delaware should go for Clinton, the eastern seaboard region seems to like her.

Maryland is surefire Clinton

Pennsylvania is another toss-up, probably goes the same way Ohio goes.

Rhode Island is the same as Connecticut.  Maybe more likely Hillary since most of the population is from Providence.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Connecticut is full of white liberals but most of them are affluent and work at NYC's banking and finance sector so I doubt they will respond well to Sanders' anti-Wall Street message.

Pennsylvania will depend from how well Clinton performs at Appalachia. If she shows the same strength as in neighboring states then combined with the Philadelphia machine she will win rather comfortably.

[Kingpoleon]

RI, WY, WI, and CT are Sanders. NY and MD are Safe/Likely Hillary, DE is Lean H. PA is tilt Sanders.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Take under consideration that with the exception of Wisconsin and Rhode Island all the other constests are closed, so Sanders won't have the independents/Republican voters to save his ass like they did in Michigan.

[Shadows]

Colorado was also closed & Bernie won almost 60% odd. Washington is open & quite a few more.
Maine, Kansas, Nebraska were all CLOSED caucuses!

Many states have many days to registration - Hawaii Same day registration, Alaska Same Day, CT Same Day, Oregon by April 26th, California is semi-closed & has registration period till May 23rd. Penn has 15 more days, Maryland has 23 days.

Some states are bad like New York where you have to register by a Democrat by October! I would have been confident of an upset in New York if it was open as we have many people wanting to vote but can't.

If Bernie is every President by some miracle, I hope he pushed to make all contests open. You can't win the GE if you can't win independents.

Anyways people are already working on the campaign & in internet forum to get people register as a Democrat!

[Anna Komnene]

Some states are bad like New York where you have to register by a Democrat by October! I would have been confident of an upset in New York if it was open as we have many people wanting to vote but can't.

Yeah, New York's primary rules are terrible.  That said, the rule you're talking about only applies to registered voters.  New voters can still register if they postmark their registration by March 25th or in person at the Board of Elections by April 8th.

[Shadows]

Some states are bad like New York where you have to register by a Democrat by October! I would have been confident of an upset in New York if it was open as we have many people wanting to vote but can't.

Yeah, New York's primary rules are terrible.  That said, the rule you're talking about only applies to registered voters.  New voters can still register if they postmark their registration by March 25th or in person at the Board of Elections by April 8th.

You can't get GOP or other people to switch? I think independents can't vote either. You have to be a registered democrat.

It is open for new people - But people in their say 20's & 30's who are not Democrats can't vote for Bernie! It's okay - I guess you manage with what you have!

[The Free North]

Connecticut is full of white liberals but most of them are affluent and work at NYC's banking and finance sector so I doubt they will respond well to Sanders' anti-Wall Street message.

The first section is only true for Fairfiled county.

Basically CT Dems are split into 3

1) Wealthy limousine liberals in the SW
2) Sizeable minority populations (largely black) in New Haven/Hartford/Bridgeport
3) More 'traditional' New England democrats in the small, white towns in the North and East of the state. Similar to what you would find in the rural regions of Mass or VT

I expect Sanders to do well in these regions, particularly in Litchfield County and the 'Quiet Corner' while Clinton should win the wealthy suburbs of Fairfield County and the cities.

Overall I would say its a lean Clinton right now.

[Boston Bread]

If RI is more or less MA with less minorities, I'd say Sanders is favoured there slightly. Otherwise I agree with the Atlas CV.

[DS0816]

What one thing do you all suppose these 2016 Democratic presidential primaries are most about?

[psychprofessor]

Stop with this talk of Sanders winning NY - it isn't happening. Clinton will easily win Buffalo and NYC and the lower Hudson.

Pennsylvania is a machine, DEM state. Clinton should rack up huge margins in Philly and the suburbs.

Rhode Island is heavy Catholic and similar to MA. It should go to Clinton.

CT and DE are toss ups. I think CT leans Clinton but DE can be flipped for Sanders, but it has such a small delegate count that it won't really matter.

MD is surefire Clinton.

[IceSpear]

Wyoming and Wisconsin will go to Bernie easily barring an epic collapse. Same for Hillary with Delaware, Maryland, and New York. We'll get a better idea for PA after March 15th, right now I'd say it leans Clinton. CT/RI, I have no idea. It should be Bernie country, but somehow Hillary managed to win MA. So I guess toss ups for now.