Democratic MI/MS election results thread (first results @8pm ET)

[Gass3268]

There is still a lot of vote out there from areas not in Wayne County.

[The Other Castro]

This is a huge giant mega big game-changer.

[Mallow]

And I'm gonna laugh at the Clinton supporters who asserted with confidence that Clinton would still win by 15%, because that's definitely not going to happen, at this point..

Exactly. Moving those goalposts. Even if Clinton wins by 5%, it's still a YUGE underperformance for her, and could have bigger implications down the line if these kinds of polling errors continue.

[This account no longer in use.]

And I'm gonna laugh at the Clinton supporters who asserted with confidence that Clinton would still win by 15%, because that's definitely not going to happen, at this point..

Speaking of which, after I offered to make a bet with HillOfANight after he claimed that Clinton would win by more than 15%, he mysteriously disappeared from this topic.

[RightBehind]

Even if Hillary does win, so much for that slaughter everyone thought.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Looking at Mississippi... Wow they really do not like that funny white guy down south!

Seems as though Clinton can't win unless the state has a bigger black percentage.

[Matty]

bernie rising again

[Gass3268]

one thing I notice is Bernie isn't running up the margin big in Ann Arbor... I still think he wins though.

We don't know where the vote is from. Could be from the rural areas.

[Panhandle Progressive]

Even if Hillary does win, so much for that slaughter everyone thought.

Nah, that will be next Tuesday.

[Pyro]

Bernie eeks ahead in Genesee (Flint)

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Sanders back up around 20k votes

[The Other Castro]

Violent Socialist, are you still betting a weeklong leave that Clinton wins?

[Asian Nazi]

Looking at Mississippi... Wow they really do not like that funny white guy down south!

Seems as though Clinton can't win unless the state has a bigger black percentage.

Yeah that's why she won the notoriously black state of Massachusetts.

[Gass3268]

64-36 for Sanders in the City of Dearborn right now. A Jew is winning the Muslim vote! God Bless America!

[MaxQue]

one thing I notice is Bernie isn't running up the margin big in Ann Arbor... I still think he wins though.

We don't know where the vote is from. Could be from the rural areas.

At the same time, patterns are VERY wierd tonight in Michigan.

[Panhandle Progressive]

I know this may upset the Sanders fans (who don’t exactly love me), but our delegate targets say that Sanders should win Michigan by four delegates over Clinton in a race that’s tied nationally. The problem is that Sanders has already run well behind his overall delegate targets. That means he needs to be doing even better than them to really have a shot. This doesn’t mean it wasn’t a good night for Sanders — it definitely was. But the road ahead is long even if he pulls off what would be a shocking victory.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/michigan-mississippi-idaho-hawaii-primaries-presidential-election-2016/

[Xing]

Well, the media will probably only care about who the eventual winner is, but can we trust Clinton's good 3/15 poll numbers, if the ones here were so bad?

[This account no longer in use.]

64-36 for Sanders in the City of Dearborn right now. A Jew is winning the Muslim vote! God Bless America!

I wouldn't mind seeing a Sanders/Ellison ticket just for the Stormfront reaction.

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

Where are people getting the latest results? i'm seeing a 14k lead for Bernie right now on both NYTimes and MLive.

[Matty]

sanders back up over 20k votes.

[The Other Castro]

CNN exit poll updated, and I think it shows Sanders leading 49.5 to 48.5.
 

[The Free North]

Big dump from Grand Rapids...Sanders back up to 3%....1/2 of Wayne in potential for 24k more for Clinton there, may not be enough...really depends on Macomb.

[Shadows]

Sanders up 20K but behind 24K in Wayne with 50% reporting. If Clinton keeps this margin, she is winning this by a small margin.

Sanders has to pull in another 10-15K throughout the state & atleast maintain this at Wayne

[indysaff]

His lead is holding in Macomb woooow

[YPestis25]

I know this may upset the Sanders fans (who don’t exactly love me), but our delegate targets say that Sanders should win Michigan by four delegates over Clinton in a race that’s tied nationally. The problem is that Sanders has already run well behind his overall delegate targets. That means he needs to be doing even better than them to really have a shot. This doesn’t mean it wasn’t a good night for Sanders — it definitely was. But the road ahead is long even if he pulls off what would be a shocking victory.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/michigan-mississippi-idaho-hawaii-primaries-presidential-election-2016/

Good analysis. If he pulls this out I'll be thrilled, but he's right, it's gonna be a tough, if not impossible road for him to make up the delegate deficit.