Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
Posts: 4,588
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« on: January 08, 2016, 03:50:45 PM » |
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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NH_10816.pdfAnd Trump fares the worst. vs ClintonClinton 45 Rubio 42 Clinton 46 Bush 40 Clinton 48 Cruz 40 Clinton 59 Carson 39 Clinton 50 Trump 36 vs SandersSanders 50 Bush 38 Sanders 51 Rubio 37 Sanders 53 Carson 34 Sanders 54 Cruz 34 Sanders 54 Cruz 34 3 WAY!Clinton 43 Rubio 29 Trump 20 Clinton 47 Cruz 28 Trump 18
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pbrower2a
Atlas Star
Posts: 26,873
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« Reply #15 on: January 09, 2016, 02:03:25 AM » |
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PPP is PPP (D) so it's always favoring Democrats. Polls in general show Democrats leading in most places so I'm not impressed. Show me something the night before the election that has a proportional number of voters from both parties. Bush Sr. and his son were always losing in polls and they did very well. Mondale and Dukakis led by 17 once each. Ask Hillary Clinton how well leading in the polls going into the primaries did for her. Lastly, NH has only 4 EV and it's more likely it'll go Democrat as it has since 2000 so is any of this worth posting?
PPP is one of the best traditional pollsters operating in multiple states. If anything it usually has a slight R bias in results. Dislike the results? Tough. Results that swing from one poll to another may reflect events more than anything else. It may be 'only' New Hampshire... but it confirms what I thought could be happening, including the collapse of the Carson campaign and the weakening credibility of Donald Trump. We may be getting some indications of how some other states are going. This weekend, PPP reports on Iowa. In the middle of the week we will have two PPP polls about states that have both gone R one time in the last six Presidential elections.
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