Politics and Elections in the Netherlands: coalition agreement presented

[Tender Branson]

voting on work days still seems like a horrible concept for me.

I'm also no fan of it, but in the case of the Netherlands it works pretty well.

[SunSt0rm]

Turnout 55% at 17:45, 48% in 2012. Turnout may possibly be over 80%

[Tender Branson]

More than 30.600 have voted in Rotterdam in the last hour.

I expect another 100.000 over the next 3 hours, bringing the total to around 345.000 votes.

That would be 76% turnout (+13.5%)

MoE = +/- 2% (if voting trends continue)

[DavidB.]

Turnout 55% at 17:45, 47% in 2012. Turnout may possibly be over 80%

Gap was 6 points at 15:45 and 13:45, now up to 8 points. I'm going to vote now.

[trebor204]

The Netherlands is on CET, not GMT. So polls close at 8PM GMT, if I understand correctly.

It should be point out that:
North America had their Spring Time Change last week, Europe changes their clocks in late March.

There is normally a 6 hour time difference between the Eastern Time Zone (North America) and Central Europe. But since North America had already 'Spring Forward', there is now a 5 hour difference (for about 3 weeks) between these two time zones.

Right now: It just after 6 pm in the Netherlands, polls close in 3 hours.

[Tender Branson]

I'm going to vote now.

In which city ?

[Tender Branson]

Den Haag (6pm turnout)

57.3%

In 2012 it was 46.8% (+10.5%)

[jaichind]

Dutch Election Turnout 55% as of 5:45pm vs 48% in 2012: Ipsos
By Rudy Ruitenberg
(Bloomberg) -- Dutch election turnout a little lower than in 2006, when it was 58% at the same time, pollster Ipsos Nederland says on Twitter account.
Earlier at 3:45pm, turnout was 43% vs 37% at same time in 2012 elections
At 1:45pm, turnout was 33% vs 27% in 2012.

[jeron]

More than 30.600 have voted in Rotterdam in the last hour.

I expect another 100.000 over the next 3 hours, bringing the total to around 345.000 votes.

That would be 76% turnout (+13.5%)

MoE = +/- 2% (if voting trends continue)

Turnout at 18.00 in Rotterdam was 55.3%, which means it is on par with the 2006 election when final turnout was 70.9.

[jeron]

Groningen over 65% now and Amsterdam on 55% at 17.45

[Tender Branson]

More than 30.600 have voted in Rotterdam in the last hour.

I expect another 100.000 over the next 3 hours, bringing the total to around 345.000 votes.

That would be 76% turnout (+13.5%)

MoE = +/- 2% (if voting trends continue)

Turnout at 18.00 in Rotterdam was 55.3%, which means it is on par with the 2006 election when final turnout was 70.9.

It will be much higher than that.

74-78%.

With 76% most likely right now.

71% is only likely if there's a significant dropoff in voting over the next 3 hours ...

[jeron]

Meanwhile, Almere only at 44% at 17.00. PVV is the largest party there in the city council.

[jeron]

More than 30.600 have voted in Rotterdam in the last hour.

I expect another 100.000 over the next 3 hours, bringing the total to around 345.000 votes.

That would be 76% turnout (+13.5%)

MoE = +/- 2% (if voting trends continue)

We'll wait and see. 76% seems a bit high.

Turnout at 18.00 in Rotterdam was 55.3%, which means it is on par with the 2006 election when final turnout was 70.9.

It will be much higher than that.

74-78%.

With 76% most likely right now.

71% is only likely if there's a significant dropoff in voting over the next 3 hours ...

[DavidB.]

I'm going to vote now.

In which city ?

Just voted in The Hague.

[Classic Conservative]

Meanwhile, Almere only at 44% at 17.00. PVV is the largest party there in the city council.

Could you please send me a link of where you are getting the turnout numbers?

[DavidB.]

Turnout almost 11 points higher in Dordrecht than in 2012. VVD and PVV will perform well here.

[jeron]

Meanwhile, Almere only at 44% at 17.00. PVV is the largest party there in the city council.

Could you please send me a link of where you are getting the turnout numbers?

You can find them on Twitter. The turnout for Almere is on the local website http://www.almere.nl/bestuur/verkiezingen/uitslagen-tweede-kamerverkiezingen-2017-voorlopig/

[Tender Branson]

Turnout in Rotterdam and Utrecht remains pretty steady (actually higher than I thought) through these evening rush-hours.

36.000 votes this hour ...

No drop-off there so far.

[Classic Conservative]

I don't know how factual this exit poll is, but here is one:
https://mobile.twitter.com/NLPeilingen/status/842067372001361926

[Mike88]

2 hours left....

[ApatheticAustrian]

I don't know how factual this exit poll is, but here is one:
https://mobile.twitter.com/NLPeilingen/status/842067372001361926

guess that result would confirm the polling.

[Tender Branson]

Turnout in Rotterdam has now passed the final 2012 turnout (62.5%)

I expect another 60.000 votes there in the final 2 hours.

Still on track for 76% as the final number.

The city-centre there already has 96% turnout.

[DavidB.]

I don't know how factual this exit poll is, but here is one:
https://mobile.twitter.com/NLPeilingen/status/842067372001361926

I think this was the famous "fake poll": completely made up by some random person who happens to have a relatively professional website for his bullsh**t. He freely admitted to the media that his "poll" is based on conversations he has with random people.

The Rotterdam website isn't working for me anymore, by the way.

[jeron]

Meanwhile, Almere only at 44% at 17.00. PVV is the largest party there in the city council.

Could you please send me a link of where you are getting the turnout numbers?

And there is a website for turnout in Groningen, Utrecht and Rotterdam.
https://groningen.tweedekamer15maart.nl/?utm_campaign=woensdag+15+maart+&utm_medium=email&utm_source=iMailingtool#/

https://rotterdam.tweedekamer15maart.nl/#/

[Donerail]

My college has endorsed DENK.