|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 30, 2020, 09:45:57 pm
News: First US presidential debate discussion thread link:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=400306.0

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
  LA: PPP: Landrieu leads primary, close runoff
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: LA: PPP: Landrieu leads primary, close runoff  (Read 6025 times)
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,336
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 01, 2014, 07:11:51 pm »

Link coming.

Landrieu- 43%
Cassidy- 35%
Maness- 15%

Cassidy- 48%
Landrieu- 47%
Logged
morgieb
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,336
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.55, S: -8.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2014, 07:12:35 pm »

Runoff figures?
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,517
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2014, 07:13:10 pm »

That ain't good numbers for her in the primary.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,153
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2014, 07:13:16 pm »

Cassidy leads 48-47 in the runoff.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,949
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2014, 07:14:03 pm »

Those are some startlingly good numbers for Landrieu in the runoff. Could she work a miracle yet again?
Logged
morgieb
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,336
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.55, S: -8.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2014, 07:15:04 pm »

Oooh, closer than I imagined.
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,650


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2014, 07:16:44 pm »

Those are some startlingly good numbers for Landrieu in the runoff. Could she work a miracle yet again?

...the numbers are contingent on the December electorate being the same as this Tuesday's. And it obviously won't be.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 43,707
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2014, 08:01:31 pm »

Those are some startlingly good numbers for Landrieu in the runoff. Could she work a miracle yet again?

I think she will.
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,069
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: 0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2014, 08:03:28 pm »

Those are some startlingly good numbers for Landrieu in the runoff. Could she work a miracle yet again?

I think she will.
She definitely can, but it will likely require runoff turnout to be just like November turnout, which is hard to see.
Logged
old timey villain
cope1989
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,741


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2014, 08:04:48 pm »

Can someone explain to me why there's such a big discrepancy between the numbers in the primary and runoff elections?? I can't say I'm too knowledgable about Louisiana elections. Will this runoff be similar to the one we will likely see in Georgia?
Logged
Clarko95
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,031
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2014, 08:09:35 pm »

Louisiana's going to be a nail-biter too, what a pleasant surprise. I hope she can pull this out again.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,336
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2014, 08:11:25 pm »
« Edited: November 01, 2014, 09:19:31 pm by Miles »

New Poll: Louisiana Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2014-11-01

Summary: D: 43%, R: 35%, I: 15%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.23, S: -7.48

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2014, 09:11:27 pm »

Can someone explain to me why there's such a big discrepancy between the numbers in the primary and runoff elections?? I can't say I'm too knowledgable about Louisiana elections. Will this runoff be similar to the one we will likely see in Georgia?

Because Cassidy and Maness are both Republicans. Their share of the vote combined makes 50%. Once Landrieu and Cassidy go to a runoff, Republicans  are united around Cassidy.
Logged
tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,878
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.97, S: -1.57

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2014, 09:11:29 pm »

You screwed up the numbers
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,931
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 01, 2014, 09:13:26 pm »

It's official. This PPP wave is junk. Absolutely no way Lanny is in the MoE  with all the trips she has made.
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,501
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 01, 2014, 11:31:23 pm »

It's official. This PPP wave is junk. Absolutely no way Lanny is in the MoE  with all the trips she has made.

I see you're prepping the argument if the PPP numbers in the heavy contests out tomorrow show the Dems doing OK.

It's PPP(D) junk polls!!!!
Logged
DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,989
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 01, 2014, 11:41:01 pm »

Not long ago, PPP was the gold standard when it was showing good results for Republicans, not that it's showing not so favorable results, it's back to being junk.
Logged
Mr. Illini
liberty142
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,837
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -4.35


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2014, 12:38:43 am »

Much better than I was expecting. She just may have a shot at this.
Logged
Skill and Chance
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,802
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2014, 12:42:13 am »

I think she has a 50/50 chance if Senate control is settled in November.  If the run-off determines control, she is done.
Logged
○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
jfern
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 47,940


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2014, 01:09:55 am »

That ain't good numbers for her in the primary.

Who cares? In 1996 and 2002, a majority of the first round votes were for Republicans. She won the second round.
Logged
dmmidmi
dmwestmi
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,095
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 02, 2014, 06:15:09 am »

If anybody is going to pull off the upset of the cycle, it's going to be her.
Logged
President von Cat
captain copernicus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 619


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: November 02, 2014, 09:49:49 am »

Those are some startlingly good numbers for Landrieu in the runoff. Could she work a miracle yet again?

...the numbers are contingent on the December electorate being the same as this Tuesday's. And it obviously won't be.

Should we really be that dismissive though? Underestimating minority turnout in 2012 didn't turn out to be such a wise decision..
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,336
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: November 02, 2014, 09:51:04 am »

Those are some startlingly good numbers for Landrieu in the runoff. Could she work a miracle yet again?

...the numbers are contingent on the December electorate being the same as this Tuesday's. And it obviously won't be.

Should we really be that dismissive though? Underestimating minority turnout in 2012 didn't turn out to be such a wise decision..

Yep. I wasn't even expecting LA to swing to Obama.
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,650


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: November 02, 2014, 11:08:47 am »

Those are some startlingly good numbers for Landrieu in the runoff. Could she work a miracle yet again?

...the numbers are contingent on the December electorate being the same as this Tuesday's. And it obviously won't be.

Should we really be that dismissive though? Underestimating minority turnout in 2012 didn't turn out to be such a wise decision..

...which didn't include runoffs so talk about a completely pointless post.
Logged
Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,138
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.13, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: November 02, 2014, 11:24:37 am »

Looks totally reasonable. Landrieu is a skilled politician and will be able to keep the runoff close, but unless the atmosphere changes a great deal in the next month, I don't think she can win it. Even with the inflated minority November turnout she's still only hitting 47%.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.086 seconds with 16 queries.