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October 28, 2020, 09:08:23 PM

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  LA: PPP: Landrieu leads primary, close runoff (search mode)
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Author Topic: LA: PPP: Landrieu leads primary, close runoff  (Read 6053 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,949
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P
« on: November 01, 2014, 07:14:03 PM »

Those are some startlingly good numbers for Landrieu in the runoff. Could she work a miracle yet again?
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,949
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2014, 09:57:46 PM »

Those are some startlingly good numbers for Landrieu in the runoff. Could she work a miracle yet again?

...the numbers are contingent on the December electorate being the same as this Tuesday's. And it obviously won't be.

Should we really be that dismissive though? Underestimating minority turnout in 2012 didn't turn out to be such a wise decision..

...which didn't include runoffs so talk about a completely pointless post.

In 2002, minority turnout didn't drop out during the run off Phil.

I find that somewhat hard to believe and even if true, it's far more of an exception to the rule than the rule.

It's true. In 2002, minority turnout actually increased during the runoff. I don't think Louisiana can be lumped in with Georgia in this case.

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/06/10/upshot/how-black-turnout-could-decide-senate-control.html?abt=0002&abg=1
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