|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 03, 2020, 03:42:59 am
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
  IA-Sen, Rasmussen: Ernst in the lead
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: IA-Sen, Rasmussen: Ernst in the lead  (Read 2180 times)
krazen1211
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,376


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 13, 2014, 08:41:02 am »
« edited: October 13, 2014, 01:30:55 pm by krazen1211 »

Link

Ernst 48
Bailey 45



What a spectacular poll!
Logged
Dereich
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,592


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2014, 08:52:50 am »

Obligatory >Rasmussen
Logged
Trends are real, and I f**king hate it
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 51,508
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2014, 09:12:00 am »

Well, the Republican is leading in this one, so they probably won't take it back like they did with the KS poll. Roll Eyes
Logged
Dixie Reborn
BeyondTruthAndIdeals
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 820
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2014, 09:34:54 am »

Link to come.

Ernst 48
Bailey Braley 45



What a spectacular poll!
Logged
dmmidmi
dmwestmi
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,095
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 13, 2014, 09:42:10 am »

So, adjusting for the fact that this is Rasmussen, it's tied?
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,518
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 13, 2014, 09:43:09 am »

So, adjusting for the fact that this is Rasmussen, it's tied?

Generally a 3 point lead means its tied anyways.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 43,422
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 13, 2014, 12:09:36 pm »

What did their last poll look like?
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,651


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 13, 2014, 12:36:48 pm »


A tie. This is absolutely abysmal for soon-to-be-former member of Congress Braley.
Logged
Impeachment Inquiry
DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,860
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 13, 2014, 12:40:02 pm »

Ernst will get at least 48%, that much is evident, but that last couple of points are less likely to materialize. Braley was up big with people that already voted, so he's probably already won.
Logged
krazen1211
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,376


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 13, 2014, 12:42:11 pm »

Braley was up big with people that already voted, so he's probably already won.

What an astonishing theory given that the ballots cannot legally be counted right now.
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,892
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 13, 2014, 12:46:23 pm »

Braley was up big with people that already voted, so he's probably already won.

What an astonishing theory given that the ballots cannot legally be counted right now.
Logged
Mr. Reactionary
blackraisin
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,217
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.45, S: -3.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 13, 2014, 03:14:10 pm »

Braley was up big with people that already voted, so he's probably already won.

What an astonishing theory given that the ballots cannot legally be counted right now.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,955
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 13, 2014, 03:33:32 pm »

I guess not enough people went to vote.brucebailey.com

But seriously, I trusted Selzer over Ras even when Ras was giving me a result liked more, so of course I'm trusting Selzer over Ras when it's the opposite.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,955
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 13, 2014, 03:35:01 pm »


A tie. This is absolutely abysmal for soon-to-be-former member of Congress Braley.

Ernst dropped by 5 in the poll that has more weight than 100 Ras polls combined, so not really.
Logged
R2D2 (Compulsive Hand Washing Edition)
20RP12
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,439
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -8.09


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 13, 2014, 04:00:43 pm »

So, adjusting for the fact that this is Rasmussen, it's tied?

Generally a 3 point lead means its tied anyways.

So Braley leads by 3?
Logged
Impeachment Inquiry
DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,860
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 13, 2014, 08:11:59 pm »

Braley was up big with people that already voted, so he's probably already won.

What an astonishing theory given that the ballots cannot legally be counted right now.

What an astonishingly clueless response. At this point, if he's received a good amount of early vote, it makes it harder for Ernst to make up the difference on election day. You are so ignorant.
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,892
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 13, 2014, 08:16:02 pm »

Braley was up big with people that already voted, so he's probably already won.

What an astonishing theory given that the ballots cannot legally be counted right now.

What an astonishingly clueless response. At this point, if he's received a good amount of early vote, it makes it harder for Ernst to make up the difference on election day. You are so ignorant.

Mr. Pot, meet Mr. Kettle. Early votes are blue. Get it through your skull
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,336
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 13, 2014, 08:17:28 pm »

>Rasmussen
Logged
krazen1211
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,376


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 13, 2014, 08:22:31 pm »

Braley was up big with people that already voted, so he's probably already won.

What an astonishing theory given that the ballots cannot legally be counted right now.

What an astonishingly clueless response. At this point, if he's received a good amount of early vote, it makes it harder for Ernst to make up the difference on election day. You are so ignorant.

So we've gone from 'probably already won' to 'received a good amount of the early vote' for a candidate that has 0 votes and is trailing in almost every poll.

OK!
Logged
Impeachment Inquiry
DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,860
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 13, 2014, 08:23:43 pm »

Braley was up big with people that already voted, so he's probably already won.

What an astonishing theory given that the ballots cannot legally be counted right now.

What an astonishingly clueless response. At this point, if he's received a good amount of early vote, it makes it harder for Ernst to make up the difference on election day. You are so ignorant.

Mr. Pot, meet Mr. Kettle. Early votes are blue. Get it through your skull

And they have to be counted on election night, whether Republican want them to be or not. Republicans rely more on election day vote, so Ernst will have to really clean up to offset the early vote.
Logged
Impeachment Inquiry
DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,860
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 13, 2014, 08:30:03 pm »
« Edited: October 13, 2014, 08:33:20 pm by Invisible Obama »

Braley was up big with people that already voted, so he's probably already won.

What an astonishing theory given that the ballots cannot legally be counted right now.

What an astonishingly clueless response. At this point, if he's received a good amount of early vote, it makes it harder for Ernst to make up the difference on election day. You are so ignorant.

So we've gone from 'probably already won' to 'received a good amount of the early vote' for a candidate that has 0 votes and is trailing in almost every poll.

OK!


Uhm, one statement does not negate the other, genius. If Braley cleans up with the early vote and is practically tied in polling going into election day, then he has already won. In 2012, Obama won the early vote big in several places and went on to win outright.

Stop being so argumentative, it's annoying.
Logged
krazen1211
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,376


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 13, 2014, 08:40:54 pm »


Uhm, one statement does not negate the other, genius. If Braley cleans up with the early vote and is practically tied in polling going into election day, then he has already won. In 2012, Obama won the early vote big in several places and went on to win outright.

Stop being so argumentative, it's annoying.

That's not how it actually works.
Logged
Impeachment Inquiry
DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,860
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 13, 2014, 08:54:11 pm »
« Edited: October 13, 2014, 08:57:52 pm by Invisible Obama »


Uhm, one statement does not negate the other, genius. If Braley cleans up with the early vote and is practically tied in polling going into election day, then he has already won. In 2012, Obama won the early vote big in several places and went on to win outright.

Stop being so argumentative, it's annoying.

That's not how it actually works.

Those votes have to be counted on election night along with the rest of the votes.

But, we'll see who wins on election day. If it's Braley (and it will be), I'm going to directly tell you, "I told you so".
Logged
krazen1211
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,376


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 13, 2014, 09:07:40 pm »


Uhm, one statement does not negate the other, genius. If Braley cleans up with the early vote and is practically tied in polling going into election day, then he has already won. In 2012, Obama won the early vote big in several places and went on to win outright.

Stop being so argumentative, it's annoying.

That's not how it actually works.

Those votes have to be counted on election night along with the rest of the votes.

But, we'll see who wins on election day. If it's Braley (and it will be), I'm going to directly tell you, "I told you so".

Very well. In the meantime I suppose you can hang your hat on this PPP poll.
Logged
Joshua
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,491
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 13, 2014, 09:15:51 pm »


I think that was a crack at Michelle Obama's Braley campaign event.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines