IA-Sen, Rasmussen: Ernst in the lead

[DrScholl]

Ernst will get at least 48%, that much is evident, but that last couple of points are less likely to materialize. Braley was up big with people that already voted, so he's probably already won.

[DrScholl]

Braley was up big with people that already voted, so he's probably already won.

What an astonishing theory given that the ballots cannot legally be counted right now.

What an astonishingly clueless response. At this point, if he's received a good amount of early vote, it makes it harder for Ernst to make up the difference on election day. You are so ignorant.

[DrScholl]

Braley was up big with people that already voted, so he's probably already won.

What an astonishing theory given that the ballots cannot legally be counted right now.

What an astonishingly clueless response. At this point, if he's received a good amount of early vote, it makes it harder for Ernst to make up the difference on election day. You are so ignorant.

Mr. Pot, meet Mr. Kettle. Early votes are blue. Get it through your skull

And they have to be counted on election night, whether Republican want them to be or not. Republicans rely more on election day vote, so Ernst will have to really clean up to offset the early vote.

[DrScholl]

Braley was up big with people that already voted, so he's probably already won.

What an astonishing theory given that the ballots cannot legally be counted right now.

What an astonishingly clueless response. At this point, if he's received a good amount of early vote, it makes it harder for Ernst to make up the difference on election day. You are so ignorant.

So we've gone from 'probably already won' to 'received a good amount of the early vote' for a candidate that has 0 votes and is trailing in almost every poll.

OK!

Uhm, one statement does not negate the other, genius. If Braley cleans up with the early vote and is practically tied in polling going into election day, then he has already won. In 2012, Obama won the early vote big in several places and went on to win outright.

Stop being so argumentative, it's annoying.

[DrScholl]

Uhm, one statement does not negate the other, genius. If Braley cleans up with the early vote and is practically tied in polling going into election day, then he has already won. In 2012, Obama won the early vote big in several places and went on to win outright.

Stop being so argumentative, it's annoying.

That's not how it actually works.

Those votes have to be counted on election night along with the rest of the votes.

But, we'll see who wins on election day. If it's Braley (and it will be), I'm going to directly tell you, "I told you so".