Is the Democratic gubernatorial wave building?

[IceSpear]

[Flake]

(I'll probably be a really annoying hack for the next month, just a warning)

Of course! I expect Schauer and Carter to gain ground and Hickenlooper to win against his Republican challenger.

[Vega]

Since the Gubernatorial/Local elections haven't nationalized, of course we're doing well.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Yes. Republicans have gone from being a near certainty to maintain the gubernatorial majority, to only about 70% favorites to do so.

Alaska has made things easier - As long as it goes Indy, Democrats need to only gain a net of 4 seats from the republicans to get a majority (25-24-1 D-R-I). If Parnell holds on, though, then they'd need a net gain of 5.

[Vosem]

With Republicans holding on in the Midwest (minus Illinois) and improving in the Plains? Lolzno.

[IceSpear]

With Republicans holding on in the Midwest (minus Illinois) and improving in the Plains? Lolzno.

You consider Colorado and Arkansas Plains states?

[Panda Express]

Well, it's extremely likely the Dems will gain seats this cycle. Of course, they had much more targets to begin with thanks to the 2010 wipeout.

GOP probably picks up Arkansas and that's it.

[ElectionsGuy]

No, they are struggling in MA, IL, CT, all blue states. Not to mention the lack of margins to defeat republican incumbents (besides Corbett and arguably Brownback).

[President Johnson]

(I'll probably be a really annoying hack for the next month, just a warning)

Of course! I expect Schauer and Carter to gain ground and Hickenlooper to win against his Republican challenger.

Yes; and don't forget that Corbett, LePage and Brownback will lose. The GOP will pick up only Arkansas. Scott Walker and Rick Scott will probably loose, too.

[Maxwell]

Democrats still haven't closed the deal in Florida. I suspect Rick Scott pulls it out (though I doubt Bob Beauprez wins in Colorado). But yes, Dems have done a fairly good job at picking up Governorships, though I doubt I'd call it a wave. This is the election where things get back to normal.

[King]

Surf's up and SurveyUSA brought the boogie boards.

[This user has not been convicted of 34 felonies]

Honestly, I'm nervous. A lot of the races are going to be close.

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

Honestly, I'm nervous. A lot of the races are going to be close.

November 4th is going to be a painfully long night.

[IceSpear]

Democrats still haven't closed the deal in Florida. I suspect Rick Scott pulls it out (though I doubt Bob Beauprez wins in Colorado). But yes, Dems have done a fairly good job at picking up Governorships, though I doubt I'd call it a wave. This is the election where things get back to normal.

Well, this thread was obviously tongue in cheek. I'm just mocking the "OMFG 2014 = BIGGEST REPUBLICAN LANDSLIDE EVAR!!!!11111!!!!!!1111!111!" declarations from the pundits. The fact that the GOP is poised to gain many seats in the Senate has far more to do with the particular seats that are up than any wave. This will probably be a modestly good year for the GOP, but so far there are few indications that it's going to be another 2010/1994.

[Rockefeller GOP]

(I'll probably be a really annoying hack for the next month, just a warning)

Of course! I expect Schauer and Carter to gain ground and Hickenlooper to win against his Republican challenger.

Yes; and don't forget that Corbett, LePage and Brownback will lose. The GOP will pick up only Arkansas. Scott Walker and Rick Scott will probably loose, too.

Sureeeeeee.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

Scott Walker and Rick Scott will probably loose, too.

Huh??

[ElectionsGuy]

Democrats still haven't closed the deal in Florida. I suspect Rick Scott pulls it out (though I doubt Bob Beauprez wins in Colorado). But yes, Dems have done a fairly good job at picking up Governorships, though I doubt I'd call it a wave. This is the election where things get back to normal.

Well, this thread was obviously tongue in cheek. I'm just mocking the "OMFG 2014 = BIGGEST REPUBLICAN LANDSLIDE EVAR!!!!11111!!!!!!1111!111!" declarations from the pundits. The fact that the GOP is poised to gain many seats in the Senate has far more to do with the particular seats that are up than any wave. This will probably be a modestly good year for the GOP, but so far there are few indications that it's going to be another 2010/1994.

You brought up a very good point. The senate map was last done in 2008, a huge D wave. The governor map (with the exception of VT and NH, which are every two years) was last done in 2010, a republican wave. These can possibly assessed as set backs to normal, not at all waves.

[Free Bird]

They'll probably have a tiny net gain due to idiot Republican governors, but I suspect that RCP is being a bit too generous right now with the map. I won't even be mad. I like Checkpoint Charlie, Davis, Wolf, and even Michaud to certain extents. As long as Dan Malloy is defeated, I won't care, and the GOP will still maintain their majority, even if it narrows up.

[Eraserhead]

Honestly, I'm nervous. A lot of the races are going to be close.

November 4th is going to be a painfully long night.

Close races = fun night.

Nobody wants to watch a bunch of blowouts.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Honestly, I'm nervous. A lot of the races are going to be close.

November 4th is going to be a painfully long night.

Honestly, after getting a much-shorter-than-expected night in 2012, I'm excited for the long night. It's much more fun when you don't know the result until 2 or 3 in the morning, as opposed to 2012 when it was over (for both presidency and senate control) at 11:18.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

Honestly, I'm nervous. A lot of the races are going to be close.

November 4th is going to be a painfully long night.

Honestly, after getting a much-shorter-than-expected night in 2012, I'm excited for the long night. It's much more fun when you don't know the result until 2 or 3 in the morning, as opposed to 2012 when it was over (for both presidency and senate control) at 11:18.

I'm pretty sure senate control was even more boring than the presidency. Didn't they decide MA, MO, OH, FL, WI, and VA all before 11?

[Mr. Illini]

Hick's going to pull it out as well and Michigan and Georgia will be straight toss-ups. It's looking up for sure.

[tmthforu94]

I would be surprised if either side is considered a major winner, and if so, it's largely due to some luck. I think a lot of races will be decided by only a couple %s - I'm thinking Alaska, Colorado, Kansas, Wisconsin, Michigan, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Georgia, Florida, Maine, and possibly Hawaii and Illinois.

[Eraserhead]

I would be surprised if either side is considered a major winner, and if so, it's largely due to some luck. I think a lot of races will be decided by only a couple %s - I'm thinking Alaska, Colorado, Kansas, Wisconsin, Michigan, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Georgia, Florida, Maine, and possibly Hawaii and Illinois.

Hawaii will be a blowout.

[IceSpear]

Colorado flips back. Building!!!!! This is the biggest net gain for Dems ever projected in the entire year.