|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
October 29, 2020, 03:13:05 AM

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
  NBC/Marist: Orman+10, Hagan+4, Ernst+2
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: NBC/Marist: Orman+10, Hagan+4, Ernst+2  (Read 2611 times)
Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,728
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 03, 2014, 03:42:19 PM »
« edited: October 05, 2014, 08:19:21 AM by Tender Branson »

KS:

48-38 Orman/Roberts

NC:

44-40 Hagan/Tillis

IA:

46-44 Ernst/Braley

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/kansas-surprise-orman-leads-roberts-10-nbc-marist-poll-n217911
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,124
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.23, S: -7.48

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 03, 2014, 03:52:31 PM »

While we're waiting can you get that suburban white kid out of your sig please? Don't mean to be rude but I've had to ignore you for several days because of that.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 55,750
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2014, 08:18:42 AM »

Updated with the numbers.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 55,750
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2014, 08:24:43 AM »

Those are not really bad numbers ... Wink
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,728
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2014, 08:26:17 AM »

RIP Roberts.
Logged
Panda Express
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,386


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2014, 08:29:10 AM »


Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 55,750
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 05, 2014, 08:38:00 AM »

All the Marist crosstabs (PDF-format):

Kansas

North Carolina

Iowa
Logged
RR1997
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,004
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 05, 2014, 08:40:38 AM »

This seems accurate.
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,501
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 05, 2014, 08:45:52 AM »

They seem pretty reasonable.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,728
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 05, 2014, 08:46:37 AM »
« Edited: October 05, 2014, 08:50:18 AM by ℒief »

These are the exact same numbers margins PPP last published in these three races.

Maybe Nate Silver et al. will now write an article about how Marist is ripping off other polling firms?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 55,750
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 05, 2014, 08:48:47 AM »

These are the exact same numbers PPP last published in these three races.

Maybe Nate Silver et al. will now write an article about how Marist is ripping off other polling firms?

The same margins, not the same numbers ... Wink

And that's mostly because PPP and Marist are both good pollsters, while others are total crap.
Logged
Mehmentum
Icefire9
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,541
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 05, 2014, 09:25:19 AM »

All these seem accurate.  A small R lead in Iowa, a larger D lead in NC, and Orman running away with it so far.
Logged
JRP1994
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,018


P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 05, 2014, 09:30:59 AM »

YESSSS. Orman just has to hold the lead for 4 more weeks.
Logged
Flake
Flo
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,698
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 05, 2014, 09:32:48 AM »

New Poll: Kansas Senator by Marist College on 2014-10-04

Summary: D: 0%, R: 38%, I: 48%, U: 15%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Flake
Flo
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,698
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 05, 2014, 09:36:38 AM »

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Marist College on 2014-10-05

Summary: D: 44%, R: 40%, I: 7%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Flake
Flo
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,698
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 05, 2014, 09:39:29 AM »

New Poll: Iowa Senator by Marist College on 2014-10-05

Summary: D: 44%, R: 46%, I: 1%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,517
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 05, 2014, 11:09:57 AM »


Time is running out for him. I think I agree unless Orman reveals he's had sex with 5 prostitutes.

He may be able to beat Roberts still with only 3 or 4 Prostitutes Wink
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,949
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 05, 2014, 01:39:55 PM »
« Edited: October 05, 2014, 01:41:42 PM by IceSpear »

Clearly Iowa is a lean R race! :Smiley

Good news that Gregory the Gallant is continuing to curbstomp the DC fossil, though I doubt he's leading by this much.
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,931
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 05, 2014, 01:42:25 PM »

Why are Dems celebrating Roberts going down? If these trends continue, Orman will caucus GOP keeping it in their hands anyway.
Logged
KCDem
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,929


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 05, 2014, 01:43:02 PM »

Why are Dems celebrating Roberts going down? If these trends continue, Orman will caucus GOP keeping it in their hands anyway.

Because when Republicans lose, America wins.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,124
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.23, S: -7.48

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 05, 2014, 01:51:59 PM »

No way Roberts is trailing by this much, but he's the underdog now with 30 days to go.
Logged
eric82oslo
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,525
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 05, 2014, 01:55:54 PM »

No way Roberts is trailing by this much, but he's the underdog now with 30 days to go.

No way? It's the 4th poll showing Orman with at least a 10% lead. It is hardly an outlier.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,949
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 05, 2014, 02:05:14 PM »

Why are Dems celebrating Roberts going down? If these trends continue, Orman will caucus GOP keeping it in their hands anyway.

Why wouldn't they? Even if Republicans do win the Senate without Orman (which isn't anything close to a safe bet), it would still be better to have a moderate in the seat than a right winger. Same for the Murkowski/Miller race in Alaska in 2010.

Besides, don't forget that Orman could easily switch in the future, particularly if he could be the deciding vote again...say, after the 2016 elections.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,949
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 05, 2014, 02:07:29 PM »

No way Roberts is trailing by this much, but he's the underdog now with 30 days to go.

No way? It's the 4th poll showing Orman with at least a 10% lead. It is hardly an outlier.

Only PPP has shown Orman with a 10 point lead though, everyone else has shown 5-6 points.
Logged
2,868,686
Harry
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,943
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 05, 2014, 02:41:03 PM »

Why are Dems celebrating Roberts going down? If these trends continue, Orman will caucus GOP keeping it in their hands anyway.

Is this a serious question? Even if he causes with the GOP, he'll still be a better Senator than Roberts from our perspective.

Did you really think we'd all just say "Well, if we can't get the majority, we'd rather just have a right-winger over a left-leaning centrist in there!!" ?
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.049 seconds with 14 queries.