NBC/Marist: Orman+10, Hagan+4, Ernst+2

[Lief 🗽]

The polling on these was through October 1st, so the dates on these for the database should be 10-1, if Tender or Flo could fix that.

[Lief 🗽]

Fantastic Huffington Post banner headline right now:

[eric82oslo]

No way Roberts is trailing by this much, but he's the underdog now with 30 days to go.

No way? It's the 4th poll showing Orman with at least a 10% lead. It is hardly an outlier.

Only PPP has shown Orman with a 10 point lead though, everyone else has shown 5-6 points.

Yeah, but they've had him in the 10-12% range in three polls. Besides, they have a less strong Republican bias than most other polls.

[chrisras]

I'm surprised Braley is hanging tough.  Only down 2 is not bad for him.

Hagan is in trouble.  It looks like her ceiling is in the mid 40s.  That's bad for an incumbent.  She'll need the libertarian to save her.

Roberts is finished.  Orman has it in the bag.

[Miles]

Hagan is in trouble.  It looks like her ceiling is in the mid 40s.  That's bad for an incumbent.  She'll need the libertarian to save her.

Civitas had Hagan at 50% and leading by 7 with the Libertarian excluded entirely. She can win with between 48-49%.