It seems the polling in Washington is pretty consistently more Republican leaning than the final results.
2004 RCP: Kerry +4.5
Final margin: Kerry +7.2
Bias: R+2.7
2006 RCP: Cantwell +13.3
Final margin: Cantwell +17.0
Bias: R+3.7
2008 RCP: Obama +13.0
Final margin: Obama +17.2
Bias: R+4.2
2008 RCP: Gregoire +3.4
Final margin: Gregoire +6.4
Bias: R+3.0
2010 RCP: Murray +0.3
Final margin: Murray +3.8
Bias: R+3.5
2012 RCP: Obama +10.5
Final margin: Obama +14.9
Bias: R+4.4
2012 RCP: Cantwell +20.4
Final margin: Cantwell +20.9
Bias: R+0.5
2012 RCP: Inslee +1.0
Final margin: Inslee +3.0
Bias: R+2.0
Average Republican bias: 3 points
Combine this with the Colorado polls underestimating Democrats even before vote-by-mail (likely due to lowballing Latino turnout), and this is horrible news for Gardner/Beauprez.
Good point. Well, that sucks
I knew the polls had Murry up, but I didn't know it was by that much. I'm surprised the pollsters don't modify their final voter screens in light of this......