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[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

How dare he call himself a New Jerseyan and then go and give Jerry Jones a great big campaign-financin' bear hug.

I could forgive being a bad Governor before I could forgive being a Cowboys fan.

(I could forgive being a Cowboys fan before I could forgive canceling ARC and RGGI though.)

[Lief 🗽]

Bushie is there a reason you've turned so violently against President Barack Obama in the past few weeks? Do you blame him for your current unemployment situation?

His administration has been an absolute catastrophe for the country.  His policies are by and large devastating and debilitating to the country.  On top of that, he's too arrogant.  It's his way or the highway.  He expects every person in America to think like him and welcome his liberal, progressive, anti-Christian agenda.

What made you change your mind about him? Was it the declining employment rate? Or the surging GDP? Or maybe the quickly dropping price of gas? Or the ten million fewer uninsured people? Because you voted for him twice.

Lief, conservatives like ODF are not concerned with these menial accomplishments.  To please Bushie, consider...

1. Is that boy gettin uppity?

2. Is he trying to establish a theocracy?

If your answers are "yes sir-eee bob" and "but muh Jesus" you have a "catastrophe".

[Mr. Smith]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[The Other Castro]

20-something, unmarried, Mormon.

No brownie points for guessing the obvious answer.

[Antonio the Sixth]

This would be the equivalent of someone like Rick Santorum endorsing Obama: It would be more about the endorser than the endorsed. Rather than moving votes, the effect would be that people would wonder if the mental state of the endorser was ok.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Ugh, America is friggin' cold. I really hope I get admitted in a California university, or else I'll probably won't last the winter...

[IceSpear]

Roosevelt. Wallace voters do realize he was essentially the pro-Stalin candidate in '48, right?

That's why they're voting for him.

Everyone loves a psychopathic mass-murderer.

Everyone on this Forum loves a Marxist, even if (s)he's a psychopathic mass murderer.

[Goldwater]

1. Not enact NAFTA
2. Not half-ass health insurance reform
3. Not half-ass allowing gays to serve openly in the military
4. Actual stimulus package
5. Do something else to turn out Democratic voters

i.e., he'd have to not be Bill Clinton, so there's really no way of preventing it

Yes, clearly the 90s were hungering for a left wing leader.

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

You want to know something crazy, BRTD? Some people listen to music because they like the way it sound, not because it validates their own political views and opinions. I mean, if you hear a song are you supposed to figure out the artist's political views before you decide if you like it or not? Seriously, WTF? News flash, people with differing political views exist, and completely dismissing entire genres of things because of possibly running into people with differing political views is completely stupid and closed minded.

[IceSpear]

I feel very moderate about him, in an almost heroic sense.

[Maxwell]

Didn't see it posted anywhere, but Kashkari is out of the running.

http://www.cnn.com/2015/02/07/politics/2016-california-senate-neel-kashkari/index.html

I could see him making another run for governor if a Democratic administration implodes. But if there's ever an opportunity like that, he'd probably get trampled by Issa, McClintock, Hunter, or Royce.

Excellent news! That means a real candidate can run here!

Like a self-funder? I don't see any established Republican career politician who would run for this seat.

Issa could at make it competitive...and that's all Republicans should ask for right now.

NYE pls

There are multiple volumes of truth to this post.

[Antonio the Sixth]

> Implying every single one of these people will actually run.

There were a million people who thought about running in 2012 too, but the list was severely narrowed.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

1976



James Carter: 306 (+9)
Gerald Ford: 232 (-9)

As it turns out, Carter manages to expand his electoral map a bit. He even manages to break Ford's complete domination over the western half of the country by carrying Pacific and California. His victory would seem a less embarrassingly close, though still not particularly impressive considering his early lead in the polls. Carter benefits particularly from the splits in California (which, as mentioned, allows him to carry 2 of the 3 States) and in Illinois (with a mere 1500-vote lead over Ford, he manages to take Chicago's 19 electoral votes). These gains are partly counterbalanced by Ford's victories in Adirondack, Jefferson and Ohio, but Ford's narrow defeat in Allegheny and the disadvantage accumulated by New England and Lincoln's mergers eventually tip the balance in Carter's favor. These changes also have the side-effect of altering the balance of States won without an absolute majority, while IRL, Carter won 3 of them and Ford 7, now Carter wins 6 and Ford 4. Interestingly, their overall number is unchanged, indicating that the State splits have created as many close States as they have destroyed.

PVI map:


Ford: 291 (+7)
Carter: 247 (-7)

Indeed, the PVI map shows how many States narrowly won by Carter would switch to Ford if a uniform swing brought the national popular vote to a tie. It is the flip side of Carter's expanded victory: Ford already had a slight structural advantage IRL, and these alterations of the electoral maps slightly increase it. This time, Ford benefits from the PA split by taking Allegheny, limits the damage in the West by taking California, and actually gains a little with the IL split. Thus, we end up with as many as 11 States with a slight Republican lean. Just like IRL, this election remains one of the least polarized of recent history, with a impressive number of States very close to the median.

Swing/trend map:


Not much is changed here, in what is largely a North vs South divide (where the upper limits of South encompass Kansas, Missouri and Maryland). Southerners fall in love with Carter, while the rest of the country (while still moving away from the GOP) is more lukewarm toward him. Still, we end up with a second exception to this near-perfect pattern (the first being Hawaii). Indeed, New York actually ends up trending Democrat. I was really surprised to find this out, especially because this is unique to the NYC-centric State and other very urban States like Chicago or Pennsylvania moved in the opposite direction (OK, it's only a 1-point trend, but still). Maybe Nixon overperformed in the NY area in 1972? Or maybe there's something about Carter that New Yorkers really like? Or something happened to the area in between these two elections? I have no idea, but it's pretty interesting. Apart from that, there's no big surprise. Worth pointing out that Pacific ends up being the second most R-trending State. Clearly West Coast liberals really loved McGovern but weren't much thrilled by Carter.

State Data:
- Most Democratic: Georgia (PVI +31.72)
- Most Republican: Utah (PVI -30.85)
- Closest: Chicago (margin +0.05)
- Bellwether: California (PVI -0.11)
- Tipping point: Wisconsin (PVI -0.52), after CA and MS
- Strongest Democratic Trend: Georgia (trend +58.96)
- Strongest Republican Trend: Alaska (trend -23.95)
- Most Stable (absolute): Alaska (swing +1.26)
- Most Stable (relative): Indiana (trend -0.34)

[JerryArkansas]

Overrated.

[LeBron]

OK, the idea that Gay men and Women can't procreate is absurd.  Have you ever heard of Surrogate mothers.  Many gay men are using them to have children of there own.  Gay women are using sperm banks.  So you biggest argument has a huge hole in it.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

The one who's (somewhat) competent enough to realize that fighting the gay rights movement is a lost cause for their party.

[Goldwater]

Crossposting: Smith says growing number of FLGOP insiders think Rubio will run for Governor in 2018.

Rubio doesn't exactly strike me as the Governor type.

Well, at least he's not a criminal, so by Florida standards he passes with flying colors.

Your obsession with Rick Scott is creepy.

[traininthedistance]

You want to know something crazy, BRTD? Some people listen to music because they like the way it sound, not because it validates their own political views and opinions. I mean, if you hear a song are you supposed to figure out the artist's political views before you decide if you like it or not? Seriously, WTF? News flash, people with differing political views exist, and completely dismissing entire genres of things because of possibly running into people with differing political views is completely stupid and closed minded.

[rpryor03]

[RFayette 🇻🇦]

Write-in: Never

[Mr. Smith]

Context:

Good economy (sane, not a Democrat.)

are you literally for real

I think Oldies has sarcasm detection issues.

[Lief 🗽]

Starting from Hoover as that is the easiest to get records, from best-to-worst, who sounds the best to your ears? Be it on the merits of who sounds the most compassionate, or who is the most authoritative, or both, or neither. Who sounds the best to your ears, and who the worst.

14. George W. Bush
13. Nixon
12. Ford
11. Clinton
10. George H.W. Bush
9. Hoover
8. Carter
7. Reagan
6. Johnson
5. Truman
4. Obama
3. Eisenhower
2. FDR
1. Kennedy

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Kanye is the greatest artist of our generation.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Why the hell does marriage still exist? It's the bloody 21st century!

Several American posters (Simfan the chief among them) try to pepper their posts with British slang and/or spelling conventions and it's really cringeworthy.

[The Other Castro]

Not the Best Korea though.