HI 2014 Congressional Elections

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Schatz ranked the most liberal Senator.

LOL, Chuck Schumer ties for the most liberal? Joke ranking.

[Miles]

Candidate forum for CD1. All the Democrats were there except for Mercado Kim.

Kathryn Xian and Stanley Chang are the most progressive; Chang seems more charismatic to me. Personally, I'm kinda leaning towards Takai because he emphasizes education and I think his military background would be good for the district.

[publicunofficial]

Candidate forum for CD1. All the Democrats were there except for Mercado Kim.

Kathryn Xian and Stanley Chang are the most progressive; Chang seems more charismatic to me. Personally, I'm kinda leaning towards Takai because he emphasizes education and I think his military background would be good for the district.

I'd be rooting for Chang if it wasn't for that fine-the-homeless bill he put out a while back.

[Vega]

Mercado Kim is the most high profile, I think. She is the Senate President after all.

[SWE]

Schatz ranked the most liberal Senator.

Chuck Schumer tied for most liberal? What?

[Miles]

Mercado Kim is the most high profile, I think. She is the Senate President after all.

She's anti-SSM though; I'm curious to see how big a strike against her that will be.

Honestly, if that wasn't an issue, I'd probably be supporting her (though I'd likely be doing less research on the other candidates).

[Miles]

The Civil Beat included a poll for CD1 in their last batch. Mercado Kim 25%, Takai 20%, everyone else in single-digits.

They did crosstabs with the Senate. Even with high undecideds, you can see the ideological trends. A majority of Chang and Anderson's voters are backing Schatz while 58% of Takai's voters are supporting Hanabusa.

Almost 40% of Kim's voters are supporting Schatz...kinda high considering she's the least progressive.

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

So is the Hanabusa campaign running on things other than "We need more women in the Senate!" and "Inouye's seat?"  I'm inclined to support the incumbent in primary challenges if there's no good reason to get rid of them.

[Vega]

Mercado Kim is the most high profile, I think. She is the Senate President after all.

She's anti-SSM though; I'm curious to see how big a strike against her that will be.

Honestly, if that wasn't an issue, I'd probably be supporting her (though I'd likely be doing less research on the other candidates).

Once some money starts flowing, that will change, I'm 64% sure.

So is the Hanabusa campaign running on things other than "We need more women in the Senate!" and "Inouye's seat?"  I'm inclined to support the incumbent in primary challenges if there's no good reason to get rid of them.

Nope, even as a Hanabusa supporter, I can't say there is much of a difference.

[Miles]

Djou is reportedly liable to drop down to the House race. 'Probably the safer move.

[Miles]

I think this climate change debate should help Schatz. It should get him good press and pad his fundraising.

[Miles]

Hanabusa and Schatz agree to five debates. They will begin in July. The Hanabusa camp actually wanted to add three more earlier debates, one of which would be next week.

[Miles]

Djou is stickin with HI-01.

Hopefully now pundits will stop rating HI-Sen Likely D.

[IceSpear]

Djou is stickin with HI-01.

Hopefully now pundits will stop rating HI-Sen Likely D.

Not that I'm a pundit, but I just moved it to Safe D.

[SWE]

Djou is stickin with HI-01.

Hopefully now pundits will stop rating HI-Sen Likely D.

Not that I'm a pundit, but I just moved it to Safe D.

Why wasn't it safe D in the first place?

[IceSpear]

Djou is stickin with HI-01.

Hopefully now pundits will stop rating HI-Sen Likely D.

Not that I'm a pundit, but I just moved it to Safe D.

Why wasn't it safe D in the first place?

Djou did very well in HI-01 in 2012 despite Obama's landslide in the state. Combine that with a very bloody primary and wounded Democratic nominee, and I could see a slight chance for Djou pulling it out. Sort of like Mississippi, which I have at likely R for now. If McDaniel wins the primary, the Democrats actually have a decent candidate.

[Miles]

The bold progressives at the PCCC have endorsed Schatz.

[Morning in Atlas]

Djou is stickin with HI-01.

Hopefully now pundits will stop rating HI-Sen Likely D.

Not that I'm a pundit, but I just moved it to Safe D.

Why wasn't it safe D in the first place?

Djou did very well in HI-01 in 2012 despite Obama's landslide in the state. Combine that with a very bloody primary and wounded Democratic nominee, and I could see a slight chance for Djou pulling it out. Sort of like Mississippi, which I have at likely R for now. If McDaniel wins the primary, the Democrats actually have a decent candidate.

Comparing Hanabusa or Schatz to a neo-Confederate Islamophobe who retweets white supremacists and Stormfront users is insulting. This seat never had a chance of going Republican.

The bold progressives at the PCCC have endorsed Schatz.

In other news, water is wet.

[Joshgreen]

The bold progressives at the PCCC have endorsed Schatz.

Will help fundraising which will be important. Not much direct on-the-ground impact. Hanabusa hopefully goes down.

[IceSpear]

Djou is stickin with HI-01.

Hopefully now pundits will stop rating HI-Sen Likely D.

Not that I'm a pundit, but I just moved it to Safe D.

Why wasn't it safe D in the first place?

Djou did very well in HI-01 in 2012 despite Obama's landslide in the state. Combine that with a very bloody primary and wounded Democratic nominee, and I could see a slight chance for Djou pulling it out. Sort of like Mississippi, which I have at likely R for now. If McDaniel wins the primary, the Democrats actually have a decent candidate.

Comparing Hanabusa or Schatz to a neo-Confederate Islamophobe who retweets white supremacists and Stormfront users is insulting. This seat never had a chance of going Republican.

It was an analogy. I'm not saying Hanabusa or Schatz were even weak candidates, just that Djou was a strong one. HI-01 is half the state, and he got 46% there against Hanabusa even during Obama's huge landslide, so is it really that implausible he could've kept the Senate race within single digits in a much more Republican friendly environment?

[Morning in Atlas]

Djou is stickin with HI-01.

Hopefully now pundits will stop rating HI-Sen Likely D.

Not that I'm a pundit, but I just moved it to Safe D.

Why wasn't it safe D in the first place?

Djou did very well in HI-01 in 2012 despite Obama's landslide in the state. Combine that with a very bloody primary and wounded Democratic nominee, and I could see a slight chance for Djou pulling it out. Sort of like Mississippi, which I have at likely R for now. If McDaniel wins the primary, the Democrats actually have a decent candidate.

Comparing Hanabusa or Schatz to a neo-Confederate Islamophobe who retweets white supremacists and Stormfront users is insulting. This seat never had a chance of going Republican.

It was an analogy. I'm not saying Hanabusa or Schatz were even weak candidates, just that Djou was a strong one. HI-01 is half the state, and he got 46% there against Hanabusa even during Obama's huge landslide, so is it really that implausible he could've kept the Senate race within single digits in a much more Republican friendly environment?

Yes. McDaniel's faults aren't because of a competitive primary. They're because he makes Ted Cruz look like Obama.

[SWE]

Djou is stickin with HI-01.

Hopefully now pundits will stop rating HI-Sen Likely D.

Not that I'm a pundit, but I just moved it to Safe D.

Why wasn't it safe D in the first place?

Djou did very well in HI-01 in 2012 despite Obama's landslide in the state. Combine that with a very bloody primary and wounded Democratic nominee, and I could see a slight chance for Djou pulling it out. Sort of like Mississippi, which I have at likely R for now. If McDaniel wins the primary, the Democrats actually have a decent candidate.

Comparing Hanabusa or Schatz to a neo-Confederate Islamophobe who retweets white supremacists and Stormfront users is insulting. This seat never had a chance of going Republican.

It was an analogy. I'm not saying Hanabusa or Schatz were even weak candidates, just that Djou was a strong one. HI-01 is half the state, and he got 46% there against Hanabusa even during Obama's huge landslide, so is it really that implausible he could've kept the Senate race within single digits in a much more Republican friendly environment?

If Laura Lingle couldn't make Hawaii close, I don't think any Republican can

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Djou is stickin with HI-01.

Hopefully now pundits will stop rating HI-Sen Likely D.

Not that I'm a pundit, but I just moved it to Safe D.

Why wasn't it safe D in the first place?

Djou did very well in HI-01 in 2012 despite Obama's landslide in the state. Combine that with a very bloody primary and wounded Democratic nominee, and I could see a slight chance for Djou pulling it out. Sort of like Mississippi, which I have at likely R for now. If McDaniel wins the primary, the Democrats actually have a decent candidate.

Comparing Hanabusa or Schatz to a neo-Confederate Islamophobe who retweets white supremacists and Stormfront users is insulting. This seat never had a chance of going Republican.

It was an analogy. I'm not saying Hanabusa or Schatz were even weak candidates, just that Djou was a strong one. HI-01 is half the state, and he got 46% there against Hanabusa even during Obama's huge landslide, so is it really that implausible he could've kept the Senate race within single digits in a much more Republican friendly environment?

If Laura Lingle couldn't make Hawaii close, I don't think any Republican can

She lost in a fairly good year for Democrats, while Djou did win a House seat in 2009 IIRC. Not saying Djou is strong of course, but I wouldn't declare Lingle the strongest Republican either.

[Miles]

She lost in a fairly good year for Democrats, while Djou did win a House seat in 2009 IIRC. Not saying Djou is strong of course, but I wouldn't declare Lingle the strongest Republican either.

He won the seat in 2010 with 39%; Case and Hanabusa split the Democratic vote.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

She lost in a fairly good year for Democrats, while Djou did win a House seat in 2009 IIRC. Not saying Djou is strong of course, but I wouldn't declare Lingle the strongest Republican either.

He won the seat in 2010 with 39%; Case and Hanabusa split the Democratic vote.

Exactly. The general election doesn't matter, only the primary.