NYC'13: Congrats to Mayor de Blasio
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  NYC'13: Congrats to Mayor de Blasio
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Author Topic: NYC'13: Congrats to Mayor de Blasio  (Read 75082 times)
Asian Nazi
d32123
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« Reply #450 on: September 10, 2013, 09:17:52 PM »

I used to live in Brooklyn Heights before I got married and moved to Scarsdale.  I am looking at some of the results from my old neighborhood.  All de Blasio with him winning about 60% of the vote.  What I find ironic is that this area of NYC prospered mainly because of reduced crime and that is exactly what de Blasio is running against saying it went too far.  Perhaps they all forgot what it was like in the early 1990s with the crime there (before I moved into that area.)

And you call yourself a libertarian?  What a joke.  
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jaichind
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« Reply #451 on: September 10, 2013, 09:18:26 PM »

Not looking good for Spitzer.  I think he has been on a stable 52-48 deficit for a while.  Unlikely he will catch up.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #452 on: September 10, 2013, 09:20:33 PM »

Perhaps discuss policing issues some other time?
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cinyc
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« Reply #453 on: September 10, 2013, 09:21:21 PM »

31% in:

Mayor (D):
Bill de Blasio 38.8% 72,039
William Thompson 25.6% 47,457
Christine Quinn 15.8% 29,352
John Liu 8.4% 15,611
Anthony Weiner 5.2% 9,670

Mayor (R):
Joe Lhota 50.3% 11,440
John Catsimatidis 43.0% 9,796
George McDonald 6.7% 1,519

Comptroller (D):
Scott Stringer 52.2% 82,929
Eliot Spitzer 47.8% 76,055
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #454 on: September 10, 2013, 09:22:21 PM »

Edging ever so slowly upwards...
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cinyc
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« Reply #455 on: September 10, 2013, 09:24:45 PM »

Not looking good for Spitzer.  I think he has been on a stable 52-48 deficit for a while.  Unlikely he will catch up.

Probably. 

The only good news for Spitzer is that the Bronx, which he is winning, is least-in and Staten Island, which he is losing, is most-in.  But, then again, Manhattan lags the city average and Stringer is cleaning up there.
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jaichind
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« Reply #456 on: September 10, 2013, 09:25:05 PM »

Quinn only at 40% in places like Upper East side, even the part of Upper East Side close to Central Park.  That is where she should really win 75%+.  This is symbolic of her deflating campaign.  
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #457 on: September 10, 2013, 09:28:42 PM »

To give an indication of what sort of a trouncing of all and sundry (and not just Quinn) this is: de Blasio leads in most of Harlem proper. It's actually only Liu's base that's holding up against the de Blasio wave, so far.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #458 on: September 10, 2013, 09:30:02 PM »

45% in and he's up to 39.2%.
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jaichind
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« Reply #459 on: September 10, 2013, 09:30:18 PM »

Even though exit polls could not produce the de Blasio vote share of 9% of votes in the $200K+ income group, looking at the wealthier parts of the Upper East Side can clearly show us that share: in the low 20s.  Of course that is more like the $500K+ crowd.
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jaichind
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« Reply #460 on: September 10, 2013, 09:32:37 PM »

There is a district in Gramcey where Salgado won.  Not sure why.  Perhaps that district has an unusual number of Puerto Ricans. 
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #461 on: September 10, 2013, 09:33:32 PM »

Stringer is leading in Comptroller just slightly... 51.6% to 48.4% Spitzer. Racial split is interesting. Whites mostly Stringer, blacks and Hispanics mostly Spitzer, and Asians half and half.
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patrick1
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« Reply #462 on: September 10, 2013, 09:35:51 PM »

To give an indication of what sort of a trouncing of all and sundry (and not just Quinn) this is: de Blasio leads in most of Harlem proper. It's actually only Liu's base that's holding up against the de Blasio wave, so far.

Yeah, I was wrongly skeptical of the strength of the deBlasio vote in black areas but he looks to have pulled it off and will likely take it home at 40%.  Im keeping my eye out for Canarsie as really last possible life line for Thompson to hold numbers under 40.
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patrick1
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« Reply #463 on: September 10, 2013, 09:37:24 PM »

To give an indication of what sort of a trouncing of all and sundry (and not just Quinn) this is: de Blasio leads in most of Harlem proper. It's actually only Liu's base that's holding up against the de Blasio wave, so far.

Yeah, I was wrongly skeptical of the strength of the deBlasio vote in black areas but he looks to have pulled it off and will likely take it home at 40%.  Im keeping my eye out for Canarsie as really last possible life line for Thompson to hold numbers under 40.


And by looks of it he is getting smoked in Canarsie. ouch.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #464 on: September 10, 2013, 09:38:55 PM »

55% in, and it's still 39.1%
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #465 on: September 10, 2013, 09:40:13 PM »

Could only spot one incumbent trailing in the City Council primaries: Gonzalez in the 38th district. About ten points behind and with 85% in.
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jaichind
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« Reply #466 on: September 10, 2013, 09:41:08 PM »

I find it interesting that Thompson also captured 20%-30% of the Upper East Side vote.  Perhaps it is tactical voting on the basis that Thompson is more likely to win against de Blasio in a runoff as opposed to Quinn.  
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cinyc
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« Reply #467 on: September 10, 2013, 09:47:51 PM »

They should be calling the Republican primary for Lhota soon.  I'm calling it.  
72% in:
  Joe Lhota 51.4%
  John Catsimatidis 41.9%
  George McDonald 6.7%

AP is calling for a runoff between James and Squadron for Public Advocate.  James has 35%.  Squadron 33%.
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jaichind
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« Reply #468 on: September 10, 2013, 09:50:44 PM »

Looks like Liu won Elmhurst.  Elmhurst is about 40% Asian and that is exactly what Liu came in at.  Looks like Liu got the Asian vote and some of the most Liberal and low income voters outside Asians and thats it. 
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #469 on: September 10, 2013, 09:52:56 PM »

Looks like De Blasio has a truly post-racial (minus Asians) coalition. Very rare (unprecedented?) in NYC politics.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #470 on: September 10, 2013, 09:53:33 PM »

Comptroller race is going to be very close but I think Stringer probably has it.
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cinyc
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« Reply #471 on: September 10, 2013, 09:55:36 PM »

AP projects Lhota the winner of the Republican mayoral primary.
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patrick1
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« Reply #472 on: September 10, 2013, 09:57:39 PM »

Looks like De Blasio has a truly post-racial (minus Asians) coalition. Very rare (unprecedented?) in NYC politics.

Ha, yes it is.  It is looking like Thompson has to rely on the white ethnic vote and Asian vote to suppress his 40%.  A lot precincts in the Bronx that will
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jaichind
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« Reply #473 on: September 10, 2013, 09:59:51 PM »

The map of showing where Liu won is pretty much a "where do Asians in NYC live" map.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #474 on: September 10, 2013, 10:00:17 PM »

Public Advocate race will go to a runoff between James and Squadron.
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