NYC'13: Congrats to Mayor de Blasio

[bgwah]

New York is finally getting with the times and has a precinct map! On election night! http://www.nytimes.com/projects/elections/2013/nyc-primary/mayor/map.html?_r=0

[Keystone Phil]

New York is finally getting with the times and has a precinct map! On election night! http://www.nytimes.com/projects/elections/2013/nyc-primary/mayor/map.html?_r=0

Grazie!

[cinyc]

New York Daily News projects de Blasio has a large lead over Thompson and Quinn.   Edison Media Research, which conducted the exit poll says "It is possible, but not certain that de Blasio could hit the 40% threshold and avoid a runoff."  Liu and Weiner are in single digits.

Comptroller race too close to call.

Squadron and James are the top two for Public Advocate.

[cinyc]

Exits, per New York Times blog:

de Blasio 43
Thompson 25
Quinn 18

[cinyc]

Exit Poll

de Blasio wins among males, females, blacks, whites and Hispanics, gays and practically every subgroup except moderates and black males, who went to Thompson and other races (largely Asians), which went to Liu.  He won all 4 borough groupings, breaking 40% in all but the Bronx - Staten Island was lumped in with Queens for some reason (probably too few polled in Staten Island to be statistically meaningful).

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Exit Poll

de Blasio wins among males, females, blacks, whites and Hispanics, gays and practically every subgroup except moderates and black males, who went to Thompson and other races (largely Asians), which went to Liu.  He won all 4 borough groupings, breaking 40% in all but the Bronx - Staten Island was lumped in with Queens for some reason (probably too few polled in Staten Island to be statistically meaningful).

Suck it Staten Island!

[cinyc]

Comptroller Exit is 54-46 Stringer. 

Stringer won decisively among whites.  Spitzer barely took Hispanics and won big among blacks.   Poorer folks went Spitzer; richer folks Stringer.  Stringer takes Manhattan and Brooklyn; Spitzer takes the Bronx and Queens/Staten Island.

[Conflicted Progressive]

It's going to be a bloodbath...

[jaichind]

Exit Poll

de Blasio wins among males, females, blacks, whites and Hispanics, gays and practically every subgroup except moderates and black males, who went to Thompson and other races (largely Asians), which went to Liu.  He won all 4 borough groupings, breaking 40% in all but the Bronx - Staten Island was lumped in with Queens for some reason (probably too few polled in Staten Island to be statistically meaningful).

It is interesting that Thompson ended up being the "conservative" candidate as Thompson won the "Moderate" vote.  It is also interesting that Thompson won the Black Men vote while de Blasio won the Black Women vote.  I think it is more of a function that Black Women are a lot more Liberal than Black Men.  One hidden fact from 2012 Prez exit polls is that Romney actually made headway with Young Black Men which I think is now trending more Conservative (at least not as Liberal) and his landslide defeat with Black voters was more of function of almost 98-2 Obama victory with Black Women.   Same trend could be going on in NYC as well.

[Miles]

I had a feeling the late momentum would carry de Basio past 40%! I hope it holds over from the exit polls.

[jaichind]

Exit Poll

de Blasio wins among males, females, blacks, whites and Hispanics, gays and practically every subgroup except moderates and black males, who went to Thompson and other races (largely Asians), which went to Liu.  He won all 4 borough groupings, breaking 40% in all but the Bronx - Staten Island was lumped in with Queens for some reason (probably too few polled in Staten Island to be statistically meaningful).

It is also interesting that despite his "soak the rich" platform, de Basio did slight better with high income groups than low income groups.  Of course the $200K income group had too little voters as I suspect his support will dip with that income level.

[jaichind]

de Blasio over 40% in the actual count with 1% reporting.   It seems likely he will stay there the rest of the night.

[Miles]

Correct me if I'm wrong, but wasn't Quinn the most moderate of the top three? She's in third place with moderates...

[jaichind]

Sigh.  50 minutes after polls close, NYU it is only 3% reporting.  NY state is the slowest in USA when it  comes to vote counting.

[jaichind]

Correct me if I'm wrong, but wasn't Quinn the most moderate of the top three? She's in third place with moderates...

Exactly, that is why I found it interesting that it ended up Thompson that won the moderate vote.  I did postulate that it might have to do with Thompson winning the Black Men vote and Black Men actually are not that Liberal on the political spectrum.

[cinyc]

Sigh.  50 minutes after polls close, NYU it is only 3% reporting.  NY state is the slowest in USA when it  comes to vote counting.

Using the old lever machines in this election probably makes reporting even slower.  (Though the dysfunctional NYC Board of Elections is even slow when the new electronic machines are used.)

[jaichind]

Looking at some of the results at the District level it seems Liu is getting over 75% of the Chinatown vote.  Too bad for him Asians make up at most 6% of the primary electorate as per exit polls.

[Bacon King]

Spitzer up to 48.3%

[cinyc]

On the Republican side, it's still early, but Lhota has consistenly had 54%, Catsimatidis 40% and McDonald 6-7% (2% in).

Comptroller is Scott Stringer 51.7%, Eliot Spitzer 48.3% (6% in).

[cinyc]

Drama on the Republican side with 12% in:

Joe Lhota 48.2%
John Catsimatidis 44.1%
George McDonald 7.6%

On the Democratic side, de Blasio is at 37.8% - which would force a runoff.

[jaichind]

I used to live in Brooklyn Heights before I got married and moved to Scarsdale.  I am looking at some of the results from my old neighborhood.  All de Blasio with him winning about 60% of the vote.  What I find ironic is that this area of NYC prospered mainly because of reduced crime and that is exactly what de Blasio is running against saying it went too far.  Perhaps they all forgot what it was like in the early 1990s with the crime there (before I moved into that area.)

[Gass3268]

I used to live in Brooklyn Heights before I got married and moved to Scarsdale.  I am looking at some of the results from my old neighborhood.  All de Blasio with him winning about 60% of the vote.  What I find ironic is that this area of NYC prospered mainly because of reduced crime and that is exactly what de Blasio is running against saying it went too far.  Perhaps they all forgot what it was like in the early 1990s with the crime there (before I moved into that area.)

Crime is down across the country. Stop and frisk didn't change anything, it's racist and the good people of New York City are coming to this realization. 

[The Free North]

I used to live in Brooklyn Heights before I got married and moved to Scarsdale.  I am looking at some of the results from my old neighborhood.  All de Blasio with him winning about 60% of the vote.  What I find ironic is that this area of NYC prospered mainly because of reduced crime and that is exactly what de Blasio is running against saying it went too far.  Perhaps they all forgot what it was like in the early 1990s with the crime there (before I moved into that area.)

Crime is down across the country. Stop and frisk didn't change anything, it's racist and the good people of New York City are coming to this realization. 

Agree on the stop and frisk laws but sadly, living in Wisconsin, you have no idea how much NYC has improved from the darker days years back. Crime has gone down everywhere, yes, but in NYC it has done a complete 180.

[cinyc]

The Democratic Public Advocate race looks like it's heading for a runoff between Squadron and James.  It would be ironic if it were the only race subject to a runoff, forcing the city to spend millions on a contest for a useless office that has a budget of $2.5 million.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

26% in, and de Blasio is on 38.5% (Thompson 25.5%). Tantalisingly close...